蛇年收官日周期股全线回调，券商观点：牛市仍在，珍惜黄金坑【掘金日报2.13】

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is set to experience a long holiday break of 9 days, combined with the regular market closure on February 14, leading to a total of 10 days off, impacting both stockholders and cash holders [1]. Market Overview - On February 13, the last trading day before the holiday, the A-share market saw a total transaction volume of 2 trillion yuan, with 46 stocks hitting the daily limit up. The market's performance showed a structure characterized by strong manufacturing, scattered cycles, and quiet consumption [3]. - The leading sectors included mechanical equipment and the automotive chain, with 7 and 5 stocks respectively hitting the limit up, indicating increased activity driven by exports and domestic substitution logic in the new energy vehicle industry [3]. Market Dynamics - The market exhibited a "strong high-end stocks remain strong, while mid-tier stocks show clear gaps" characteristic. The number of first-limit stocks decreased from 48 to 35, indicating a slight cooling of short-term market sentiment [7]. - Despite this, some funds continued to operate on independent logic, with ST Jinglan achieving 12 consecutive limit-ups and ST Songfa recording 3 limit-ups over 4 days, reflecting a high-risk appetite in the current market [8]. Sector Analysis - The main sectors attracting significant capital inflow included national defense and military, computer, and electronics, with the defense sector receiving the largest inflow of 7.317 billion yuan, indicating strong market interest in national security-related fields [10]. - The computer and electronics sectors followed with inflows of 4.784 billion yuan and 3.767 billion yuan respectively, showcasing ongoing optimism in the technology sector [10]. Stock Performance - Notable stocks with significant capital inflow included Deep Technology and Huasheng Tiancheng, with net inflows of 3.397 billion yuan and 3.255 billion yuan respectively, aligning with the overall sector trends [13]. - Conversely, stocks like Shuangliang Energy faced a trading halt after regulatory warnings regarding insufficient disclosure about a SpaceX order, highlighting the risks associated with speculative trading [16][17]. Market Sentiment - The overall market sentiment was weak, with the three major indices closing down: the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.26%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 1.28%, and the ChiNext Index by 1.57%, reflecting a broad retreat in cyclical stocks [19][20]. - Despite the downturn, there are expectations for a stronger market performance in February compared to late January, with potential capital rotation towards sectors with improving fundamentals [18].