Core Viewpoint - The sharp rise in memory prices and subsequent panic buying have severely impacted the demand for entry-level and mid-range electronic products, leading to a significant reduction in orders from IC design companies and a polarized development in the foundry industry [1] Group 1: Memory Price Surge and Its Impact - The core issue stems from an imbalance in supply and demand in the memory market, with DRAM and 3D NAND flash memory prices experiencing significant increases due to panic buying from downstream customers [1][2] - The impact of rising memory prices is asymmetric, with entry-level and mid-range markets being the most affected, as manufacturers in these segments face dual pressures of supply tightness and rising chip prices [1][2] Group 2: Supply Chain Adjustments - Anticipating poor terminal sales, IC design companies are adjusting their orders to foundries, leading to a notable decline in orders for mid-range smartphone processors [2] - The AI boom is structurally affecting memory capacity, with data centers expected to consume 70% of global memory chip capacity by 2026, prompting manufacturers to shift focus to high-margin memory products for AI servers [2][3] Group 3: Competitive Landscape and Future Outlook - Major memory manufacturers are prioritizing AI-related memory production, limiting the capacity for standard consumer-grade memory, which puts entry-level products at a disadvantage in the resource competition [3] - The market outlook remains uncertain, with short-term price pressures on entry-level electronic products expected to persist as long as memory prices remain high, leading to subdued shipment volumes [3][4] - By 2026, a critical juncture is anticipated, with potential growth opportunities for the domestic industry as the demand for memory in data centers peaks, though the impact on the consumer market remains to be seen [4]
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半导体芯闻·2026-02-13 09:35