突发！特斯拉或将被合并！

Core Viewpoint - The merger between SpaceX, xAI, and Tesla is highly probable, driven by Tesla's strategic transformation and the need to address internal challenges and market competition [4][8][18]. Group 1: Strategic Transformation - Tesla is transitioning from a traditional car manufacturer to a "physical AI company," with capital expenditures expected to exceed $20 billion by 2026, focusing on robotics, AI chips, and autonomous driving data centers [10][11]. - The recent decision to permanently cease production of the Model S and Model X is a strategic move to repurpose production lines for the Optimus humanoid robot, which is anticipated to hold over 80% of Tesla's long-term value [12][14][17]. - The Optimus Gen 3 robot is set to debut in Q1 2026, with a production target of one million units annually and a cost per unit projected to be under $20,000 [17]. Group 2: Market Challenges - Tesla's global delivery volume is projected to decline by 8.6% in 2025, with revenue falling by 3% to $94.827 billion, while competitors like BYD are gaining market share [19][21]. - Internal turmoil is evident as several key executives have left the company, likely due to conflicts arising from the strategic shift [22][23]. - The combination of declining sales, increased competition, and significant capital expenditure pressures makes it increasingly difficult for Tesla to operate independently [21][23]. Group 3: Valuation and Future Outlook - Tesla's market capitalization reached $1.6 trillion as of February 11, 2026, driven by expectations surrounding its AI and robotics initiatives rather than its automotive business [24]. - The challenges in AI transformation and robot production highlight the need for collaboration with SpaceX and xAI to enhance Tesla's technological and commercial value [26]. - Elon Musk's overarching ambition appears to extend beyond the automotive sector, aiming to create a comprehensive technology empire encompassing space, AI, and physical applications on Earth [30].