伊朗局势剧变，金价还要涨？

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly the military actions by the US and Israel against Iran, on gold prices, highlighting a significant increase in market risk aversion and the consequent rise in demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [5][9]. Group 1: Market Reactions and Gold Price Trends - The international gold market has experienced a strong upward trend, with spot gold prices reaching $5,278.328 per ounce, marking a 1.88% increase on February 28, and a year-to-date increase of 22.23% [7]. - The recent military actions in the Middle East have intensified market risk aversion, leading to a substantial rise in the prices of gold and silver [9]. - The increase in gold prices is attributed to geopolitical and military risks, particularly following the US and Israel's military strikes against Iran, which provide structural support for gold prices in the short term [10]. Group 2: Expert Analysis and Future Outlook - Experts indicate that the ongoing tensions in the Middle East have significantly heightened global risk aversion, making gold a preferred asset due to its lack of sovereign credit risk [10]. - The demand for gold is expected to remain strong, with projections suggesting that gold prices could reach $6,300 per ounce by the end of 2026 due to sustained demand from central banks and investors [13]. - The article suggests that while short-term fluctuations in gold prices may occur, the overall high-price cycle for gold is not expected to end soon, with potential upward movements towards $6,200 per ounce if geopolitical conflicts escalate further [12][13].