战争不是卖出的理由！大部分地缘冲突只是在指数上涨过程中挖了个坑

Group 1 - The article discusses the impact of geopolitical conflicts, specifically the recent Middle East tensions, on global markets, noting that even gold has not been spared from declines [3][10]. - It argues that most geopolitical conflicts do not serve as valid reasons for selling stocks, as they often only create temporary market dips rather than long-term downturns [5][26]. - Historical data shows that markets typically recover from declines caused by geopolitical events within 30 days, with most indices regaining lost ground within 20 days [15][25]. Group 2 - The article highlights that the current market reaction is more pronounced due to extreme market differentiation and leverage, which has intensified volatility [31][32]. - It emphasizes that the dynamics of geopolitical conflicts are unpredictable, making it challenging for investors to time their buy and sell decisions effectively [22][34]. - The analysis of the current situation in Iran suggests that while there is a desire to increase oil prices, the actual ability to do so is limited due to economic constraints and the potential for significant backlash [28][42].