几个小时内“180度转变”！美国从“反对”到“力促”史上最大规模战略油储释放，背后是特朗普的忧虑

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a sudden policy shift by the Trump administration, moving from opposing to promoting a historic release of 400 million barrels of oil reserves by the International Energy Agency (IEA), which is more than double the previous largest release [2][5]. Group 1: Policy Shift - The U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright initially stated at the G7 meeting that large-scale market intervention was "premature" as oil prices had recently dropped below $90 per barrel [4]. - Within two hours, the U.S. reversed its stance, pressuring allies to support the unprecedented oil release, shocking European officials who ultimately complied [5]. - The decision was driven by concerns over potential disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical passage for global oil supply, which could severely impact the energy market if blocked [6]. Group 2: Market Reaction - Despite the historic scale of the intervention, market skepticism remains regarding its effectiveness, as oil prices rose over 5% on the day of the announcement [3][9]. - The 400 million barrels released is equivalent to only about 20 days of transit volume through the Strait of Hormuz, raising doubts about its ability to stabilize prices below $100 per barrel [9]. - Analysts noted that the speed of the release from IEA member countries would not sufficiently compensate for potential supply losses from the Middle East, even if hostilities were to cease quickly [9]. Group 3: International Contributions - The U.S. is set to contribute over 100 million barrels, with other countries like Japan, Canada, and Germany also participating, albeit with varying levels of enthusiasm [7]. - Germany's energy minister expressed skepticism about the intervention's effectiveness, highlighting that the market was still reacting actively to price changes [8]. - Some European nations initially hesitated to support the intervention, fearing limited impact on price reduction while the Strait remained potentially blocked [8].