战火波及迪拜楼市，有人观望，有人捡漏

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of recent military conflicts in the Middle East on Dubai's real estate market, highlighting exaggerated claims of significant price drops and the potential shift of capital towards Hong Kong as a safe haven [3][5][24]. Group 1: Market Conditions in Dubai - The Dubai real estate and construction index (DFMREI) has seen a notable decline, with a drop of over 30% in the last 20 days [3]. - Despite rumors of a 50% drop in property prices, investigations reveal that mainstream areas in Dubai have not experienced significant price declines, and there are no verified cases of properties being sold at half their value [8][9]. - The average price of properties in Dubai remains stable, with the average price per square foot at 1,740 AED (approximately 39,500 RMB) as of February, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.2% [11]. Group 2: Investor Behavior and Market Dynamics - The ongoing conflict has led to a cautious approach among investors, with many transactions currently on hold as buyers adopt a wait-and-see attitude [15][19]. - The preference for property types has shifted from off-plan to completed properties, with current buyers favoring ready-to-move-in homes [18]. - Approximately 90% of property transactions are currently stagnant, with only a small number of investors still actively seeking opportunities [17]. Group 3: Future Outlook and Investor Sentiment - The long-term outlook for Dubai's real estate market remains positive, with expectations of a recovery if the conflict subsides quickly [28]. - Investors are now prioritizing risk-adjusted returns and asset liquidity over tax benefits, indicating a shift in investment strategies [24][27]. - The market is expected to see a divergence in pricing between core and non-core areas, as buyers become more selective in their investments [27].