【小鹏汽车（XPEV.N）】4Q25扭亏，2026E聚焦全球化突破与AI业务兑现——2025年四季度业绩点评报告（倪昱婧/邢萍）

Core Viewpoint - The company has shown significant improvement in financial performance, with a notable increase in total revenue and a reduction in net losses, indicating a potential turnaround in its business operations [4][5]. Financial Performance - In 4Q25, total revenue increased by 38.2% year-on-year and 9.2% quarter-on-quarter to reach 22.25 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 21.3%, up 6.9 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - The company reported a Non-GAAP net profit of 510 million yuan in 4Q25, marking a significant recovery from a net loss of 4.6 billion yuan, primarily due to approximately 840 million yuan in other income, including government subsidies [4]. - For the full year 2025, total revenue rose by 87.7% to 76.72 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 18.9%, an increase of 4.6 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Automotive Business - The automotive business generated revenue of 19.07 billion yuan in 4Q25, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 30.0% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.6%, with a gross margin of 13.0% [5]. - Research and Development (R&D) expense ratio decreased by 0.5 percentage points year-on-year to 12.9%, while Selling, General and Administrative (SG&A) expense ratio decreased by 1.6 percentage points quarter-on-quarter to 12.5% [5]. - The company has approximately 47.66 billion yuan in cash and cash equivalents as of 4Q25, with management guiding for vehicle deliveries in 1Q26E to be between 61,000 and 66,000 units [5]. Strategic Focus - The company is advancing its physical AI initiatives, focusing on global expansion and the realization of AI business opportunities [6]. - In 1Q26E, the automotive sector is expected to reach a bottom in industry fundamentals, with product structure improvements anticipated to offset demand declines and rising raw material costs [6]. - The management plans to launch four new global models this year under the "one car, dual energy" strategy, with expectations for increasing overseas market deliveries [6]. - The collaboration with Volkswagen is deepening, with Volkswagen being the first external customer for the VLA2.0+ Turing chip, which is expected to generate steady revenue and validate the company's AI technology competitiveness [6]. - The company is also progressing in the development of Robotaxi and humanoid robots, with plans for large-scale production of the new generation IRON robot by the end of 2026 [6][7].