Core Viewpoint - KIOXIA's announcement of the end-of-life (EOL) for its 2D NAND and third-generation 3D NAND products marks a significant shift in the global storage industry, indicating the end of an era for traditional flash memory technologies and a transition towards advanced 3D NAND and AI-driven storage solutions [1][11][24]. Group 1: Product Lines Affected - KIOXIA will cease production of all types of 2D NAND, including SLC, MLC, and TLC, as well as its third-generation BiCS FLASH™ 3D NAND products, covering various packaging forms such as Wafer, BGA, TSOP, eMMC, UFS, and Normal SD [1][2][6]. - The last time customers can place orders is September 30, 2026, with final shipments expected by December 31, 2028 [3][11]. Group 2: Reasons for Production Cessation - The decision to discontinue these products is driven by the need to reallocate production capacity towards higher-value segments, particularly in response to the growing demand for AI and high-performance storage solutions [11][12]. - The market for older products is shrinking, with demand for low-capacity SLC and MLC NAND declining significantly, as evidenced by the drop in market share for TSOP packaging from 8.2% in 2023 to an expected 4.7% in 2025 [13][14]. Group 3: Impact on Industries - The cessation of production will primarily impact sectors that rely on high-reliability, low-capacity storage solutions, such as industrial control and automotive electronics, which have long product life cycles and cannot quickly transition to newer technologies [16][18]. - The price of older NAND products is projected to increase by 15%-20% starting in the second half of 2026 due to supply shortages, which may persist until 2029 [16]. Group 4: Opportunities for Domestic Manufacturers - With international giants exiting the low-capacity NAND market, domestic companies like Yangtze Memory Technologies and JHICC are positioned to fill the gap, providing alternatives for industrial and automotive applications [17][18]. - These companies are already developing competitive products, including advanced 3D NAND and low-capacity solutions, which can help mitigate supply risks for domestic customers [18][20]. Group 5: Industry Trends - The storage industry is moving towards a complete transition to 3D NAND technology, with major players like KIOXIA, Samsung, and Micron reducing or shutting down their 2D NAND production lines [21][22]. - The focus is shifting to high-layer 3D NAND technologies, with advancements in stacking layers leading to increased capacity and reduced costs, essential for meeting the demands of AI and big data applications [22][23].
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是说芯语·2026-03-31 12:29