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How First Solar Stock Can Fall 40%?
Forbes· 2025-10-20 09:40
Core Insights - First Solar's stock has increased nearly 35% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500, driven by policy support, investor enthusiasm, and clean energy momentum [2][3] Group 1: Company Performance - First Solar benefits from the U.S. clean energy initiative, which includes tax incentives and domestic manufacturing subsidies [3] - The company is expanding its capacity in the U.S., reducing dependency on imported solar panels [3] - First Solar utilizes cadmium telluride thin-film modules and an innovative CURE process, enhancing its competitive edge [3] - The company reported $4.3 billion in revenue over the past twelve months, reflecting a 19% year-over-year growth, and generated approximately $1.4 billion in operating income with a 32% margin [12] Group 2: Market Risks - The stock is currently priced for perfection, with high expectations that could lead to significant downturns if results fall short [3][5] - First Solar's revenue is heavily reliant on U.S. projects, making it vulnerable to changes in government incentives and tariffs [9] - The company faces execution challenges in its expansion efforts, which require substantial capital investment [10] - Valuation concerns arise as the stock trades at 6.2x sales and 20x earnings, presuming consistent growth [10] - Weak cash flow conversion, with an operating cash flow margin of only 8%, indicates lower cash efficiency compared to the S&P 500 average of 20% [10] - Market sentiment can shift rapidly, impacting clean-energy stocks like First Solar, especially during risk-averse periods [10] Group 3: Historical Context - In 2022, First Solar's stock fell 49% during a market downturn, highlighting its volatility compared to the S&P 500's 25% decline [7][8] - Historical patterns suggest a potential downside risk for First Solar stock, with a possible correction to the $150–$160 range, indicating a 35%–40% decline [11]
Buy the Surge in First Solar Stock Before It's Too Late?
ZACKS· 2025-10-16 22:01
Core Insights - First Solar (FSLR) is experiencing renewed excitement due to strong earnings potential driven by policy support, analyst upgrades, and solid business fundamentals [1] - The company is a significant beneficiary of the Inflation Reduction Act, which promotes clean energy investments, leading to increased long-term demand visibility [1] Production and Sales - First Solar's U.S. production facilities are sold out through 2028, specializing in cadmium telluride (CdTe) thin-film solar modules that outperform traditional silicon panels [2] - The stock has increased by approximately 10% this month and nearly 40% year-to-date, with a recent peak of $248 [2] Earnings Expectations - First Solar is expected to report Q3 results on October 30, with projected sales up 74% to $1.54 billion compared to $887.67 million in the same quarter last year [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) are anticipated to rise 46% to $4.24, up from $2.91 in Q3 2024 [4] Technical Analysis - The stock has shown strong performance since breaking above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) in July, with expectations of high double-digit growth in fiscal years 2025 and 2026 [5] - Current support levels for the 50-day and 200-day SMAs are approximately $169 and $210 per share, respectively [6] Valuation Metrics - FSLR trades at a forward earnings multiple of 16X, which is a discount compared to the S&P 500 and its solar peers, and is over 20% below its decade-long median of 21X [8] Analyst Upgrades - Analysts have recently raised their price targets for First Solar, with several now exceeding $260, and Citigroup having the highest target at $300 [9] Earnings Estimate Revisions - First Solar currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), with positive EPS revisions over the last quarter, although there has been a slight dip in the last week for FY25 and FY26 [13]
TALON PV’s minority stake sale to T1 Energy boosts solar cell project
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-16 10:52
TALON PV, a company specialising in the production of high-efficiency photovoltaic (PV) solar cells, has agreed to sell a minority stake to T1 Energy. As a part of this agreement, T1 has finalised a simple agreement for future equity, to acquire a minority ownership interest in TALON PV. The proceeds generated from the deal will support the high-efficiency tunnel oxide passivated contact (TOPCon) solar cell manufacturing project, which is being developed by TALON PV in Baytown, Texas, US. The project ai ...
Why GE Venova Stock Topped the Market Today
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-13 20:39
Core Insights - GE Venova (NYSE: GEV) stock experienced a significant increase of over 7% in a single trading session, outperforming the S&P 500 index which rose by 1.6% [1] Pre-earnings Price Target Bump - Analyst Charles Minervino from Susquehanna raised his price target for GE Venova to $740 per share from $736 while maintaining a buy recommendation [2] - This adjustment in price target was made just before the company is set to release its third-quarter earnings [3] Legislative and Market Context - Minervino's revised estimates were influenced by recent legislative changes, particularly the Inflation Reduction Act, which preserves tax credits for qualifying work, benefiting GE Venova [3] - The Trump administration's focus on increasing domestic manufacturing also provides a favorable environment for GE Venova and similar companies [4] Analyst Sentiment - The analyst remains bullish on GE Venova and highlighted other companies with similar profiles, such as First Solar [4] - Despite the positive outlook from the analyst, GE Venova was not included in a list of the top 10 stocks recommended by The Motley Fool Stock Advisor [5][6]
Here's Why First Solar (FSLR) Fell More Than Broader Market
ZACKS· 2025-10-10 22:46
Core Viewpoint - First Solar is experiencing fluctuations in stock performance, with a notable upcoming earnings report that is expected to show significant growth in earnings and revenue compared to the previous year [1][2][3]. Company Performance - First Solar's stock closed at $226.08, down 3.51%, underperforming the S&P 500, which fell by 2.71% [1]. - Over the past month, First Solar's shares have appreciated by 15.24%, outperforming the Oils-Energy sector's gain of 2.1% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.5% [1]. Upcoming Earnings - The earnings report is scheduled for October 30, 2025, with projected EPS of $4.24, indicating a 45.70% increase year-over-year [2]. - Quarterly revenue is expected to reach $1.54 billion, reflecting a 73.89% increase from the same period last year [2]. Fiscal Year Estimates - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are estimated at $15.08 per share, with revenue projected at $5.36 billion, representing increases of 25.46% and 27.43%, respectively [3]. - Recent revisions to analyst forecasts are crucial as they indicate the latest business trends, with positive revisions suggesting an optimistic outlook [3]. Valuation Metrics - First Solar's Forward P/E ratio is 15.54, which is lower than the industry average of 16.91, indicating a potential valuation discount [6]. - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.47, compared to the solar industry average of 0.86, suggesting favorable growth expectations relative to its valuation [7]. Industry Context - The solar industry, part of the Oils-Energy sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 62, placing it in the top 26% of over 250 industries [7]. - The Zacks Rank system, which assesses stocks based on estimate changes, currently rates First Solar as 3 (Hold) [5].
FSLR Looks Smarter Than ON Stock: Lower Valuation, Higher Growth
Forbes· 2025-10-09 14:45
Core Insights - FSLR presents a lower valuation (P/OpInc) compared to ON Semiconductor, yet shows superior revenue and operating income growth, suggesting FSLR may be a more attractive investment option than ON [2] - The Trefis High Quality Portfolio aims to minimize stock-specific risk while providing growth potential, having consistently outperformed the S&P and achieved over 91% returns since its inception [4][6] Key Metrics Comparison - ON Semiconductor specializes in intelligent sensing and power solutions for automotive electrification, rapid-charging systems, and sustainable energy solutions across various applications [3] - A year-over-year analysis of ON Semiconductor's metrics may indicate whether the current stock price discrepancy is temporary or if ongoing underperformance suggests overvaluation [5][6] Investment Strategy - The Trefis High Quality Portfolio transforms stock-picking unpredictability into consistent market-beating results, providing a diversified strategy that may be more beneficial than investing in a single stock [2][4]
First Solar, Inc. to Announce Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results on October 30, 2025
Businesswire· 2025-10-09 13:05
TEMPE, Ariz.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR) (the "Company†) will report financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, after the market closes on Thursday, October 30, 2025. Conference Call Details are as follows: Date: Thursday, October 30, 2025 Time: 4:30 PM ET Live Webcast: investor.firstsolar.com Webcast Replay: Available through Saturday, November 29, 2025 Investors section of the Company's website approximately two hours after the call About First So. ...
First Solar: Political Overhang Keeps Shares Range-Bound (NASDAQ:FSLR)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-08 14:27
In June of last year, I covered First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR ) and rated it a Hold, citing the high valuation dependence on government tax credits that could come under scrutiny or extinction under anExperience is difficult to learn. After 30 plus years of critically analyzing the nuts and bolts of businesses as diverse as airlines, oil, retail, mining to fintech and ecommerce plus the macro, monetary and political drivers. I continue to immensely enjoy learning and applying my experience to unravel, com ...
Why The Bull Run In First Solar Should Continue (NASDAQ:FSLR)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-07 17:30
Since the beginning of April, First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR ) stock has seen a single-session move of at least 7% a whopping 13 different times. Only one of those moves — an 8%-plus decline after a disappointing first-quarterI've been contributing to Seeking Alpha and other investment websites since 2011, with a general (though far from rigid) focus on value over growth. I got my Series 7 and 63 back in 1999, and watched the dot-com bubble peak and then burst in real time at a small, tech-focused retail b ...
Why The Bull Run In First Solar Should Continue
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-07 17:30
Since the beginning of April, First Solar (NASDAQ: FSLR ) stock has seen a single-session move of at least 7% a whopping 13 different times. Only one of those moves — an 8%-plus decline after a disappointing first-quarter resultI've been contributing to Seeking Alpha and other investment websites since 2011, with a general (though far from rigid) focus on value over growth. I got my Series 7 and 63 back in 1999, and watched the dot-com bubble peak and then burst in real time at a small, tech-focused retail ...