Group 1 - AutoZone is expected to announce earnings on September 23, 2025, with forecasted revenue of approximately $6.25 billion, reflecting a 1% increase from the previous year [2] - Projected earnings per share are around $51, which is roughly unchanged from last year, indicating stable performance [2] - The company has a market capitalization of $71 billion, with total revenue over the past twelve months at $19 billion, operating profits of $3.7 billion, and net income of $2.6 billion [2] Group 2 - Historical data shows that AutoZone has recorded 20 earnings data points over the last five years, with 7 positive and 13 negative one-day returns, resulting in a 35% chance of positive returns [6] - The percentage of positive one-day returns drops to 25% when considering the last three years, indicating a potential decline in performance [6] - The median of positive returns is 3.7%, while the median of negative returns is -2.8%, highlighting the variability in post-earnings performance [6]

Economic Data Releases - This week will see the release of key economic indicators including the personal consumption expenditures price index, purchasing managers indexes, and home sales numbers [1] Company Earnings Reports - Companies such as CarMax, Cintas, and KB Home are scheduled to report their earnings this week [1]

Core Viewpoint - AutoZone is a leading retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts in the U.S., with a significant market presence and competition from other major players in the industry [1] Financial Performance Expectations - AutoZone is expected to release its quarterly earnings on September 23, 2025, with Wall Street estimating earnings per share (EPS) of $51.10 and projected revenue of approximately $6.25 billion, indicating a potential year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues for the quarter ending August 2025 [2] - The stock's movement will depend on the actual results compared to these estimates, with potential stock price increases if earnings surpass expectations, and declines if results fall short [3] Market Valuation Metrics - AutoZone has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 27.65, indicating how the market values its earnings [4] - The price-to-sales ratio stands at about 3.75, reflecting the market's valuation of its revenue [4] - The enterprise value to sales ratio is around 4.38, suggesting how the market values the company in relation to its sales, including debt [4] - The enterprise value to operating cash flow ratio is approximately 25.57, indicating how the market values its cash flow from operations [5] - AutoZone's earnings yield is about 3.62%, providing insight into the earnings generated per dollar invested [5] - The debt-to-equity ratio of approximately -3.07 highlights its capital structure and leverage [5] - The current ratio of around 0.84 indicates its ability to cover short-term liabilities with short-term assets [5]

Group 1 - AutoZone is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings on September 23, with expected earnings of $50.95 per share, a decrease from $51.58 per share in the same period last year [1] - The company projects quarterly revenue of $6.25 billion, slightly up from $6.21 billion a year earlier [1] - In the third quarter, AutoZone reported earnings per share of $35.36, missing the analyst consensus estimate of $37.17, while quarterly sales reached $4.46 billion, reflecting a 5.4% year-over-year increase [2] Group 2 - AutoZone's same-store sales grew by 3.2%, driven by strength in the domestic segment [2] - Analysts have provided positive ratings for AutoZone, with several raising their price targets significantly [5] - Raymond James analyst raised the price target from $4,200 to $4,900, while JP Morgan increased it from $4,200 to $4,850, indicating strong confidence in the stock [5]

Group 1 - AutoZone is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings on September 23, with expected earnings of $50.95 per share, a decrease from $51.58 per share in the same period last year [1] - The company projects quarterly revenue of $6.25 billion, slightly up from $6.21 billion a year earlier [1] - In the third quarter, AutoZone reported earnings per share of $35.36, missing the analyst consensus estimate of $37.17, while quarterly sales reached $4.46 billion, reflecting a 5.4% year-over-year increase [2] Group 2 - AutoZone's same-store sales grew by 3.2%, driven by strength in the domestic segment [2] - Analysts have provided various ratings and price target adjustments for AutoZone, with Raymond James raising the price target to $4,900 and maintaining a Strong Buy rating [5] - Other analysts, including those from JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, Barclays, and UBS, have also raised their price targets, indicating a generally positive outlook for the stock [5]

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in AutoZone's earnings driven by higher revenues, with a focus on how actual results will compare to estimates to influence stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - AutoZone is expected to report quarterly earnings of $51.10 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 6.2% [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $6.23 billion, indicating a 0.4% increase from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, suggesting stability in analyst expectations [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for AutoZone is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.89%, indicating a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likelihood of actual earnings deviating from consensus estimates, with positive readings being more predictive of earnings beats [9][10]. - AutoZone's current Zacks Rank is 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, AutoZone was expected to post earnings of $36.78 per share but delivered only $35.36, resulting in a surprise of -3.86% [13]. - The company has not beaten consensus EPS estimates in any of the last four quarters [14]. Conclusion - While AutoZone does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors before making investment decisions [17].

Group 1: Market Sentiment and Trading Activity - Financial giants have shown a bearish sentiment towards AutoZone, with 62% of traders exhibiting bearish tendencies and only 25% being bullish [1] - The analysis of options trading revealed 16 unusual trades, with a total value of $178,690 for puts and $579,001 for calls [1] - Significant investors are targeting a price range for AutoZone between $2600.0 and $5000.0 over the past three months [2] Group 2: Options Volume and Open Interest - Insights into volume and open interest are crucial for understanding liquidity and interest levels in AutoZone's options [3] - A snapshot of trends in volume and open interest for calls and puts indicates varying levels of activity across significant trades [4] Group 3: Company Overview - AutoZone is a leading retailer of aftermarket automotive parts in the U.S., operating over 6,500 stores and serving both DIY and commercial markets [9] - The company also has a presence in international markets, with more than 800 stores in Mexico and over 100 in Brazil [9] Group 4: Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - A consensus target price for AutoZone is set at $4646.25, with various analysts maintaining positive ratings and target prices ranging from $4250 to $4925 [11][12] Group 5: Current Stock Performance - The current price of AutoZone (AZO) is $4354.54, with a trading volume of 44,404 and an indication that the stock may be overbought according to RSI indicators [14]

Company Overview - AutoZone, Inc. is the leading retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories in the Americas [3] - As of May 10, 2025, the company operates a total of 7,516 stores, with 6,537 in the U.S., 838 in Mexico, and 141 in Brazil [2] Financial Information - AutoZone will release its fourth quarter results for the period ending August 30, 2025, before market open on September 23, 2025 [1] - A conference call to discuss the quarterly results will take place on September 23, 2025, at 10:00 a.m. (ET) [1] Product and Service Offerings - Each AutoZone store carries a wide range of products for cars, SUVs, vans, and light-duty trucks, including new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, maintenance items, and accessories [3] - The company has a commercial sales program that provides credit and delivery services to various automotive businesses [3] - AutoZone also sells products online through its websites, including automotive diagnostic and repair software under the ALLDATA brand [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the reliability of brokerage recommendations, particularly focusing on AutoZone (AZO), and emphasizes the importance of using these recommendations in conjunction with other analytical tools like the Zacks Rank for making informed investment decisions [1][5][10]. Brokerage Recommendations for AutoZone - AutoZone has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.35, indicating a consensus between Strong Buy and Buy, based on recommendations from 27 brokerage firms [2]. - Out of the 27 recommendations, 21 are Strong Buy and 2 are Buy, which represent 77.8% and 7.4% of all recommendations respectively [2]. Limitations of Brokerage Recommendations - The article highlights that brokerage recommendations may not be reliable indicators of stock performance due to analysts' biases stemming from their firms' vested interests, leading to an overrepresentation of positive ratings [6][10]. - Research indicates that brokerage firms issue five "Strong Buy" recommendations for every "Strong Sell," suggesting a lack of alignment with retail investors' interests [6][7]. Zacks Rank as an Alternative - The Zacks Rank is presented as a more effective tool for predicting stock price movements, based on earnings estimate revisions rather than brokerage recommendations [8][11]. - The Zacks Rank categorizes stocks into five groups, with a strong correlation between near-term stock price movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions [11]. Current Earnings Estimates for AutoZone - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AutoZone's current year earnings remains unchanged at $147.67, indicating steady analyst views on the company's earnings prospects [13]. - Due to the unchanged consensus estimate and other factors, AutoZone currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), suggesting caution despite the positive ABR [14].

Company Performance - O'Reilly Automotive and AutoZone, Inc. have shown strong performance over the last decade by consolidating the auto parts industry, expanding their network, and returning capital to shareholders [1] Investment Strategy - Triba Research aims to identify high-quality businesses capable of delivering sustainable, double-digit returns over the long term, focusing on companies with strong competitive advantages, operating in growing markets, maintaining low debt levels, and led by skilled management teams [2]