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Entergy and NiSource Could Be Winners as Utilities Spend $1 Trillion on AI. Dividend Investors Not So Much
Barrons· 2026-01-09 18:11
Core Viewpoint - Utilities are investing increasing profits into new power plants, while their rising share prices are leading to a decrease in dividend yields [1] Group 1 - Utilities are experiencing growing profits, which they are reinvesting into the development of new power plants [1] - The share prices of utilities are soaring, contributing to a decline in dividend yields for investors [1]
Here's Why You Should Add NI Stock to Your Portfolio Right Now
ZACKS· 2026-01-09 17:50
Core Viewpoint - NiSource Inc. (NI) is actively modernizing its infrastructure to enhance operational reliability and is transitioning from coal-based units to clean energy assets, making it a strong investment choice in the Utility-Electric Power industry [1] Growth Outlook & Surprise History - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NI's 2026 earnings per share (EPS) is $2.04, indicating an 8.2% year-over-year growth [2] - The revenue estimate for 2026 is $6.56 billion, reflecting a 4.8% year-over-year improvement [2] - NI's long-term earnings growth rate is projected at 7.9% [2] - The company has beaten earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 3.23% [2] Dividend History - NI has consistently increased shareholder value through dividends, currently paying a quarterly dividend of 28 cents per share, which annualizes to $1.12 [3] - The current dividend yield stands at 2.70%, outperforming the S&P 500 composite average of 1.07% [3] Capital Investment Focus - NI's capital investment plan anticipates expenditures of $26.4 billion to $28.4 billion for the period 2026-2030 [4] - The focus of this investment includes the development of two 1,300-megawatt natural gas-fired turbines, the addition of 400 megawatts of new battery storage, and upgrades to critical transmission infrastructure [4] - These investments aim to meet rising demand from data centers, enhance system reliability, and improve customer satisfaction [4] Overview of Debt Structure - NI's total debt to capital ratio is 58.37%, which is better than the industry average of 61.13% [5] - The company's capital structure is more efficient due to lower reliance on debt compared to industry peers [5] Solvency Ratio - NI's times interest earned (TIE) ratio at the end of Q3 2025 was 3.0, indicating effective management of long-term debt obligations [6] Share Price Performance - Over the past year, NI shares have increased by 15.3%, although this is below the industry's growth of 21.9% [9]
NiSource: Data Center Upside With Less Political Risk
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-07 11:30
Core Viewpoint - NiSource (NI) shares have increased by approximately 17% over the past year, driven by positive sentiment regarding power demand from AI data center developments [1] - However, shares have recently declined by about 7% from their peak levels due to rising concerns [1] Group 1 - The company has experienced a solid performance in the stock market, attributed to optimism surrounding the AI sector [1] - The recent pullback in share price indicates potential market volatility or changing investor sentiment [1]
NiSource: Data Center Upside With Less Political Risk (NYSE:NI)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-07 11:30
Core Viewpoint - NiSource (NI) shares have increased by approximately 17% over the past year, driven by positive sentiment regarding power demand from AI data center developments [1] - However, shares have recently declined by about 7% from their peak levels due to rising concerns [1] Group 1 - The company has experienced a solid performance in the stock market, attributed to optimism surrounding the growth in power demand [1] - The recent pullback in share price indicates potential market volatility or changing investor sentiment [1]
Here's Why NI Stock Deserves a Spot in Your Portfolio Right Now
ZACKS· 2025-11-27 19:41
Core Insights - NiSource Inc. (NI) is focused on modernizing its infrastructure and transitioning from coal-based units to clean energy assets, making it a strong investment in the Utility-Electric Power industry [1] Growth Outlook & Surprise History - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NI's 2025 earnings per share (EPS) is $1.88, indicating a year-over-year growth of 7.43% [2] - The revenue estimate for 2025 is $6.26 billion, suggesting a year-over-year improvement of 14.70% [2] - NI's long-term earnings growth rate is projected at 7.93% [2] - The company has beaten earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 3.23% [2] Dividend History - NI has consistently increased shareholder value through dividends, currently paying a quarterly dividend of 28 cents per share, leading to an annualized dividend of $1.12 [3] - The current dividend yield stands at 2.56%, outperforming the S&P 500 composite average of 1.09% [3] Capital Investment Focus - NI's capital investment plan anticipates expenditures between $26.4 billion and $28.4 billion for the period of 2026-2030 [4] - Strategic investments include the development of two 1,300-megawatt natural gas-fired turbines, 400 megawatts of new battery storage, and upgrades to critical transmission infrastructure [5] Debt Structure - NI's total debt to capital ratio is 58.37%, which is better than the industry average of 59.51% [6] - The company's capital structure is more efficient due to lower reliance on debt [6] Solvency Ratio - NI's times interest earned (TIE) ratio at the end of Q3 2025 was 3.0, indicating strong capability to meet long-term debt obligations [7] Share Price Performance - Over the past year, NI's shares have increased by 14.4%, although this lags behind the industry's growth of 16.2% [10]
Quanta Services(PWR) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-30 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Quanta Services reported revenues of $7.6 billion for Q3 2025, with a net income of $339 million, translating to $2.24 per diluted share. Adjusted diluted earnings per share were $3.33, and adjusted EBITDA was $858 million [14][15] - The company raised its full-year revenue expectations to a range of $27.8 to $28.2 billion and free cash flow expectations to $1.5 billion at the midpoint, driven by a healthy free cash flow of $438 million during the quarter [14][15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The electric segment showed accelerating demand, contributing to double-digit growth in revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS compared to the prior year [8][14] - The Total Solutions power generation platform was expanded, leveraging capabilities in renewable energy and battery energy storage solutions [10][11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Quanta Services has a record backlog of $39.2 billion, reflecting robust activity across end markets and positive momentum heading into 2026 [8][14] - The company is positioned to capitalize on a generational investment cycle in critical infrastructure, driven by increased demand for resilient grids and expanded generation and storage [10][11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to deliver certainty to customers, invest in talent and technology, and expand addressable markets through disciplined strategic growth [11][16] - Quanta's integrated solution-based model differentiates its platform by combining craft labor with engineering, technology, and program management expertise [9][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving record backlog and another year of double-digit earnings per share growth in 2026, supported by strong execution and market momentum [11][16] - The management highlighted the importance of collaboration with clients to mitigate risks associated with larger projects [30][31] Other Important Information - The company issued $1.5 billion of notes to enhance liquidity and recapitalize the balance sheet, benefiting from a recent ratings upgrade [15] - Quanta Services is focused on maintaining its investment-grade rating while strategically deploying capital [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Potential partnership with AEP for high-voltage transmission opportunities - Management confirmed a long-standing relationship with AEP and indicated ongoing discussions, but noted that none of the high-voltage projects are currently in backlog [21][22] Question: Execution risks for larger Total Solutions jobs - Management emphasized a collaborative approach with clients to de-risk projects and ensure favorable terms [29][30] Question: Strategy between recurring services and discrete EPC project delivery - Management stated that the company maintains a balance between base business and larger projects, expecting to stack large projects on top of the base [35][36] Question: Expansion into data center construction - Management expressed confidence in their ability to build comprehensive data center solutions, leveraging existing capabilities [45][46] Question: Market opportunity for combined cycle gas plants - Management indicated a selective approach to pursuing combined cycle gas plants, focusing on total solutions rather than one-off projects [57][58] Question: Margin profile for the Total Solutions power generation platform - Management stated that the margin profile for the new platform is in line or accretive compared to current electric power margins [87][88] Question: M&A focus to complement craft labor pool - Management clarified that acquisitions are strategic and aimed at filling gaps rather than increasing capacity [96][97] Question: Scarcity of skilled trades impacting growth - Management acknowledged scarcity in certain trades, particularly inside wiremen, and emphasized ongoing investment in workforce development [102][103]
NiSource outlines $28B five-year capital plan with 8%-9% EPS CAGR through 2033 as GenCo investment accelerates growth (NYSE:NI)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-30 00:57
Group 1 - The article does not provide any specific content related to a company or industry, as it appears to be a technical issue regarding browser settings and ad-blockers [1]
NiSource(NI) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 16:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a third quarter adjusted EPS of $0.19, bringing the year-to-date total to $1.38, reaffirming the upper half of the 2025 adjusted EPS guidance of $1.85 to $1.89 [8][25] - The company introduced 2026 consolidated EPS guidance of $2.02 to $2.07, reflecting a growth trajectory [8][29] - The adjusted EPS growth rate for the base business is projected at 6% to 8% annually through 2030, with a consolidated adjusted EPS CAGR of 8% to 9% through 2033 [7][30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has secured approval for the GenCo model in Indiana and full ownership of the Templeton Wind asset, enhancing its regulatory foundation [7][10] - The GenCo investments are projected to enhance the value proposition for customers and shareholders, with an investment inventory of approximately $7 billion [22][26] - The company is advancing its AI and digital strategy, achieving sustained field productivity uplifts of over 20% [9][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is actively pursuing large load customers, with a recent contract with a significant investment-grade data center customer [13][20] - The partnership with Columbia Gas of Virginia to deliver natural gas to Eli Lilly's new $5 billion facility is expected to create 650 permanent jobs and 1,800 construction jobs [11][12] - The company is focused on economic development initiatives that expand the customer base and promote efficient distribution of fixed costs [10][11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to deliver safe, reliable energy while capitalizing on emerging data center opportunities, with a focus on customer affordability [5][14] - The GenCo strategy is designed to protect existing customers while serving new customers with speed and flexibility, reinforcing the company's competitive position [12][36] - The company is committed to minimizing the financial impact of safety and reliability investments on customers, with a focus on operational excellence [30][31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the pipeline of opportunities, with negotiations for an additional 1 to 3 gigawatts of projects ongoing [37] - The company is focused on maintaining affordability and reliability, with a positive relationship with the Indiana governor's office regarding economic development opportunities [67] - Management highlighted the importance of thoughtful risk management provisions in contracts to protect financial integrity [24][74] Other Important Information - The company has refreshed its five-year capital expenditure plan, increasing the base capital plan to $21 billion, with an additional $7 billion for data center investments [26][27] - The company is committed to a 14% to 16% FFO to debt ratio in all years of its plan, with a downgrade threshold of 13% [44][31] - The partnership with Blackstone Infrastructure Partners will contribute $1.5 billion in equity to support current initiatives and future growth opportunities [31][32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you speak to the quality of the customer behind the agreement? - The customer is a very large investment-grade data center customer, and the company has a clear path towards executing additional contracts based on this model [41][42] Question: What are the downgrade thresholds as you become more integrated? - The company believes that the risk management provisions in the contract provide adequate protection, and no change in downgrade thresholds is expected [44] Question: Can you elaborate on the $0.25 versus the $0.45 range? - The $0.25 to $0.45 range reflects contributions from multiple customers, with the potential for additional customers to push towards the higher end of that range [50][51] Question: What is the contribution from NiSource for GenCo? - The guidance reflects the total cost of financing, including equity, debt, and non-controlling interest associated with minority interest investors [52] Question: Can you discuss the return profile or capital structure assumptions within GenCo? - The targeted return for GenCo is expected to be greater than NIPSCO's regulated rate of return, with a flexible capital structure to support customer needs [79][80] Question: What is the timing differential of capital investment versus earnings realization? - Most capital expenditures occur between 2025 and 2030, with earnings realization linked to the completion of construction cycles [81][82]
NiSource(NI) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 16:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a third quarter adjusted EPS of $0.19, bringing the year-to-date total to $1.38, reaffirming the upper half of the 2025 adjusted EPS guidance of $1.85-$1.89 [8][25] - The company introduced 2026 consolidated EPS guidance of $2.02-$2.07, reflecting a projected growth from the 2025 midpoint [28][34] - The adjusted EPS trajectory is expected to grow at a CAGR of 8.2% from $1.37 in 2021 to a projected $1.88 in 2025 [32][33] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company secured approval of the Genco model in Indiana and full ownership of the Templeton Wind asset, reinforcing its regulatory foundation [7][10] - The Genco investments are projected to enhance the value proposition for customers and shareholders, with an investment inventory of approximately $7 billion [22][23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is advancing its tracker programs in Ohio and Indiana, with a Pennsylvania rate case expected to conclude by year-end [10][11] - Columbia Gas of Virginia's partnership with Eli Lilly for a $5 billion manufacturing facility is expected to create 650 permanent jobs and 1,800 construction jobs, showcasing economic development [11][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims for a 6%-8% annual adjusted EPS growth rate through 2030 and an 8%-9% adjusted EPS CAGR through 2033, aligning financial plans with long-term stakeholder value [7][30] - The Genco strategy is designed to protect existing customers while serving new large load customers with speed and flexibility, enhancing the competitive position [12][21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management emphasized the importance of customer affordability and the proactive approach to economic development, ensuring reliability and sustainability [11][12] - The company is confident in its ability to execute large-scale construction projects and is focused on operational excellence to meet growing customer needs [10][36] Other Important Information - The company has refreshed its five-year capital expenditure plan to $28 billion, which includes $7 billion for data center investments, marking one of the largest investment cycles in its history [26][27] - The partnership with Blackstone Infrastructure Partners will contribute $1.5 billion in equity, reinforcing the capital structure for Genco [31][32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you speak to the quality of the customer behind the agreement? - The customer is a large investment-grade data center customer, and the company has a clear path for executing future negotiations based on this model [39][41] Question: What are the downgrade thresholds as you become more integrated? - The company believes that the risk management provisions in the contract provide adequate protection, and no change in downgrade thresholds is expected [43][44] Question: Can you elaborate on the $0.25 versus the $0.45 range? - The $0.25-$0.45 range reflects contributions from the current customer, with potential upside from additional strategic negotiations [49][50] Question: What is the contribution from NiSource for Genco? - The guidance reflects the total cost of financing, including equity and debt, supporting the full $28 billion of capital expenditures [52][53] Question: Can you discuss the return profile or capital structure assumptions within Genco? - The targeted return for Genco is expected to be greater than NIPSCO's regulated rate of return, with a flexible capital structure to support development [77][79] Question: What is the timing differential of capital investment versus earnings realization? - Most capital expenditures will occur between 2025 and 2030, with earnings realization linked to the completion of construction cycles [81][82]
NiSource(NI) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 16:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a third quarter adjusted EPS of $0.19, bringing the year-to-date total to $1.38, reaffirming the upper half of the 2025 adjusted EPS guidance of $1.85 to $1.89 [6][22] - The 2026 consolidated EPS guidance is announced to be $2.02 to $2.07, reflecting strong financial commitments and growth potential [6][26] - The adjusted EPS trajectory shows an increase from $1.37 in 2021 to a projected $1.88 in 2025, representing an 8.2% CAGR over five years [29] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has secured approval for the GenCo model in Indiana and full ownership of the Templeton Wind asset, reinforcing its regulatory foundation [5][8] - The GenCo investments are projected to enhance the value proposition for customers and shareholders, with an investment inventory of approximately $7 billion [19][22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is advancing its regulatory agenda in Ohio and Indiana, with a Pennsylvania rate case expected to conclude by year-end [8][9] - Columbia Gas of Virginia's partnership with Eli Lilly for a $5 billion manufacturing facility is highlighted as a proactive economic development initiative [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims for a 6% to 8% annual adjusted EPS growth rate through 2030 and an 8% to 9% CAGR for consolidated business through 2033 [5][27] - Investments in AI-driven operational efficiencies are emphasized to enhance customer affordability and service quality [7][10] - The GenCo strategy is designed to protect existing customers while serving new large load customers with speed and flexibility [10][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expresses confidence in the pipeline of projects and the ability to execute on new customer agreements, highlighting a robust growth strategy [33] - The focus remains on customer affordability and operational excellence, with a commitment to minimizing the financial impact of investments on customers [11][28] Other Important Information - The company has introduced a refreshed five-year capital expenditure plan of $28 billion, which includes $7 billion for data center investments [23][24] - The partnership with Blackstone Infrastructure Partners is expected to contribute $1.5 billion in equity, reinforcing the capital structure [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you speak to the quality of the customer behind the agreement? - The customer is described as a very large investment-grade data center customer, with a new business model being unlocked for future negotiations [35][36] Question: What is the return profile or capital structure assumptions within the GenCo? - The targeted return for GenCo is expected to exceed NIPSCO's regulated rate of return, with a flexible capital structure to support customer needs [64][65] Question: Can you elaborate on the $0.25 versus the $0.45 range? - The range reflects contributions from multiple customers, with the current customer fitting within that range, and additional customers could push towards the higher end [43][44] Question: What protections are in place for the contracts? - The contracts include thoughtful risk management provisions, cost-sharing arrangements, and a fixed-rate structure to mitigate risks [60][61] Question: How does the timing of capital investment align with earnings realization? - Most capital expenditures occur between 2025 and 2030, with earnings ramping up as customers begin to utilize the infrastructure [66][67]