Core Insights - AMC Entertainment is expected to report a quarterly loss of -$0.20 per share, reflecting an 11.1% decline year-over-year [1] - Anticipated revenues for the quarter are projected at $1.28 billion, which represents a decrease of 1.9% compared to the same quarter last year [1] Earnings Projections - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 10% over the past 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2] - Changes in earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price movements [3] Revenue Estimates - Analysts estimate 'Revenues- Food and beverage' will reach $428.73 million, indicating a year-over-year decline of 3.9% [5] - 'Revenues- Other theatre' is forecasted to be $136.63 million, reflecting a decrease of 1.6% year-over-year [5] - The estimated 'Revenues- Admissions' is projected at $706.53 million, suggesting a decline of 2.1% year-over-year [5] Stock Performance - AMC Entertainment shares have decreased by 23% in the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's decline of 0.8% [5] - With a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), AMC is expected to closely follow overall market performance in the near term [5]

Company Overview - AMC Entertainment's stock increased by 1.63% to $1.25, outperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.1% [1] - Over the past month, AMC's shares have declined by 23.6%, while the Consumer Discretionary sector and S&P 500 lost 2.88% and 1.43%, respectively [1] Upcoming Earnings - AMC Entertainment is set to release its earnings report on February 24, 2026, with an expected loss of -$0.16 per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 11.11% [2] - The consensus estimate for revenue is projected at $1.28 billion, reflecting a decrease of 2.37% from the previous year [2] Full Year Estimates - For the full year, analysts expect AMC to report earnings of -$1.17 per share and revenue of $4.83 billion, representing changes of +8.59% and +4.09% from the previous year, respectively [3] Analyst Estimates - Recent changes in analyst estimates for AMC suggest a positive outlook on the company's business operations and profit generation capabilities [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which incorporates these estimate changes, currently rates AMC as 3 (Hold) [6] Industry Context - AMC operates within the Leisure and Recreation Services industry, which is part of the Consumer Discretionary sector [7] - The current Zacks Industry Rank for this sector is 190, placing it in the bottom 23% of over 250 industries [7]

Core Insights - AMC Entertainment is facing significant downward pressure on its stock, with recent filings indicating a need for equity flexibility and a focus on refinancing its debt load [2][4][5]. Financial Performance - Preliminary financial results for 2025 show fourth-quarter revenue of approximately $1.29 billion and a net loss of around $127 million, with cash and equivalents decreasing to $428.5 million from the previous year [3]. - The company is pursuing a $2.5 billion refinancing package, which includes a new $750 million term loan, aimed at replacing existing debt and managing its post-pandemic financial obligations [4]. Stock Performance - AMC's stock has decreased by 66.62% over the past 12 months and is currently trading close to its 52-week lows, reflecting ongoing challenges [5]. - As of the latest data, AMC shares were trading at $1.24, near its all-time low of $1.21 [11]. Technical Indicators - The stock is trading 1.64% above its 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and 2.44% below its 100-day SMA, indicating a mixed technical outlook [5]. - The MACD status remains neutral, suggesting indecisive momentum in the stock [6]. Analyst Consensus - The stock carries a Hold rating with an average price target of $5.04, with key resistance at $1.50 and support at $1.00 [9]. - EPS estimates indicate a loss of 19 cents, with revenue estimates revised down to $1.27 billion [10].

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in earnings for AMC Entertainment despite lower revenues, with a focus on how actual results will compare to estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - AMC is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.16 per share, reflecting an 11.1% year-over-year change, while revenues are projected to be $1.28 billion, down 2.4% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 10% lower in the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4][12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Most Accurate Estimate for AMC is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -12.17%, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12]. - A positive Earnings ESP is generally a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, AMC was expected to post a loss of $0.19 per share but actually reported a loss of $0.21, resulting in a surprise of -10.53% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, AMC has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [14]. Conclusion - AMC Entertainment does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, and investors should consider other factors when making decisions regarding the stock ahead of its earnings release [17].

Group 1 - AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. has entered into an agreement to issue up to $150 million in common stock [1] - AMC announced its preliminary Q4 2025 results [1] - Aaron Chow, known as Elephant Analytics, has over 15 years of analytical experience and is a top-rated analyst on TipRanks [1] Group 2 - Aaron Chow co-founded a mobile gaming company, Absolute Games, which was acquired by PENN Entertainment [1] - Chow designed in-game economic models for two mobile apps that have over 30 million combined installs [1] - The investing group Distressed Value Investing, founded by Chow, focuses on value opportunities and distressed plays, particularly in the energy sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - AMC Entertainment is facing significant bearish pressure on its stock, with ongoing financial challenges and a recent decline in share price despite some positive trends in box office attendance [1][5]. Group 1: Capital-Raising Options - AMC has registered an automatic shelf on Form S-3 with the SEC, allowing the issuance of various securities, including Class A common stock and preferred stock, on a delayed or continuous basis [2]. - The company has filed a prospectus supplement covering up to $150 million in Class A common stock to be sold through an at-the-market program [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Preliminary financial results for 2025 indicate fourth-quarter revenue of approximately $1.29 billion and a quarterly net loss of around $127 million, with full-year revenue at about $4.85 billion and a net loss of approximately $632 million [3]. - AMC ended 2025 with $428.5 million in cash and equivalents, a significant decrease from the previous year, contributing to investor sensitivity regarding potential equity issuance [4]. Group 3: Stock Performance - AMC's stock is trading 9.2% below its 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and 38.1% below its 100-day SMA, indicating a bearish trend [5]. - The stock has decreased by 56.50% over the past 12 months and is closer to its 52-week lows than highs, reflecting ongoing weakness [5]. - As of the latest data, AMC shares were down 7.43% at $1.37, with key resistance at $1.50 and key support at $1.35 [8]. Group 4: Market Indicators - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 45.22, indicating neutral territory, while the MACD is above its signal line, suggesting some bullish momentum despite the overall downtrend [6]. - The combination of a neutral RSI and bullish MACD indicates mixed momentum, with potential for a reversal if buying interest increases [6]. Group 5: Box Office Performance - Despite financial challenges, AMC has experienced a resurgence in box office attendance, particularly following the release of blockbuster films like Avatar: Fire and Ash, which provided a temporary boost to the stock [7].

近期，美股电影娱乐板块各家公司陆续公布业绩报告，在电影行业的一片萧条中，IMAX脱颖而出，以股价涨幅超44%的成绩领跑同业。 与之形成鲜明对比的是，传统院线巨头同期普遍陷入股价低迷态势：AMC股价跌幅超60%，Cinemark股价下跌25%，Marcus Theatres股价亦下滑约28%。 这种显著的行业分化，使得IMAX成为美股电影板块的核心领跑者。 2025年主要电影院线公司股价变动情况，IMAX一枝独秀（数据：FactSet；图源：CNBC） 从行业发展规律来看，电影市场竞争格局迭代频繁，头部企业兴衰交替较为常见，但IMAX在行业整体承压背景下实现股价大幅攀升，而同业企业集体受 挫的局面，实属行业罕见。 这一现象恰如"淘金热"时期的商业逻辑：当多数参与者聚焦于核心资源挖掘而收益有限时，为行业提供基础服务与支撑的主体反而能够实现稳定收益。 IMAX当前在电影市场的定位，正是此类"卖水者"，在行业下行周期中构建了差异化的生存与发展路径。 闷声发大财 据IMAX披露，2025年全球IMAX票房收入创下12.8亿美元历史纪录，较2024年同比增长超40%，较2019年行业繁荣期创下的票房纪录亦高出13%，彰显 ...

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Company Performance - AMC Entertainment's stock closed at $1.38, reflecting a -1.43% change from the previous day's closing price, underperforming the S&P 500's loss of 0.84% [1] - The stock has decreased by 8.5% over the past month, compared to a loss of 3.44% in the Consumer Discretionary sector and a gain of 1.8% in the S&P 500 [1] Upcoming Financial Results - AMC is expected to report earnings of -$0.16 per share, which would indicate a year-over-year growth of 11.11% [2] - Revenue is projected to be $1.28 billion, representing a 2.37% decline compared to the same quarter last year [2] Fiscal Year Estimates - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are estimated at -$1.17 per share, with revenue expected to be $4.83 billion, showing changes of +8.59% and 0% respectively from the previous year [3] - Recent changes in analyst estimates for AMC are crucial as they reflect the evolving business trends and analysts' outlook on profitability [3] Zacks Rank and Industry Performance - The Zacks Rank system, which evaluates estimate changes, currently ranks AMC at 3 (Hold) [5] - Over the past month, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has decreased by 10.71% [5] - The Leisure and Recreation Services industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 165, placing it in the bottom 33% of over 250 industries [6]

Core Viewpoint - AMC Entertainment has projected a fourth-quarter loss that is expected to be wider than Wall Street estimates, indicating a slow recovery in theater attendance post-pandemic [1] Company Summary - The company is experiencing challenges in recovering from pandemic-era lows, as the return to theaters has been slower than anticipated [1]