GDEV Inc.
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Roblox Stock Gains 31% in 6 Months: Is Holding Still the Right Move?
ZACKS· 2025-04-07 16:10
Core Viewpoint - Roblox Corporation (RBLX) has demonstrated strong stock performance, gaining 30.8% over the past six months, contrasting with the decline in the Zacks Gaming industry and broader market indices [1][2]. Stock Performance - As of the latest close, RBLX stock was priced at $52.96, below its 52-week high of $75.74 and above its 52-week low of $29.55 [2]. - RBLX has outperformed competitors such as GDEV Inc., Accel Entertainment, and Flutter Entertainment, which saw declines of 70.6%, 16.5%, and 12.6% respectively over the same period [2]. Growth Factors - The company is experiencing steady growth, with bookings increasing by 24% year-over-year to $4,369.1 million in 2024, supported by a rise in daily unique paying users from 852,000 in 2023 to approximately 1,040,000 [5]. - Strategic investments have improved app stability, launch times, and user engagement, contributing to higher spending and growth in bookings per daily active user [6]. Advertising and Revenue Projections - Roblox is advancing in the advertising sector through partnerships, including a notable collaboration with Google to enhance immersive advertising formats [7]. - For 2025, the company anticipates revenue between $4,245 million and $4,345 million, reflecting an 18% to 21% year-over-year increase, with bookings projected between $5,200 million and $5,300 million, marking growth of 19% to 21% [8]. Profitability Concerns - Despite growth in user activity and bookings, the company reported a net loss of $940.6 million in 2024, with expectations for a wider loss in 2025 between $1,070 million and $995 million due to high R&D and marketing expenses [10]. Technical Indicators - The stock is trading above its 200-day simple moving average, indicating solid long-term momentum, but below its 50-day simple moving average, reflecting near-term volatility [13]. Valuation - RBLX is currently valued at a premium compared to the industry, with a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 5.99X, significantly higher than the industry average of 2.33X [14]. Conclusion - The company shows strength in user engagement and bookings, supported by platform improvements and strategic partnerships, but faces challenges with widening losses and elevated expenses [16][17].
GDEV announces results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024
Newsfilter· 2025-03-31 20:00
Core Insights - GDEV Inc. reported a decline in revenue for Q4 2024, with total revenue of $98 million, down 11% year-over-year, primarily due to a decrease in bookings [4][6][10] - The company experienced a significant drop in profit for the period, net of tax, which fell to $2 million from $11 million in Q4 2023, attributed to increased finance expenses and losses from equity-accounted associates [8][10] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2024 was $12 million, reflecting a 22% increase year-over-year, indicating improved operational efficiency despite revenue declines [6][8][20] Financial Performance - Revenue for Q4 2024 was $98 million, down from $109 million in Q4 2023, marking an 11% decrease [3][4] - Full-year revenue for 2024 totaled $421 million, a 9% decline from $465 million in 2023 [3][4] - Platform commissions decreased by 16% to $21 million in Q4 2024, driven by a 10% drop in revenues from in-game purchases [5][6] - Selling and marketing expenses decreased by 14% year-over-year to $47 million, reflecting a strategic shift towards higher-margin audiences [6][10] Operational Performance - Total bookings in Q4 2024 were $94 million, down 11% from $106 million in Q4 2023, primarily due to a 19% decline in monthly paying users [10][11] - Average Bookings Per Paying User (ABPPU) increased by 10% year-over-year to $102, indicating improved monetization [6][10] - The share of bookings from the European market grew by 5 percentage points to 32%, showcasing successful user acquisition campaigns [6][10][13] Geographic and Platform Distribution - The geographic distribution of bookings remained stable, with Europe increasing its share to 32% in Q4 2024, while the US remained at 34% [12][13] - The split of bookings by platform showed mobile at 57% and PC at 43%, consistent with the previous year [12][13] Cash Flow and Financial Position - Cash flows from operating activities were $5 million in Q4 2024, down from $10 million in Q4 2023, but the company maintained a strong cash position of $1512 million [9][10]