Company Performance - ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. (CHPT) closed at $0.70, reflecting a +0.66% change from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.1% [1] - The stock has increased by 16.06% over the past month, which is below the Auto-Tires-Trucks sector's gain of 24% and above the S&P 500's gain of 9.86% [1] Upcoming Earnings - The upcoming earnings release is anticipated, with projected earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.05, representing a 54.55% increase from the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is estimated at $100.52 million, indicating a 6.09% decrease compared to the same quarter of the previous year [2] Fiscal Year Estimates - For the entire fiscal year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates predict an EPS of -$0.16 and revenue of $455.9 million, reflecting changes of +57.89% and +9.31% respectively from the previous year [3] Analyst Estimates - Recent changes to analyst estimates indicate short-term business trends, with positive revisions suggesting analyst optimism regarding the company's business and profitability [4] Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), has shown that 1 ranked stocks have yielded an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [6] - ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), with no changes in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate over the past month [6] Industry Context - The Automotive - Original Equipment industry, part of the Auto-Tires-Trucks sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 144, placing it in the bottom 42% of over 250 industries [7] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Company Performance - ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. (CHPT) closed at $0.63, reflecting a +0.48% change from the previous trading day's closing, which lagged behind the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.63% [1] - Over the past month, shares of ChargePoint have depreciated by 0.14%, underperforming the Auto-Tires-Trucks sector's gain of 5.27% and outperforming the S&P 500's loss of 0.7% [1] Earnings Projections - The upcoming earnings per share (EPS) for ChargePoint is projected to be -$0.05, indicating a 54.55% increase from the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is expected to be $100.52 million, reflecting a 6.09% drop compared to the year-ago quarter [2] - For the full year, analysts expect earnings of -$0.16 per share and revenue of $455.9 million, marking changes of +57.89% and +9.31% respectively from last year [3] Analyst Forecasts - Recent revisions to analyst forecasts for ChargePoint should be monitored, as positive estimate revisions are interpreted as a good sign for the company's business outlook [4] - Empirical research indicates that revisions in estimates correlate with impending stock price performance [5] Zacks Rank - ChargePoint currently features a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), with no change in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate over the past month [6] - The Zacks Rank system ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell) and has a proven track record of outperformance, with 1 stocks returning an average of +25% annually since 1988 [6] Industry Context - The Automotive - Original Equipment industry, part of the Auto-Tires-Trucks sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 173, placing it within the bottom 30% of over 250 industries [7] - Research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Core Viewpoint - ChargePoint, a leading electric vehicle (EV) charging station builder, is currently undervalued and may present a contrarian investment opportunity despite its recent struggles and stock price decline [1][4]. Company Overview - ChargePoint operates in the EV charging sector, providing charging stations for residential and commercial customers, managing 342,000 charging ports by the end of fiscal 2025, including over 33,000 DC fast chargers [5][6]. - The company’s business model differs from Tesla's, focusing on selling connected charging stations and providing network access, billing, and customer support, rather than standalone charging stalls [6][7]. Financial Performance - ChargePoint experienced significant revenue growth in fiscal years 2022 and 2023, but revenue declined in fiscal 2025, with a total revenue of $417 million, down 18% year-over-year [9]. - Adjusted gross margins improved to 26% in fiscal 2025, despite the overall revenue decline, while operating and net losses narrowed compared to previous years [10]. - The company reported a net loss of $283 million in fiscal 2025, with adjusted EBITDA improving to a loss of $117 million [9][10]. Market Conditions - The EV market faced challenges in fiscal 2024 due to high interest rates, leading to decreased demand for new charging stations and negatively impacting ChargePoint's financial metrics [8][11]. - Analysts expect ChargePoint's revenue to rise by 11% in fiscal 2026, although this outlook may be influenced by external factors such as tariffs and trade tensions [11]. Future Outlook - ChargePoint anticipates achieving positive adjusted EBITDA in fiscal 2026, with analysts projecting a return to positive adjusted EBITDA in fiscal 2027, which could stabilize the company and enhance its stock value [12]. - The company’s enterprise value stands at $434 million, trading at less than 1 times its estimated sales for fiscal 2026, indicating potential for stock appreciation with positive news [13]. Investment Considerations - ChargePoint's stock is considered a risky investment, but potential positive developments, such as better-than-expected quarterly results and a clearer outlook, could attract deep-value investors and trigger a short squeeze due to high short interest [14].

Industry Overview - The electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure market is rapidly expanding globally, with China leading at over 3.2 million public charge points, followed by Europe with over 900,000, and the United States with approximately 206,000 public charging ports [1][2][3] - The U.S. is set to add more than 11,500 EV charging ports through the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, aiming for a total of 500,000 publicly available EV chargers by 2030 [2] Company Analysis: EVgo - EVgo has seen a 35% year-over-year revenue growth in Q4 2024, driven by increased charging sessions, with a network throughput of 84 gigawatt-hours compared to 50 gigawatt-hours in the previous year [5] - The company has expanded its operational stalls from 2,980 to 4,080 and added over 133,000 accounts in the quarter [5] - A joint development agreement with Delta Electronics aims to enhance charger reliability and cost efficiency, potentially boosting EVgo's prospects [6] - Despite growth, EVgo remains unprofitable with a negative adjusted EBITDA and is vulnerable to shifts in federal policy due to its reliance on NEVI funding [8] Company Analysis: ChargePoint - ChargePoint has reduced its non-GAAP operating expenses by 42% and reported a 14% year-over-year growth in subscription revenues, reaching $38 million in Q4 [10] - The company operates 342,000 managed charging ports, benefiting from increasing EV adoption, and is not reliant on NEVI funding, providing insulation from federal policy changes [10] - ChargePoint's collaboration with General Motors aims to install hundreds of ultra-fast charging ports across the U.S. by 2025, enhancing its growth prospects [11] - The company has introduced innovative solutions to combat EV charger vandalism, which are expected to strengthen its market position [12] Financial Performance - In the trailing 12 months, EVgo shares have decreased by 9.8%, while ChargePoint shares have dropped by 64.2%, compared to a 6.1% decline in the Zacks Auto, Tires and Trucks sector [14] - EVgo's forward price/sales ratio is 1.94x, while ChargePoint's is 0.64x, indicating that both stocks are not considered cheap [16] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for EVgo's 2025 loss is 55 cents per share, while ChargePoint's fiscal 2026 loss estimate is 19 cents per share [20][21] Investment Outlook - EVgo's high valuation is not justified given its risky growth prospects and dependence on federal policies, leading to a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [22] - ChargePoint, with its cost-cutting measures, growing revenues, and strong partnerships, presents a more stable investment opportunity, carrying a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [23]

Core Insights - The electric vehicle (EV) sector is rapidly evolving, with artificial intelligence (AI) and emerging technologies playing a significant role in transforming autonomous driving and energy efficiency, making it a promising investment opportunity [1] NVIDIA - NVIDIA is leading the autonomous driving market with its DRIVE Hyperion platform, providing essential AI compute power for self-driving technologies in collaboration with major automakers like Tesla, Mercedes-Benz, and Volvo [2] - The company's AI solutions enhance EV battery optimization through real-time energy management, improving battery longevity and vehicle efficiency [3] - NVIDIA's comprehensive AI computing strategy positions it for long-term growth in the automotive AI market, which is experiencing exponential growth due to increasing reliance on AI technologies [3][4] ChargePoint - ChargePoint operates one of the largest EV charging networks in North America and Europe, reporting over 329,000 managed charging ports, a 20% year-over-year increase in Q3 fiscal 2025 [5] - The company utilizes AI to improve charging station reliability and efficiency, with recent solutions resolving nearly 50% of reported station issues [6] - ChargePoint benefits from supportive government policies and partnerships, positioning it for sustained revenue growth despite short-term macroeconomic challenges [7][8] Investment Opportunities - Both NVIDIA and ChargePoint are well-positioned to capitalize on the AI-EV megatrend, with NVIDIA focusing on AI-driven vehicle intelligence and ChargePoint enhancing EV adoption through its expanding charging network [9][10]