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CMBS: “Commercial Mortgage BS”
Wolfstreet· 2025-12-05 16:29
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the complexities and risks associated with Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS), highlighting the challenges faced by borrowers and the potential pitfalls of these financial instruments. Group 1: CMBS Overview - CMBS stands for "commercial mortgage-backed security," which involves bundling loans from major banks into a mortgage pool ranging from $500 million to $2 billion, then securitizing and selling them as bonds to investors [3][4]. - Approximately 10-15% of all commercial real estate (CRE) loans are now securitized by CMBS, providing much-needed liquidity to the industry [4]. Group 2: Advantages of CMBS - CMBS loans are attractive to borrowers due to their relative availability compared to life insurance companies, which have stricter underwriting standards [6][8]. - CMBS lenders often offer more favorable terms, such as higher loan-to-value ratios and longer terms, making them appealing for both novice and experienced developers [7][8]. Group 3: Risks and Challenges - CMBS loans come with significant restrictions, including a lockout period during which loans cannot be prepaid and complex approval processes for property sales [10]. - Defaulting on a CMBS loan can lead to a substantial increase in interest rates, often by 5% or more, creating additional financial strain for borrowers [11]. - The servicers of CMBS loans have limited discretion and are bound by complex agreements, making negotiations difficult in times of distress [12][15]. Group 4: Case Studies - A case study involving a $6.2 million CMBS loan for a Safeway center illustrates the challenges faced when a tenant's credit rating drops, leading to unexpected financial demands from the servicer [12][14]. - Another example highlights a $4.5 million loan for a Rite Aid, where the servicer implemented a "cash trap," forcing the borrower to cover ongoing expenses despite not being in default [16]. Group 5: Conclusion - The article compares CMBS loans to base jumping, emphasizing that while there is a chance of success, the risks are significant, with a high likelihood of encountering serious issues over time [17][18].
Thomas: Turkey is cheaper at retail, but wholesale costs are rising
CNBC Television· 2025-11-26 12:31
Food Price Inflation Drivers - Food prices have been accelerating in recent months due to supply chain issues [1] - Tariffs, especially on Brazil, have impacted coffee prices [2] - Bird flu is raising wholesale turkey prices [3] - US cattle herd being at a multi-year low is driving up beef prices, with beef up about 15% year-over-year and ground beef up about 13% [5][6] - Disease in hog herds has led to increased pork prices [11][12] Retail Strategies - Retailers like Kroger and Albertson's are trying to keep prices lower through promotions and cost-cutting to attract consumers [4] - Retailers are promoting more private label products and deals to keep prices steady for consumers [15] Protein Market Dynamics - Protein demand is robust among American consumers, driving up meat prices [12] - Chicken prices have remained relatively stable due to restaurant promotions [10] Future Outlook - Pork prices could turn around faster than beef prices [14] - Beef price relief is not expected in the near future due to the two-year biological clock for cattle herd rebuilding and Tyson Foods reducing beef production [7][8][14] - Egg prices could spike in December and January if bird flu affects egg-laying flocks [14]