The ECB, which also publishes quarterly surveys on bank lending and professional forecasters’ economic views in the coming week, is one of a dozen central banks due to set rates. The UK, Mexico and the Czech Republic are also expected to hold, while India and Poland may cut. Australia’s RBA might become the first major central bank to hike this year.“Europe has had a geopolitically turbulent start to the year, and the ECB will likely continue to focus on the forest instead of the trees. That means it will p ...

Federal Reserve and Interest Rate Decisions - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is anticipated to implement another quarter-point interest-rate cut despite concerns from policymakers about high inflation [6] - Economists predict the Fed will pause after the upcoming cut, with two additional reductions expected in March and September 2026 [2] - The Fed's recent rate cuts were influenced by a deterioration in the US labor market, but some officials have expressed hesitance about further cuts due to inflation concerns [5] Economic Data and Market Reactions - Investors showed skepticism about another rate cut until New York Fed President John Williams indicated potential for a reduction, leading to a market expectation of over 90% for a cut next week [3] - The lack of recent economic data due to a government shutdown has contributed to uncertainty regarding inflation and employment mandates [4] - Third-quarter growth exceeded expectations, primarily driven by lower imports and increased military spending, while household consumption declined [7] Global Central Bank Actions - The Bank of Canada is expected to maintain its rate at 2.25%, indicating it is at an appropriate level given economic forecasts [6] - Other central banks, including those in Australia and Switzerland, are also making decisions regarding interest rates, with Australia likely to hold steady at 3.6% [12][13] - In Latin America, Mexico's inflation data is expected to show increases, while Brazil's central bank is anticipated to hold rates steady at 15% [19][21]

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