Core Viewpoint - Caterpillar is experiencing a significant decline in profits due to unfavorable manufacturing costs from higher tariffs, despite having strong momentum and solid fundamentals [2][5] Financial Performance - Caterpillar reported a 21% decline in profits for the second quarter, attributed to increased manufacturing costs [2] - The company has a record total order backlog of $51.2 billion, which rose 71% year-over-year, providing notable revenue visibility [6][7] - The Power & Energy segment's sales increased by 44% year-over-year in Q4 2025, driven by demand from AI data centers [6] Market Position and Growth Drivers - Caterpillar is tapping into a new revenue stream from AI data centers, which is expected to provide long-term growth and counterbalance typical cyclicality [3] - The company secured a 2-gigawatt generator order for a single data center campus, highlighting its market leadership [6] Margin and Profitability Concerns - The adjusted operating margin decreased by 270 basis points year-over-year in Q4 2025 to 15.6%, indicating structural margin pressure from tariffs [7] - Long-term profitability metrics show an average operating cash flow margin of 18.4% and an operating margin of 18.7% over the last three years [6] Investment Sentiment - The investment debate centers around whether the substantial backlog and AI-driven growth can offset cyclical slowdown risks and immediate margin pressures [5] - The general consensus on Caterpillar's stock leans neutral due to the tension between backlog strength and margin pressures [5]

Understanding the Power Inflow SignalOrder flow analytics analyze real-time buying and selling trends by examining the volume, timing, and order size across both retail and institutional traders. These insights offer a more detailed understanding of price behavior and market sentiment for a stock, allowing the trader or institution to make the most informed decision possible.CAT PerformanceAt the time of the Power Inflow, CAT was priced at $729.81. Following the signal:• Intraday High As Of 2:00 PM EST: $75 ...

Kodiak Gas Services (NYSE:KGS) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 26, 2026 11:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsDoug Irwin - Managing DirectorEli Jossen - VP of Equity ResearchGraham Sones - VP of Investor RelationsJohn Griggs - EVP and CFOJohn Mackay - VP in Equity ResearchMickey McKee - President and CEONate Pendleton - VP of Sales and TradingConference Call ParticipantsJim Rollyson - Director and Equity Research AnalystNeal Dingmann - Equity Research Analyst in Energy and Power TechnologiesSelman Akyol - Managing ...

Core Insights - Caterpillar and Deere reported contrasting earnings, with Caterpillar achieving record revenue driven by data center demand, while Deere faced significant profit declines in agriculture [1] Group 1: Caterpillar's Performance - Caterpillar's Q4 2025 revenue reached $19.13 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of $16.2 billion, with a 44% year-over-year surge in power generation [1] - The Power & Energy segment grew 23% to $9.40 billion, contributing significantly to Caterpillar's success [1] - Caterpillar ended 2025 with a record backlog of $51 billion, up 71% from the previous year [1] Group 2: Deere's Performance - Deere's Q1 fiscal 2026 revenue was $9.61 billion, a 13% increase year-over-year, with EPS of $2.42 beating the estimate of $2.10 [1] - The Production & Precision Agriculture segment saw a 59% collapse in operating profit, with margins dropping from 11.0% to 4.4% [1] - Despite challenges, Deere's Construction & Forestry operating profit more than doubled [1] Group 3: Market Outlook and Challenges - Caterpillar faces $2.6 billion in incremental tariff costs in 2026, impacting margins in Construction and Resource Industries [1] - Deere anticipates a 15% to 20% decline in large agriculture markets in 2026, with a projected $1.2 billion pretax tariff expense [1] - Both companies are navigating tariff impacts but from different operational angles [1] Group 4: Valuation and Growth Potential - Caterpillar's stock has increased 34% year-to-date and 130% over the past year, with a current trailing P/E of 41x and forward P/E of 23x [1] - Deere's stock is up 38% year-to-date, with a trailing P/E of 35x and forward P/E of 23x, indicating a more modest one-year gain of 35% [1] - Caterpillar's growth is supported by a strong backlog and expansion plans, while Deere's recovery hinges on agricultural market conditions [1]

Core Insights - ElevenEs has completed the first closing of its Series B investment round, backed by Caterpillar Venture Capital Inc., which will support the construction of a 1GWh LFP Battery Cell Mega Factory in Subotica, Serbia, starting in February 2026 [1][1][1] Company Overview - ElevenEs is a battery technology company focused on the industrialization of lithium iron phosphate (LFP) battery cells, packs, and systems for electric mobility and energy storage applications [1][1][1] - The company is incorporated in Luxembourg, with its main operations based in Serbia, and aims to deliver safe, sustainable, and high-performance battery solutions for European and North American markets [1][1][1] Investment and Project Details - The investment round also included participation from an affiliate of BST (HK) Ltd., a leading commodity trading house [1][1][1] - The proceeds from the investment will be used for the initial phases of infrastructure and equipment for the planned Mega-Factory, with the first battery cell deliveries expected in 2027 [1][1][1] Factory Specifications - The facility will cover approximately 25,000 square meters and will focus on high-performance LFP blade prismatic cells [1][1][1] - The Mega Factory is expected to have an annual capacity of 1 GWh and will employ over 350 people, significantly increasing the existing team of over 110 international experts [1][1][1] Technology and Sustainability - ElevenEs is scaling its proprietary LFP Edge battery technology, which is cobalt and nickel-free, to meet the performance demands of various industrial applications, including mining, construction, rail, marine segments, and battery electric vehicles [1][1][1] - The project emphasizes sustainability with lower carbon footprint manufacturing and a facility design optimized for low waste and circularity [1][1][1]

And right now we are 2 minutes away from the end of the trading day. Romaine Bostick here with Katie Greifeld taking you through to that closing bell. It's a global simulcast.Carol Massar and Emily Graffeo Join us now. Welcome to our audiences across all of our bloomberg platforms, television, radio, our partnership with YouTube here on a big day, at least if you're into the Supreme Court, which I'm told is hot these days. Carol Massar a big Supreme Court ruling against those Liberation Day tariffs, the mar ...

Key Takeaways Caterpillar reported Q4 2025 EPS of $5.16, up 0.4%, ending five straight quarters of declines.CAT faced 29% higher costs in Q4 2025, with tariffs hitting margins and gross margin down to 30.3%.Caterpillar sees 2026 revenue near the top of 5-7% CAGR but expects $2.6B tariff impact.Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) delivered fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share of $5.16, reflecting a 0.4% year-over-year increase. While the growth was modest, it marked a turnaround for the global construction and ...

Core Insights - Vanguard Industrials ETF (VIS) provides concentrated exposure to the industrial sector with 97.4% of its assets allocated to over 500 holdings, including major companies like GE, RTX, and Caterpillar [1] - The ETF has achieved a year-to-date gain of 12.51%, closely mirroring the performance of its main competitor, the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund [1] - Manufacturing value-added reached $2.95 trillion in Q3 2025, showing a growth acceleration of 3.2% after a period of cyclical weakness [1] ETF's Intended Portfolio Role - VIS serves as a precise tool for sector allocation, focusing solely on industrials and eliminating exposure to other sectors, which allows investors to capitalize on cyclical recovery themes [1] - The fund's holdings include key subsectors such as aerospace and heavy equipment, providing diversification within the industrial theme [1] - With a dividend yield of only 1.02%, VIS is positioned as a growth-focused investment rather than an income-generating vehicle [1] Performance and Returns - VIS has successfully captured the industrial sector's cyclical upswing, benefiting from its exposure to leading companies in aerospace and heavy equipment [1] - The ETF's low fees enhance its attractiveness, allowing investors to fully benefit from the industrial recovery without incurring high expenses [1] Tradeoffs and Considerations - The cyclical nature of the industrial sector introduces significant risk, as evidenced by the year-to-date gains occurring alongside rising jobless claims and a contraction in manufacturing [1] - The lack of defensive exposure means that during economic downturns, VIS offers no protective buffer against losses [1] - Active monitoring of economic indicators and cycle positioning is essential for investors, as the industrial sector can experience rapid shifts in performance [1]

Group 1 - Caterpillar Inc. CEO Joe Creed and Group President Rod Shurman will participate in a fireside chat at CONEXPO in Las Vegas on March 5, 2026 [1] - The event will be hosted by Steve Volkmann of Jefferies and will start at approximately 8:00 a.m. PST [1] - A real-time video webcast will be available to the public, and a transcript, audio, and video will be posted on Caterpillar's investor relations website afterward [1] Group 2 - Caterpillar reported sales and revenues of $67.6 billion for the year 2025, establishing itself as a leading manufacturer in construction and mining equipment [1] - The company operates through primary business segments including Power & Energy, Construction Industries, and Resource Industries, focusing on solving customer challenges through advanced technology [1] - Caterpillar is supported by one of the largest independent global dealer networks and financing services through Cat Financial [1]

Core Viewpoint - Caterpillar, Honeywell, and Chevron are the top performers in the Dow Jones for 2026, each showing over 20% year-to-date gains, driven by strong earnings, strategic restructuring, and resilience in the energy market [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Caterpillar (CAT) has a year-to-date return of +31.6%, achieving record revenue of $19.13 billion in Q4 2025, surpassing estimates of $17.8 billion, with adjusted EPS of $5.16 [1] - Honeywell (HON) has a year-to-date return of +23.6%, with Q4 2025 revenue of $9.76 billion, slightly below the estimate of $9.87 billion, but adjusted EPS of $2.59 exceeded the consensus of $2.54 [1] - Chevron (CVX) has a year-to-date return of +21.8%, reporting Q4 2025 revenue of $46.87 billion, beating estimates of $46.7 billion, and adjusted EPS of $1.52 against a consensus of $1.44 [1] Group 2: Strategic Developments - Honeywell is restructuring into three public companies to unlock value, with orders increasing 23% organically and a backlog exceeding $37 billion [1] - Chevron's record production increased by 12% year-over-year, supported by the integration of the Hess acquisition, and it generated free cash flow of $5.5 billion, a 26% increase [1] - Caterpillar's Power and Energy segment surged 23% to $9.40 billion, driven by demand for power-generation equipment related to AI data centers [1] Group 3: Financial Metrics - Chevron's operating cash flow rose 24% to $10.8 billion, funding a 4% dividend increase to $1.78 per share and a $12.1 billion share repurchase program [1] - Honeywell's guidance for 2026 includes sales of $38.8 billion to $39.8 billion, adjusted EPS of $10.35 to $10.65, and free cash flow of $5.3 billion to $5.6 billion [1] - Caterpillar's share repurchases and dividends totaled $7.9 billion in 2025, supported by $11.74 billion in operating cash flow [1]