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Cerence Sees Initial Wins With xUI Platform But I'm Skeptical Of Durability (Downgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-23 21:31
Donovan Jones is an IPO research specialist with 15 years of experience analyzing investment opportunities for U.S. IPOs.He also leads the investing group IPO Edge, which offers actionable information on growth stocks through first-look IPO filings, previews on upcoming IPOs, an IPO calendar for tracking what’s on the horizon, a database of U.S. IPOs, and a guide to IPO investing to walk you through the entire IPO lifecycle - from filing to listing to quiet period and lockup expiration dates. Learn moreAnal ...
Cerence Inc. 2026 Q1 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NASDAQ:CRNC) 2026-02-06
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-06 08:31
Group 1 - The article does not provide any relevant content regarding the company or industry [1]
Cerence reaffirms $300M–$320M FY26 revenue guidance as xUI drives new OEM wins and record cash flow (NASDAQ:CRNC)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-05 04:01
Group 1 - The article does not provide any relevant content regarding the company or industry [1]
Cerence(CRNC) - 2026 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2026-02-05 00:25
Revenue Performance - Total revenue for the three months ended December 31, 2025, was $115.1 million, an increase of $64.2 million, or 126.1%, from $50.9 million in the same period of 2024[127]. - License revenue increased by 286.2% to $87.8 million, representing 76.3% of total revenue, primarily driven by an IP license agreement with Samsung, contributing $49.5 million of one-time revenue[136]. - Connected services revenue increased by 6.0% to $14.5 million, accounting for 12.6% of total revenue[136]. - Professional services revenue decreased by 11.6% to $12.8 million, representing 11.1% of total revenue[136]. - License revenue for Q4 2025 was $87.8 million, up 286.2% from $22.7 million in Q4 2024, primarily due to a $49.5 million one-time revenue from the Samsung IP license agreement[137]. - Connected services revenue increased by 6.0% to $14.5 million in Q4 2025 from $13.7 million in Q4 2024, but its percentage of total revenue decreased by 14.3 percentage points to 12.6%[138]. - Professional services revenue decreased by 11.6% to $12.8 million in Q4 2025 from $14.5 million in Q4 2024, with its share of total revenue dropping by 17.3 percentage points to 11.1%[139]. - Total gross profit rose by 200.4% to $99.4 million in Q4 2025, up from $33.1 million in Q4 2024, driven mainly by the Samsung patent license revenue[141]. - License gross profit increased by 312.7% to $86.4 million in Q4 2025 compared to $20.9 million in Q4 2024, primarily due to the Samsung patent license revenue[143]. - Connected services gross profit rose by 30.1% to $9.6 million in Q4 2025 from $7.4 million in Q4 2024, attributed to higher volumes and lower costs[145]. Operating Expenses and Margins - Operating margin improved by 58.7 percentage points to positive 25.5% from negative 33.3%[127]. - Research and development expenses increased to $24.7 million from $20.9 million, reflecting ongoing investment in technology[128]. - General and administrative expenses surged by 150.8% to $32.0 million in Q4 2025 from $12.8 million in Q4 2024, largely due to a $20.8 million increase in legal professional services related to the Samsung IP license agreement[150]. - R&D expenses increased by 18.4% to $24.7 million in Q4 2025 from $20.9 million in Q4 2024, representing 35.3% of total operating expenses, down from 41.7%[148]. Cash Flow and Financing - Cash provided by operating activities was $37.9 million, an increase of $28.6 million, or 309.5%, from $9.3 million[127]. - Net cash provided by operating activities was $37.9 million in Q4 2025, a 309.5% increase from $9.3 million in Q4 2024[184]. - Net cash used in financing activities was $27.7 million in Q4 2025, a slight increase of 2.1% from $27.1 million in Q4 2024[183]. - The company issued $190.0 million in 1.50% Convertible Senior Notes due 2028, with net proceeds of $193.2 million after transaction costs[165]. - During Q4 2025, the company repurchased $30.0 million of its 2028 Notes for $28.0 million in cash, resulting in a gain on extinguishment of debt of $1.1 million[168]. - Interest expense related to the Notes decreased to $1.7 million in Q4 2025 from $3.0 million in Q4 2024[177]. - Net cash used in investing activities for Q4 2025 was $1.8 million, a 335.7% decrease from $0.8 million provided in Q4 2024[185]. Taxation and Other Income - Provision for income taxes increased to $35.3 million in Q4 2025 from $5.7 million in Q4 2024, a change of 522.5%[159]. - Effective income tax rate rose to 117.4% in Q4 2025 compared to -30.5% in Q4 2024[159]. - Total other income (expense), net improved to $0.8 million in Q4 2025 from a $1.7 million expense in Q4 2024, driven by a gain on debt repurchase of the Notes[158]. Future Outlook and Risks - The company plans to streamline operations and focus on cost management due to challenges in the global automotive industry[135]. - The implementation of the 2025 Plan was substantially completed during the three months ended December 31, 2025, aimed at reducing operating expenses and enhancing profitability[135]. - Total material cash requirements for future periods amount to $205.6 million, with $5.9 million due in 2026[163]. - The company is exposed to market risks from changes in foreign currency exchange rates and interest rates, which could affect operating results[190]. - A 10% unfavorable exchange rate movement in foreign currency contracts would have resulted in unrealized losses of $1.0 million[194]. - Assuming a 1% increase in interest rates, interest income on highly liquid investments would increase by $0.3 million per annum[195]. - The aggregate notional amount of outstanding foreign currency forward contracts was $9.5 million at December 31, 2025[194]. - Fluctuations in deferred revenue are not a reliable indicator of future performance, and the company does not expect changes in deferred revenue to affect its obligations[184].
Cerence (CRNC) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates
ZACKS· 2026-02-04 23:46
Core Viewpoint - Cerence (CRNC) reported quarterly earnings of $0.99 per share, significantly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.01 per share, and improving from a loss of $0.03 per share a year ago [1][2] Financial Performance - The earnings surprise for the quarter was +10,000.00%, with the company previously expected to post a loss of $0.66 per share but instead reporting earnings of $0.06, resulting in a surprise of +109.09% [2] - Cerence's revenues for the quarter ended December 2025 were $115.08 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.06%, and up from $50.9 million in the same quarter last year [3] - The company has consistently exceeded consensus revenue estimates over the last four quarters [3] Stock Performance and Outlook - Cerence shares have declined approximately 3.1% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 1.1% [4] - The future performance of the stock will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the company's earnings outlook [4][5] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.20 on revenues of $64.65 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.69 on revenues of $317.63 million [8] Industry Context - The Computers - IT Services industry, to which Cerence belongs, is currently ranked in the top 40% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [9] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [6]
Cerence(CRNC) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-04 22:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cerence reported revenue of $115.1 million for Q1 2026, a 126% increase from $50.9 million in the prior year period [17] - Adjusted EBITDA was $44.6 million, representing a 39% margin compared to $1.4 million or 3% in the prior year [22] - The company generated record quarterly free cash flow of $35.6 million, marking a significant achievement [4][23] - GAAP net loss for the quarter was $5.2 million, an improvement from a net loss of $24.3 million in the same quarter last year [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Variable license revenue was $30.5 million, up 34% year-over-year, driven by steady customer utilization [18] - Fixed license revenue was $7.8 million, with expectations for it to be comparable to the prior year [18] - Connected services revenue was $14.5 million, up 6% year-over-year, with a potential increase of over 20% without prior year true-up [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Approximately 11.9 million cars produced included Cerence technology, flat from the prior year [23] - The number of connected cars shipped grew by 14% on a trailing 12-month basis [24] - 51% of worldwide auto production included Cerence technology, consistent with historical penetration [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Cerence's key priorities for 2026 include advancing technology through the xUI platform, maintaining cost diligence, and driving top-line growth [4][27] - The company showcased advancements in AI technology at CES, including the introduction of new AI agents and partnerships with major OEMs [5][7] - Cerence aims to expand its reach beyond automotive, with plans to operationalize strategies in new industries [14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's technology and customer momentum, anticipating continued growth in revenue and profitability [15][26] - The company reaffirmed its full-year guidance for fiscal 2026, expecting revenue between $300 million and $320 million [26] - Management highlighted the importance of the patent license revenue from Samsung as a validation of their IP strategy [15] Other Important Information - The company resolved its patent litigation with Samsung, resulting in a one-time payment of $49.5 million recorded in Q1 [15][19] - Total non-GAAP operating expenses were $57.3 million, primarily driven by legal costs associated with the patent license outcome [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Interest in the mobile work agent and its impact on ARPU - Management indicated strong demand for the mobile work agent, which can be implemented in existing vehicles, potentially increasing ARPU [30][32] Question: Impact of new signings on TTM billings and backlog - Management confirmed that new signings would be reflected in the five-year backlog and TTM billings, with revenue expected to ramp up as production starts [34][38] Question: Usage trends of existing in-car connected systems - Management noted that usage of newer systems is increasing, especially with added functionalities like Microsoft 365 integration [40] Question: Competitive process for new wins and future win rates - Management highlighted that technology capability and team confidence are key differentiators in winning contracts, with a strong win rate expected moving forward [54][56]
Cerence(CRNC) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-04 22:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cerence reported revenue of $115.1 million for Q1 2026, a 126% increase from $50.9 million in the prior year period [17] - Adjusted EBITDA was $44.6 million, representing a 39% margin compared to $1.4 million or 3% in the prior year [22] - The company generated record quarterly free cash flow of $35.6 million, marking a significant achievement [4][23] - GAAP net loss for the quarter was $5.2 million, an improvement from a net loss of $24.3 million in the same quarter last year [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Variable license revenue was $30.5 million, up 34% year-over-year, driven by steady customer utilization [18] - Fixed license revenue was $7.8 million, with expectations for it to be comparable to the prior year for the full fiscal year [18] - Connected services revenue was $14.5 million, up 6% year-over-year, with a potential increase of over 20% without prior year true-up [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Approximately 11.9 million cars produced included Cerence technology, flat from the prior year [24] - The number of connected cars shipped grew by 14% on a trailing 12-month basis [24] - 51% of worldwide auto production included Cerence technology, consistent with historical penetration [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Cerence's three key priorities for 2026 include advancing technology through xUI, maintaining cost diligence, and driving top-line growth [4] - The company showcased advancements in xUI at CES, including new AI agents and partnerships with Microsoft [5][6] - Cerence aims to expand its reach beyond automotive, with plans to operationalize strategies in new industries [14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's technology and customer momentum, anticipating continued growth in fiscal 2026 [15][27] - The resolution of the patent suit with Samsung, resulting in a one-time payment of $49.5 million, was highlighted as a significant milestone [15] - For Q2, Cerence expects revenue between $58 million and $62 million, reaffirming full-year guidance of $300 million to $320 million [26] Other Important Information - The company completed a restructuring plan to reduce operating expenses and improve profitability [9] - Total non-GAAP operating expenses increased to $57.3 million, primarily due to legal costs associated with the patent license outcome [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Interest in the mobile work agent and its impact on ARPU - Management indicated strong interest in the mobile work agent, which can be implemented in existing vehicles, potentially increasing ARPU [30][32] Question: Impact of new signings on TTM billings and backlog - Management confirmed that new signings will be reflected in the five-year backlog and TTM billings, with revenue expected to ramp up as production starts [34][38] Question: Usage trends of existing in-car connected systems - Management noted that usage of newer systems is increasing, especially with added functionalities like Microsoft 365 integration [40] Question: Competitive process for new wins and future win rates - Management highlighted that technology capability and team confidence are key differentiators in winning contracts, with a strong pipeline of interest from both Western and Chinese OEMs [44][55]
Cerence(CRNC) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-04 22:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenue of $115.1 million for Q1 2026, a significant increase of 126% from $50.9 million in the prior year period [16] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $44.6 million, representing a margin of 39%, compared to $1.4 million or 3% in the prior year [20] - The company generated record quarterly free cash flow of $35.6 million, marking a strong performance in cash generation [4][22] - GAAP net loss for the quarter was $5.2 million, an improvement from a net loss of $24.3 million in the same quarter last year [21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Variable license revenue was $30.5 million, up 34% year-over-year, driven by steady customer utilization and adoption across core programs [17] - Fixed license revenue was $7.8 million, with a timing difference affecting year-over-year comparisons [17] - Connected services revenue was $14.5 million, up 6% year-over-year, with a potential increase of over 20% when excluding a prior year true-up benefit [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Approximately 11.9 million cars produced in the quarter included Cerence technology, flat compared to the prior year [22] - The number of connected cars shipped grew by 14% on a trailing 12-month basis, indicating strong momentum in vehicle connectivity [23] - 51% of worldwide auto production included Cerence technology, consistent with historical penetration rates [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company has three key priorities for 2026: advancing business through leading technology, maintaining cost diligence, and driving top-line growth [4] - The introduction of new AI agents expands the company's reach beyond in-vehicle experiences into broader areas of the automotive ecosystem [8] - The company aims to increase adoption of Cerence XUI and drive greater penetration of its stack in existing programs, which is expected to deliver increased per unit pricing (PPU) [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's technology and customer momentum, indicating a solid foundation for long-term sustainable growth [14][25] - The company reaffirmed its full-year guidance for fiscal 2026, expecting revenue between $300 million and $320 million and adjusted EBITDA between $50 million and $70 million [25] - Management highlighted the positive reception of new products and the potential for growth in non-automotive businesses, with expected revenue impacts starting in late fiscal year 2026 [13] Other Important Information - The company recorded $49.5 million in patent license revenue from the resolution of litigation with Samsung, marking a significant milestone in its IP monetization strategy [14][18] - The company repurchased $30 million in principal value of its 2028 convertible notes, demonstrating a commitment to deleveraging its balance sheet [22] Q&A Session Summary Question: Interest in the mobile work agent and its impact on ARPU - Management indicated strong demand for the mobile work agent, which can be implemented in existing vehicles, potentially increasing ARPU [28][30] Question: Impact of new signings on TTM billings and backlog - Management confirmed that new signings would contribute to TTM billings and backlog, with revenue recognition starting as vehicles are produced and sold [32][36] Question: Trends in usage of existing in-car connected systems - Management noted that usage of connected systems has improved with newer technology, particularly with the introduction of LLMs [37] Question: Competitive process for new wins and future win rates - Management highlighted that technology capability and team confidence are key differentiators in winning contracts, with a strong pipeline of interest from both Western and Chinese OEMs [41][53]
Cerence(CRNC) - 2026 Q1 - Quarterly Results
2026-02-04 21:40
Financial Performance - Cerence reported Q1 FY26 revenue of $115.1 million, a significant increase from $50.9 million in Q1 FY25, including a $49.5 million patent license payment[5] - The company achieved a GAAP gross margin of 86.3%, up from 65.0% in the previous year[5] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 FY26 was $44.6 million, compared to $1.4 million in Q1 FY25, exceeding guidance[5] - Free cash flow reached a record $35.6 million, reflecting disciplined execution and profitability[4] - Cerence reported total revenues of $115,076,000 for the three months ended December 31, 2025, a significant increase from $50,896,000 in the same period of 2024, representing a year-over-year growth of 126.5%[38] - The gross profit for the same period was $99,350,000, resulting in a gross margin of 86.3%, compared to a gross margin of 65.0% in the prior year[51] - The company experienced a net loss of $5,239,000 for the quarter, an improvement from a net loss of $24,288,000 in the previous year[38] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $44,634,000, a substantial increase from $1,382,000 in the same quarter of the previous year[51] - Free cash flow for the quarter was reported at $35,645,000, compared to $7,894,000 in the prior year, indicating a strong improvement in cash generation[51] Future Guidance - The company expects Q2 FY26 revenue to be between $58 million and $62 million, with projected gross margins of 71% to 72%[8] - Full-year fiscal 2026 revenue guidance is reaffirmed at $300 million to $320 million, with net income projected between $(8) million and $12 million[9] - GAAP revenue for Q2 2026 is projected to be between $58,000 and $62,000, with FY2026 expected to range from $300,000 to $320,000[55] - GAAP gross profit for Q2 2026 is estimated between $40,920 and $44,920, while FY2026 is projected to be between $236,205 and $256,205[55] - GAAP gross margin is expected to be 71% to 72% for Q2 2026 and 79% to 80% for FY2026[55] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2026 is forecasted to be between $2,000 and $6,000, with FY2026 expected to range from $50,000 to $70,000[55] - GAAP net (loss) income for Q2 2026 is projected to be between $(581) and $3,581, while FY2026 is expected to range from $(8,117) to $11,883[55] - Free cash flow is anticipated to be between $55,500 and $65,500 for FY2026[55] - Basic GAAP net income per share for Q2 2026 is expected to range from $(0.01) to $0.08, while FY2026 is projected to be between $(0.18) and $0.26[55] - Diluted GAAP net income per share for Q2 2026 is forecasted to be between $(0.01) and $0.08, with FY2026 expected to range from $(0.18) to $0.25[55] Operational Highlights - Cerence's technology is now present in 51% of worldwide auto production, with a 14% increase in connected cars shipped year-over-year[6] - Five significant customer programs for Cerence xUI are in progress, with the first xUI-powered cars expected to be on the road in 2026[4] - Strong customer feedback was received at CES 2026, showcasing next-generation, LLM-powered experiences and new AI agents[3] - The number of connected cars shipped with Cerence technology exceeded 525 million, showcasing the company's extensive market penetration[33] - Total operating expenses for the quarter were $70,039,000, compared to $50,005,000 in the same quarter of the previous year, indicating increased investment in operations[51] - Total operating expenses for Q2 2026 are projected to be $49,972, with non-GAAP total operating expenses expected to be $42,620[55] Financial Management - The company is focused on cost discipline and debt reduction to support long-term sustainable growth[4] - Cerence's total liabilities decreased to $451,602,000 from $479,915,000, reflecting improved financial management[41] - Research and development expenses increased to $24,701,000, up from $20,869,000 in the same quarter of the previous year, reflecting the company's commitment to innovation[38] - The company reported cash and cash equivalents of $92,130,000 at the end of the quarter, an increase from $84,017,000 at the beginning of the period[41] - Capital expenditures are anticipated to be between $(5,500) and $(1,500) for FY2026[55]
Cerence(CRNC) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2026-02-04 21:30
Cerence Q1 February 4, 2026 Brian Krzanich, Chief Executive Officer Tony Rodriquez, Chief Financial Officer Forward-Looking Statements Statements in this presentation as well as oral statements made by Cerence management from time to time, regarding: Cerence's future performance, results and financial condition; expected growth, profitability and cash flow; outlook and momentum; transformation plans and cost efficiency initiatives; strategy; opportunities; business, industry and market trends; plans and exp ...