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科达利-目标价隐含 70% 上涨空间;纳入瑞银亚太重点电话会清单
瑞银· 2026-01-13 11:56
Investment Rating - The report maintains a Buy rating for Shenzhen Kedali Industry and raises the price target to Rmb268.00 from Rmb218.00, indicating a potential upside of over 70% [1][6]. Core Insights - Shenzhen Kedali, as China's largest battery structural parts producer with approximately 50% market share, is expected to benefit significantly from strong downstream battery demand, forecasting a revenue CAGR of 34.5% from 2025 to 2027 [1][9]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas business, which is anticipated to become a key growth driver starting in 2027, with overseas revenue contribution expected to rise to 16% by 2027 from 9% in 2025 [3][28]. - The report highlights that Kedali's net profit is projected to grow at a CAGR of 38.0% from 2025 to 2027, with 2026 and 2027 net profit estimates being 11% and 27% above consensus, respectively [1][9]. Summary by Sections Revenue Growth - Kedali's revenue is forecasted to grow by 37.9% and 31.2% year-over-year in 2026 and 2027, respectively, significantly outpacing the average 17% growth for auto supply chain companies [2][9]. - The company has been operating at full capacity since Q4 2025 and plans to increase its production capacity by 30% in 2026 [2][9]. Overseas Expansion - The overseas business is expected to ramp up significantly from 2027, with plants in Hungary and Germany servicing orders from CATL's European plants [3][28]. - Kedali is currently the exclusive structural parts supplier to CATL overseas, which is projected to capture over 60% market share in Europe by 2027 [3][28]. Financial Projections - The report raises the 2026-30 profit forecasts by 12-38% due to higher revenue growth potential, with the price target implying a 29.6x PE for 2026, which is justified by strong demand and overseas expansion [4][47]. - Revenue projections for Kedali are revised upwards, with 2026 revenue now estimated at Rmb21,023 million, reflecting a 16% increase from previous estimates [32][34]. Market Positioning - Kedali's current PE is below its five-year average and lower than the average of A-share auto supply chain companies, indicating significant valuation upside potential [10][47]. - The report suggests that the market may be underestimating Kedali's earnings growth potential due to its strong ties with mainstream battery manufacturers and robust downstream demand [35][38].
SINEXCEL Partners with SMTC Corporation to Launch Localized EV Charger Manufacturing in the U.S.
The Manila Times· 2025-09-12 14:32
Core Insights - SINEXCEL has formed a strategic manufacturing partnership with SMTC Corporation to establish a U.S. production base for its EV chargers, ensuring compliance with the Build America, Buy America (BABA) Act [1][7] - The partnership aims to localize production at SMTC's facilities in Fremont and the Bay Area, enhancing supply chain efficiency and customer service [4][6] - This collaboration is a significant milestone in SINEXCEL's North American strategy, allowing for quicker responses to market demands and supporting long-term growth in EV charging solutions [6][7] Company Overview - SINEXCEL, founded in 2007, specializes in energy storage, EV charging, and power quality solutions, with 12 GW of installed storage and 140,000 EV chargers [9] - SMTC Corporation, established in 1985, provides electronics manufacturing services, including PCBA production and systems integration, with facilities across the U.S., Canada, Mexico, and Asia [8]