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Goldman Sees Premium Pet Food As Bright Spot For Colgate And General Mills Amid Consumer Caution
Benzinga· 2025-03-27 18:16
Core Insights - The U.S. consumer is becoming more cautious due to inflation, tariffs, and geopolitical uncertainty, impacting the broader staples sector [1] - Premium pet food offerings from companies like Colgate-Palmolive and General Mills are expected to remain resilient despite short-term pressures in the consumer packaged goods sector [2] Company Analysis - Colgate-Palmolive is expected to achieve sustained mid-single-digit organic sales growth driven by its Hill's Pet Nutrition division, with a price forecast of $106.00 and a Buy rating reiterated by analysts [3][5] - General Mills is projected to return to 2% – 3% organic sales growth by fiscal 2027, with its pet food business being a key catalyst, and a price forecast of $68.00 has been reiterated [6] Market Trends - The global premium pet food market is projected to grow at around 5% through 2030, with contributions from both volume and pricing [4] - The increasing humanization of pets is expected to drive mid-single-digit category growth, benefiting premium pet food [7] Competitive Landscape - General Mills has historically expanded market share through acquisitions, with its recent purchase of Whitebridge expected to enhance its position in the pet food market [7] - Despite competition from private labels, General Mills's premium positioning has supported sales acceleration and market share stability [8]
General Mills Stock Eyes 4th-Straight Drop Ahead of Earnings
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-03-14 19:29
Core Viewpoint - General Mills Inc is set to report its fiscal third-quarter earnings, with analysts expecting earnings per share of 95 cents and revenue of $4.96 billion [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - General Mills' stock is currently down 0.1% at $59.79, having faced a decline since reaching a multi-month high of $64.95 [2] - The stock is on track for its fourth consecutive daily loss, contributing to a 6% year-to-date decline [2] Group 2: Earnings History and Expectations - Historically, General Mills' stock has either fallen or remained flat after five of its past eight earnings reports, with an average shift of 2.6% [3] - Traders are anticipating a larger-than-usual move of 6.5% for the shares following the upcoming earnings report [3] Group 3: Analyst Recommendations and Short Interest - There is potential for upgrades, as 13 out of 18 brokerage firms currently have a "hold" recommendation on the stock [4] - Short interest has increased by 17.2% over the past two reporting periods, representing 4.8% of the stock's total available float [4] Group 4: Options Activity - Bullish sentiment is evident in the options market, with a 10-day call/put volume ratio of 3.38, which is higher than 72% of annual readings [5] - General Mills has historically outperformed options traders' volatility expectations, as indicated by a Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard of 94 out of 100 [5]