Core Insights - Bitcoin is currently trading below the average production cost for publicly listed miners, which is approximately $74,600, a situation that historically does not persist for long [1] - The gap between mining economics and current prices may indicate an approaching market bottom, especially as large holders have resumed buying after a period of selling [1] - Entities holding more than 10,000 bitcoin sold around $28 billion during the recent downturn but have since purchased approximately $4.7 billion in the last two weeks [1] - Trading volumes have reached historic highs, with global crypto exchange-traded product volumes hitting a record $18.5 billion on February 8, indicating potential final selling pressure [1] - The production cost threshold creates natural support levels, suggesting that spot prices remaining significantly below production costs are typically short-lived [1] Mining Sector Performance - The CoinShares Bitcoin Mining ETF (WGMI) has $201.3 million in assets and has returned 14.5% year-to-date, providing direct exposure to companies navigating production economics [1] - IREN Limited (IREN) is the largest position in the fund at 22.5% of assets, followed by Cipher Mining Inc. (CIFR) at 18.3% [1] - The CoinShares Bitcoin ETF (BRRR) holds $425.5 million in assets with a 0.25% expense ratio and has seen $4.56 million in net inflows over the past month [1] - Despite over 75% of bitcoin positions being underwater, behavioral and production-level signals suggest that downside momentum may be nearing exhaustion [1]

Core Viewpoint - Riot Platforms Inc. experienced a significant decline in stock price, falling 14.71% to $12.06, primarily due to a drop in Bitcoin prices and lack of government support for the cryptocurrency market [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - Riot Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ:RIOT) was one of the worst performers, alongside other companies in the cryptocurrency sector, following the Treasury Secretary's statement that the government lacks authority to support the market [2]. - Bitcoin prices fell to as low as $62,000, marking a 50.8% drop from its all-time high of $126,000 [3]. Group 2: Company Production and Holdings - In December, Riot Platforms produced 460 Bitcoins, an 8% increase from 428 in November, but an 11% decrease compared to December 2024 [4]. - As of the end of last year, Riot Platforms owned a total of 18,005 Bitcoins [5].

Group 1 - American Bitcoin Corp. will release its earnings for the full year of 2025 on February 26, 2026, before the market opens [1] - A conference call and webcast to discuss the results will take place on the same day at 8 a.m. ET [1] - The Company will provide supplemental materials and updates on its website and social media channels to accompany the earnings discussion [2] Group 2 - American Bitcoin Corp. is a majority-owned subsidiary of Hut 8 Corp. and focuses on building America's Bitcoin infrastructure [3] - The Company offers institutional-grade exposure to Bitcoin through a unique business model that combines self-mining operations with disciplined accumulation strategies [3]

Core Insights - The article discusses two cryptocurrency ETFs: Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) and CoinShares Bitcoin Mining ETF (WGMI), highlighting their different investment approaches and performance metrics [2][4]. Group 1: ETF Comparison - FBTC tracks the spot price of Bitcoin, while WGMI invests in companies involved in Bitcoin mining and infrastructure [2]. - FBTC has an expense ratio of 0.25% and an AUM of $17.41 billion, whereas WGMI has a higher expense ratio of 0.75% and an AUM of $341.93 million [3]. - Over the past year, FBTC has returned -14.53%, while WGMI has achieved a return of 92.48% [3]. Group 2: Performance Metrics - FBTC has a maximum drawdown of -32.64% over two years, while WGMI has a more significant drawdown of -62.79% [5]. - An investment of $1,000 in FBTC would have grown to $1,922 over two years, compared to $2,604 for WGMI [5]. Group 3: Holdings and Strategy - WGMI currently invests in 25 companies, primarily in the technology sector, with top holdings including IREN Ltd., Cipher Mining, and Hut 8 Corp. [6]. - FBTC is a single-asset trust that solely tracks Bitcoin's price and has increased by 85.57% since its inception [6]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - WGMI may transition away from being solely a Bitcoin mining ETF as companies within it diversify into high-performance computing and AI data center operations [9][10]. - This transition could provide indirect exposure to the crypto market while addressing environmental concerns associated with mining [10].

Core Insights - The CoinShares Bitcoin Mining ETF (WGMI) and iShares Ethereum Trust ETF (ETHA) provide different exposure to the crypto ecosystem, with WGMI focusing on Bitcoin mining companies and ETHA tracking Ethereum's price directly [2][6] Group 1: Cost & Size - ETHA has an expense ratio of 0.25% and assets under management (AUM) of $10.14 billion, while WGMI has a higher expense ratio of 0.75% and an AUM of $355.66 million [3] - The one-year return for ETHA is -9.94%, whereas WGMI has a significantly higher return of 92.48% [3] Group 2: Performance & Risk Comparison - The maximum drawdown over one year for ETHA is -58.52%, compared to -56.18% for WGMI [4] - A $1,000 investment in ETHA would have grown to $939 over one year, while the same investment in WGMI would have grown to $1,948 [4] Group 3: Holdings and Investment Strategy - WGMI invests in 25 companies, primarily in the technology sector, with top holdings including IREN Ltd., Cipher Mining, and Hut 8 Corp. [5] - ETHA is a single-asset trust with 100% exposure to Ethereum, having fallen 15.62% since its inception [6] Group 4: Investor Considerations - WGMI offers a dividend yield of 0.10%, while ETHA does not pay dividends, making WGMI potentially more attractive for income-seeking investors [9] - WGMI is transitioning towards high-performance computing and AI data center operations, which may diversify its revenue streams away from traditional Bitcoin mining [10][11]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of macroeconomic analysis and market trends for informed investment decisions [1] Group 1: Investment Analysis - The author focuses on providing tools and knowledge for investors to make confident decisions based on current and forward-looking market trends [1] - Fundamental and technical analysis are highlighted as key components in understanding market dynamics [1] Group 2: Author's Background - The author identifies as an investment author with a passion for finance and global markets, indicating a strong background in economic analysis [1] - There is an openness to feedback, suggesting a commitment to continuous improvement in investment writing [1]

Core Viewpoint - IREN Limited is positioned as a leader in the Bitcoin infrastructure sector, focusing on low-cost, renewable-powered Bitcoin mining and expanding into AI computing, while Hut 8 Corp. offers a diversified platform that includes mining, hosting, and digital infrastructure services [2][3]. Company Overview - IREN and Hut 8 provide leveraged exposure to Bitcoin through physical infrastructure, relying on power access, efficient data centers, and scalable computing capacity rather than merely holding Bitcoin [3]. - IREN has secured 3 gigawatts of power capacity in renewable-rich regions, enhancing cost control and scalability for Bitcoin mining [4]. - Hut 8's infrastructure model faces execution and valuation risks, with earnings closely tied to Bitcoin price fluctuations and power costs [9]. Growth Opportunities - IREN is shifting its focus towards AI computing, with plans to expand its GPU fleet from 23,000 to 140,000 units by the end of 2026, targeting a $3.4 billion annual recurring revenue (ARR) opportunity [5]. - Hut 8's substantial 8.65 GW development pipeline has yet to be monetized, limiting its market acceptance until implementation milestones are achieved [10][11]. Financial Performance - IREN's fiscal 2026 revenue is estimated to increase by 119.6%, with earnings projected at 64 cents per share, reflecting a significant turnaround from previous earnings of just 4 cents per share [7]. - Hut 8's consensus estimate for a 2026 loss is pegged at 90 cents per share, indicating a deterioration in profitability concerns [12]. Stock Performance and Valuation - IREN has outperformed Hut 8, with a stock increase of 335.5% compared to Hut 8's 113.5% gain over the past year, attributed to IREN's decisive execution in AI infrastructure [15]. - IREN's price/sales ratio stands at 7.3X, lower than Hut 8's 13.43X, indicating a more favorable valuation supported by strong revenue visibility and disciplined execution [17]. Conclusion - IREN is viewed as the more attractive investment due to its vertically integrated platform, visible AI-driven revenue pipeline, and stronger balance sheet, while Hut 8 faces challenges with uneven execution and widening losses [17][18].

Group 1 - CleanSpark, Inc. (NASDAQ:CLSK) experienced a significant rebound, rising 14.13% to close at $11.55, following a six-day losing streak, driven by higher Bitcoin prices and portfolio repositioning ahead of its upcoming mining report [1][2] - The company is set to announce its December and full-year Bitcoin mining results on January 5, with November figures showing it mined 587 Bitcoins, increasing its total holdings to 13,054 Bitcoins [3] - CleanSpark sold 565.41 Bitcoins at an average price of $91,979, generating total earnings of $52 million [3] Group 2 - CleanSpark is transitioning from a Bitcoin mining firm to AI servicing through high-performance computing (HPC), indicating a strategic shift in its business model [4] - While CleanSpark shows potential as an investment, there is a belief that other AI stocks may offer higher returns with limited downside risk [4]

This year opened with a surge of validation for crypto-linked equities.  As Bitcoin again broke above $100,000 in January, stocks linked to digital assets—either as treasuries or via direct crypto businesses and mining firms—reaped the rewards. Hut 8 Corp. (HUT) and Riot Platforms Inc. (RIOT) notched double-digit rallies, leading the charge. Bullish momentum followed Bitcoin's recovery from a late 2024 correction, as the digital asset reclaimed its previous all-time high and set a new peak near $109,000 on ...

Core Insights - American Bitcoin Corp. has established itself as a significant player in the Bitcoin accumulation space, holding approximately 5,098 Bitcoin as of December 14, 2025, ranking it among the top 20 publicly traded Bitcoin treasury companies by holdings [1][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - American Bitcoin Corp. is a majority-owned subsidiary of Hut 8 Corp., focusing on building America's Bitcoin infrastructure and providing institutional-grade exposure to Bitcoin through a unique business model that combines self-mining operations with disciplined accumulation strategies [5]. - The company has achieved rapid growth since its Nasdaq listing, surpassing many competitors in Bitcoin reserves, which reflects the effectiveness of its strategic approach [3]. Group 2: Financial Metrics - The company has introduced the Satoshis Per Share (SPS) metric, which indicates the amount of Bitcoin attributable to each outstanding share, enhancing investor visibility into their indirect ownership of Bitcoin [2]. - Additionally, American Bitcoin is launching a Bitcoin Yield metric to measure the percentage change in SPS over time, providing investors with insights into their evolving Bitcoin exposure [2]. Group 3: Communication and Transparency - American Bitcoin Corp. is committed to transparency and will provide regular updates on its Bitcoin holdings, SPS, Bitcoin Yield, and related performance metrics through its website and social media channels [4].