Morgan Stanley Research Global January 5, 2026 12:50 PM GMT January 5, 2026 Vishwanath Tirupattur – Chief Fixed Income Strategist | Strategist Devin McDermott – Head of North American Energy Research | Equity Analyst and Commodities Strategist Simon Waever – Global Head of EM Sovereign Credit and LatAm Fixed Income Strategy | Strategist Ariana Salvatore – Public Policy Strategist | Strategist MORGAN STANLEY & CO. LLC Martijn Rats – Global Commodities Strategist and Head of European Energy Research | Equity ...

Group 1: Company Performance - Valero Energy Corporation and Marathon Petroleum Corp have seen their shares drop nearly 20% over the past month due to a sell-off in oil [1] - Both companies may be on the verge of a reversal and rally, making them notable investment opportunities [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis Insights - Technical analysis can be better understood through the lens of psychology, as it reflects the behavior of traders and investors [2] - Patterns such as double tops and triple tops indicate potential reversals, with double tops suggesting a stock may head lower after two peaks [2][4] - Conversely, double bottoms indicate a potential upward reversal, suggesting that stocks may find support at previous low price levels [4] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The presence of regretful sellers can create resistance at previous peak prices, as they look to exit their positions without incurring losses [3][5] - Support can form at former support levels due to buyers wanting to repurchase shares at the price they previously sold [5] - Stocks often rally off support levels, which can lead to aggressive buying and a potential snowball effect driving prices higher [6]