Core Insights - The investment approach focuses on identifying businesses with potential for long-term growth and significant terminal value generation [1] - Emphasis is placed on understanding core business economics, including competitive advantages, unit economics, reinvestment opportunities, and management quality [1] - The goal is to generate long-term free cash flow and create shareholder value through fundamental research [1] Investment Strategy - The strategy targets sectors with strong secular tailwinds, indicating a preference for industries poised for sustained growth [1] - The investor is self-educated and has been active in the investment field for 10 years, currently managing personal funds sourced from friends and family [1] - The intention behind sharing insights on platforms like Seeking Alpha is to provide valuable analysis and receive feedback from the investment community [1]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Qifu Technology with a 12-month price target of US$58.50, while the current price is US$42.94 [5][25]. Core Insights - Qifu Technology is experiencing stable operating trends in Q2 2025, with a modest quarter-over-quarter decline in loan volume expected due to a strong Q1 and a soft start in Q2 [2]. - The company reaffirms its 2025 net take rate target of 5.2-5.3%, indicating a positive outlook for loan volume growth of 6-7% [3]. - Regulatory risks are considered manageable, with expectations for better clarity on new loan facilitation regulations before October [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Qifu Technology's revenues are projected to grow from Rmb16,939 million in 2024 to Rmb18,793 million in 2025, with net earnings expected to increase from Rmb6,264 million in 2024 to Rmb6,857 million in 2025 [8]. - The diluted EPS is forecasted to rise from Rmb42.38 in 2024 to Rmb53.52 in 2025 [6]. Market Position - The company is a leading loan facilitation platform in China, focusing on consumer loans and utilizing both credit-driven and platform service models [10]. - The market capitalization of Qifu Technology is approximately US$5.96 billion, with a free float of 79% [5]. Valuation Metrics - The report indicates a P/E ratio of 5.8 for 2025 and a P/BV ratio of 1.6, suggesting a favorable valuation compared to historical performance [8]. - Forecast returns include a price appreciation of 36.2% and a dividend yield of 3.4%, leading to an overall forecast stock return of 39.7% [9].

Core Insights - Qifu Technology, Inc. has filed its annual report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024, with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission [1] - The company has also published a Hong Kong Annual Report that contains similar information to the Form 20-F [2] - Qifu Technology is recognized as a leading AI-empowered Credit-Tech platform in China, providing a range of technology services to financial institutions and consumers [3] Company Overview - Qifu Technology utilizes advanced machine learning models and data analytics to enhance the loan lifecycle for financial institutions and SMEs [3] - The company aims to make credit services more accessible and personalized through its Credit-Tech offerings [3]