Consumer price pressures in Canada eased slightly in the first month of the year as prices at the pump fell sharply. https://t.co/BtEMZT8arJ ...

Inflation and Interest Rates - Chicago Fed president Austan Goolsbee emphasizes the need for further progress on inflation falling to the Federal Reserve's 2% target before supporting any rate cuts [1][2] - Goolsbee notes that while there are signs of improvement in inflation, concerns remain, particularly regarding persistent services inflation, which is not influenced by tariffs [3][4] - The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data shows a 2.4% increase in prices year-over-year, with core inflation (excluding food and energy) rising by 2.5% [2] Economic Growth and Job Market - Goolsbee highlights the importance of a stable job market, which has remained steady for the past few months, as a factor in considering rate cuts [2] - He suggests that the Fed may have room to lower rates further before reaching a neutral level that neither stimulates nor restricts economic growth [4] Market Expectations - Data from the CME Group indicates that investors perceive a 90% chance that the Fed will maintain current interest rates at the upcoming policy meeting on March 18 [5]

2025, the annualized rate of change for headline CPI is 2.39% while the annualized change for core CPI is 2.50%. However, the cumulative change in these series since 2000 is 93.3% for headline CPI and 86.3% for core CPI.Consumers, especially those who've managed expenses over several years, are most closely attuned to the top line because the cumulative perspective makes it easier to grasp the real impact of inflation on purchasing power over time.## Inflation and Your HouseholdThe universal response is to ...

Group 1: Dollar Index and Economic Indicators - The dollar index (DXY00) fell by -0.01% on Friday, with modest losses attributed to lower-than-expected US January consumer prices, which rose by +2.4% year-on-year, compared to expectations of +2.5% [1] - The January core CPI also rose by +2.5% year-on-year, meeting expectations and marking the smallest increase in 4.75 years [1] - Speculation is growing that the Federal Reserve may resume cutting interest rates, with swaps markets discounting a 10% chance of a -25 basis point rate cut at the next policy meeting on March 17-18 [2] Group 2: Foreign Investment and Dollar Weakness - The dollar reached a 4-year low recently, influenced by President Trump's comments on the dollar's weakness and ongoing capital outflows from foreign investors due to a growing budget deficit and political polarization [2] - The dollar is expected to continue facing underlying weakness, with projections indicating a potential -50 basis point rate cut by the FOMC in 2026 [3] Group 3: Euro and German Economic Data - The EUR/USD fell by -0.02% on Friday, influenced by a decline in the 10-year German bund yield to a 2.25-month low of 2.737%, which weakened interest rate differentials for the euro [4] - The German January wholesale price index rose by +0.9% month-on-month, marking the largest increase in a year, which could be a hawkish factor for ECB policy [4] - Swaps are pricing in a 5% chance of a -25 basis point rate cut by the ECB at its next policy meeting on March 19 [5] Group 4: Yen Performance and BOJ Outlook - The USD/JPY rose by +0.03% on Friday, with the yen under slight pressure but consolidating recent gains [5] - The yen reached a 2-week high earlier in the week, supported by comments from Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi regarding fiscal concerns and tax cuts [5] - Losses in the yen were limited by hawkish comments from BOJ Board member Naoki Tamura, suggesting conditions may be right for a BOJ rate hike this spring [6]

Here are key takeaways from the January consumer price index report https://t.co/6uGI3h4DHL ...

US CPI Report January 2026: Live News on Inflation, Consumer Price Index https://t.co/Y9XbcXsT9y ...

Core Economic Indicators - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, a major gauge of inflation in the U.S. economy, will be published on February 13 at 8:30 a.m., which could significantly impact asset prices [1] - Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, rose 2.6% year over year in December, marking a four-year low, with expectations for January to show a further decline to 2.45% [3] Market Reactions and Predictions - A positive CPI report indicating lower inflation could lead to a significant rise in the stock market, driven by investor hopes for additional Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [3][4] - The futures market currently anticipates two additional quarter percentage point cuts to the Fed's target interest rate in 2026, which could be influenced by the upcoming CPI data [4] Consumer Spending Trends - Consumer spending has slowed, with the top 10% of income earners accounting for nearly half of all consumer spending in the U.S., raising concerns about sustainability until inflation cools [6] - The issue of "affordability" has become prominent, affecting middle-class Americans' spending habits [6] Tariff Impacts on Inflation - Investor concerns regarding the Trump administration's tariffs on imports and their potential inflationary effects have diminished, as recent data has not shown significant tariff-driven inflation [9] - The upcoming CPI report could provide further evidence that tariffs are not as damaging to inflation as previously feared, especially if it shows continued moderation [9]

Group 1 - The benchmark yield increased by more than 2 basis points to 4.172%, while the 2-year Treasury note yield surged over 5 basis points to 3.512%, indicating reduced expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts for the remainder of the year [1] - The 10-year Treasury yield rose in response to January job growth, which saw nonfarm payrolls total 130,000 new jobs, significantly exceeding the consensus estimate of 55,000 [2] - The unemployment rate decreased to 4.3%, below the forecast of 4.4%, suggesting a labor market in a low-growth mode with limited signs of increasing layoffs [3] Group 2 - The report on job growth is viewed positively by investors, as it may provide the Federal Reserve with more flexibility to maintain current interest rates, especially given solid corporate earnings growth and consumer spending accounting for about two-thirds of U.S. GDP [4] - Despite the positive job growth data, there are still concerns about recent softness in other economic indicators, but stabilization in the labor market could be beneficial for both the economy and the market [5]

The Australian Bureau of Statistics will no longer publish a year-on-year Consumer Price Index in its quarterly report as it shifts to a monthly inflation framework that aligns its reporting more closely with international practice. https://t.co/XvXfZiK3FT ...

Inflation impacts nearly everything you pay for, from food and rent to monthly bills. There are two primary ways inflation is measured in the US: the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE).CPI is the one that gets the headlines. It impacts things like Social Security's annual cost-of-living adjustment.PCE is the one that the Federal Reserve prefers to use when it determines what it should do about interest rates. But what's the difference between the two? Watc ...