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X @The Wall Street Journal
Consumer price pressures in Canada eased slightly in the first month of the year as prices at the pump fell sharply. https://t.co/BtEMZT8arJ ...
Chicago Fed's Goolsbee says interest rates could fall 'a fair bit more,' but more inflation progress is needed
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-13 21:02
Inflation and Interest Rates - Chicago Fed president Austan Goolsbee emphasizes the need for further progress on inflation falling to the Federal Reserve's 2% target before supporting any rate cuts [1][2] - Goolsbee notes that while there are signs of improvement in inflation, concerns remain, particularly regarding persistent services inflation, which is not influenced by tariffs [3][4] - The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data shows a 2.4% increase in prices year-over-year, with core inflation (excluding food and energy) rising by 2.5% [2] Economic Growth and Job Market - Goolsbee highlights the importance of a stable job market, which has remained steady for the past few months, as a factor in considering rate cuts [2] - He suggests that the Fed may have room to lower rates further before reaching a neutral level that neither stimulates nor restricts economic growth [4] Market Expectations - Data from the CME Group indicates that investors perceive a 90% chance that the Fed will maintain current interest rates at the upcoming policy meeting on March 18 [5]
Inside the Consumer Price Index: January 2026
Etftrends· 2026-02-13 20:38
2025, the annualized rate of change for headline CPI is 2.39% while the annualized change for core CPI is 2.50%. However, the cumulative change in these series since 2000 is 93.3% for headline CPI and 86.3% for core CPI.Consumers, especially those who've managed expenses over several years, are most closely attuned to the top line because the cumulative perspective makes it easier to grasp the real impact of inflation on purchasing power over time.## Inflation and Your HouseholdThe universal response is to ...
Dollar Finishes Slightly Lower on Tame US Consumer Prices
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-13 20:34
The dollar index (DXY00) on Friday fell by -0.01%.  The dollar posted modest losses on Friday after US January consumer prices rose less than expected, boosting speculation that the Fed could resume cutting interest rates.  Also, a recovery in stocks reduced liquidity demand for the dollar. US Jan CPI rose +2.4% y/y, weaker than expectations of +2.5% y/y and the smallest pace of increase in 7 months.  Jan core CPI rose +2.5% y/y, right on expectations and the smallest pace of increase in 4.75 years. Mor ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2026-02-13 14:46
Here are key takeaways from the January consumer price index report https://t.co/6uGI3h4DHL ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2026-02-13 13:04
US CPI Report January 2026: Live News on Inflation, Consumer Price Index https://t.co/Y9XbcXsT9y ...
Why This Friday Could Be a Big Day for the Stock Market
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-11 19:50
Core Economic Indicators - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, a major gauge of inflation in the U.S. economy, will be published on February 13 at 8:30 a.m., which could significantly impact asset prices [1] - Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, rose 2.6% year over year in December, marking a four-year low, with expectations for January to show a further decline to 2.45% [3] Market Reactions and Predictions - A positive CPI report indicating lower inflation could lead to a significant rise in the stock market, driven by investor hopes for additional Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [3][4] - The futures market currently anticipates two additional quarter percentage point cuts to the Fed's target interest rate in 2026, which could be influenced by the upcoming CPI data [4] Consumer Spending Trends - Consumer spending has slowed, with the top 10% of income earners accounting for nearly half of all consumer spending in the U.S., raising concerns about sustainability until inflation cools [6] - The issue of "affordability" has become prominent, affecting middle-class Americans' spending habits [6] Tariff Impacts on Inflation - Investor concerns regarding the Trump administration's tariffs on imports and their potential inflationary effects have diminished, as recent data has not shown significant tariff-driven inflation [9] - The upcoming CPI report could provide further evidence that tariffs are not as damaging to inflation as previously feared, especially if it shows continued moderation [9]
10-year Treasury yield moves higher on stronger-than-expected January jobs report
CNBC· 2026-02-11 19:36
Group 1 - The benchmark yield increased by more than 2 basis points to 4.172%, while the 2-year Treasury note yield surged over 5 basis points to 3.512%, indicating reduced expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts for the remainder of the year [1] - The 10-year Treasury yield rose in response to January job growth, which saw nonfarm payrolls total 130,000 new jobs, significantly exceeding the consensus estimate of 55,000 [2] - The unemployment rate decreased to 4.3%, below the forecast of 4.4%, suggesting a labor market in a low-growth mode with limited signs of increasing layoffs [3] Group 2 - The report on job growth is viewed positively by investors, as it may provide the Federal Reserve with more flexibility to maintain current interest rates, especially given solid corporate earnings growth and consumer spending accounting for about two-thirds of U.S. GDP [4] - Despite the positive job growth data, there are still concerns about recent softness in other economic indicators, but stabilization in the labor market could be beneficial for both the economy and the market [5]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2026-01-27 04:38
The Australian Bureau of Statistics will no longer publish a year-on-year Consumer Price Index in its quarterly report as it shifts to a monthly inflation framework that aligns its reporting more closely with international practice. https://t.co/XvXfZiK3FT ...
Inflation: The difference between CPI and PCE explained
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-26 21:05
Inflation impacts nearly everything you pay for, from food and rent to monthly bills. There are two primary ways inflation is measured in the US: the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE).CPI is the one that gets the headlines. It impacts things like Social Security's annual cost-of-living adjustment.PCE is the one that the Federal Reserve prefers to use when it determines what it should do about interest rates. But what's the difference between the two? Watc ...