Oddly enough…As a prediction market maxiI’d be closely watching Trump Nobel Peace prize odds.If this goes the way it’s looking and they cite the 20+ point deal Trump threw at em&& then we somehow get any sort of positive relations in the Ukraine / Russia situation…They may just give it to Don.&& currently at a 4% odds.I don’t hate the flyer.*Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone):HAMAS SAYS IT AFFIRMS ITS READINESS TO IMMEDIATELY ENGAGE IN NEGOTIATIONS THROUGH MEDIATORS TO DISCUSS DETAILS OF THIS MATTER ...

"Everyone says I should get the Nobel Peace Prize," Donald Trump told the UN last week. Will the Norwegians on the receiving end of his brash lobbying agree? https://t.co/bgovY9ZEbG ...

Claims Analysis - The report analyzes claims made by Donald Trump regarding his success in resolving global conflicts, suggesting he has "solved" between six and ten wars [1][2][15] - The White House identified conflicts Trump claims to have resolved, including those between Armenia and Azerbaijan, the Democratic Republic of Congo and Rwanda, India and Pakistan, Israel and Iran, Cambodia and Thailand, Egypt and Ethiopia, and Serbia and Kosovo [4] - The report questions the validity of these claims, stating that some conflicts are far from over, some are merely paused, and others are not wars at all [5][12][14] Geopolitical Implications - The agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan, facilitated by Trump, reopens transportation routes and creates a transit corridor, but the border remains closed, and the deal is not a peace treaty [6] - Conflicts such as those between the Democratic Republic of Congo and Rwanda, and India and Pakistan, saw temporary agreements or truces, but underlying issues remain unresolved [7][8] - The conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia is a diplomatic dispute over a dam, not an armed conflict, and Trump's claim that the US paid for the dam is disputed [13] - The situation between Serbia and Kosovo involves normalized economic relations but not full recognition, and Trump's efforts are credited with preventing violence [14] Negotiation Style - The report suggests that world leaders may be nominating Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize to get things done, legitimizing his actions [16] - Trump's approach is characterized as deal-making rather than genuine peacemaking, focusing on photo opportunities and personal interests [17] - Trump's negotiation style is described as win-lose, where someone has to lose for him to win, making him a "terrible negotiator" [22][26][27] - The report contrasts Trump's approach with the possibility of win-win real estate deals, which he seemingly rejects [26] Authoritarianism and Fragility - The report suggests that Trump's approach is based on authoritarianism and fear, which are inherently fragile [30] - The report draws parallels to historical examples, suggesting that resistance is more resilient than tyranny [29]

Geopolitical Strategy - The subject is described as meeting with an adversary, not a friend [1] - The adversary is perceived as wanting the destruction of the United States and the Western Alliance [2] - The discussion revolves around ending a war where Putin is the aggressor [2] - A desirable outcome involves a ceasefire, no exchange of territory, and Putin withdrawing from seized territory [2] Potential Recognition - If President Trump were to architect a solution leading to the above outcome, he would be nominated for a Nobel Peace Prize [3]

💥BREAKING:Hillary Clinton says she’d nominate Trump for Nobel Peace Prize if he helps end Ukraine war.LET’S GET IT DONE! 🚀 https://t.co/Qd33pvTE9u ...

Geopolitical Strategy & Diplomacy - The US administration aims to reassure Ukraine and European allies that President Trump will not discuss territorial divisions with Russia in the upcoming meeting [1] - The US president intends to secure a ceasefire in Ukraine first, followed by a longer-term peace deal, and may consider sanctioning Russia if progress is not made [1] - European leaders advised President Trump against making sweeping peace deals with Putin that alter Ukraine's borders without Ukraine's involvement [1] - Ukraine remains skeptical of Putin's intentions, believing he is bluffing and still aims to occupy all of Ukraine [1] - A potential peace deal could involve Ukraine surrendering some or most of the 20% of its territory currently occupied by Russia [1] Potential Risks & Concerns - There are concerns that Putin has already gained an advantage, with the photo op in America potentially perceived as a defeat for the US [1][2] - The White House is downplaying concerns about potential negative outcomes from the meeting, emphasizing that President Trump is simply trying to assess Putin's interest in peace [2] - The industry recalls the 2018 Helsinki summit where President Trump appeared conciliatory towards President Putin, raising concerns about a similar outcome [3][4][5][6] Motivations & Objectives - President Trump's desire for a Nobel Peace Prize is seen as a key motivator for seeking a resolution to the conflict [2] - Putin's strategy may involve buying time and offering superficial concessions to President Trump to maintain a favorable position [2]

Geopolitical Implications - Cambodia nominated President Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize [1] - The nomination followed US threats to halt trade deals [1] - The US demanded a ceasefire between Cambodia and Thailand [1]

International Relations - Cambodia plans to nominate President Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize [1] - The nomination is to recognize Trump's help in reaching a cease-fire deal [1] - The cease-fire deal aims to end Cambodia's recent border clashes with Thailand [1]

Some 120 years on, few remember the outrage provoked by the awarding of the Nobel peace prize to Theodore Roosevelt, the 26th American president and, to his critics, an America First bully. That fuss offers lessons for the present https://t.co/jPus9weXKv ...

Tariffs and Trade Negotiations - The US administration is considering new tariffs, potentially effective August 1st, which could be modified based on the relationship with each country, seen as a negotiation tactic [1][2][3] - The administration's approach to tariffs differs from previous administrations, involving setting initial terms rather than traditional negotiations [4][5] - The concept of trade imbalances is questioned, with examples like a $2 billion trade deficit with Switzerland due to consumer preferences [6][7] - Proposed tariff rates, such as 25% for South Korea and Japan, lack a clear basis and are aimed at closing trade deficits rather than reflecting reciprocal tariffs [9][10] - Imposing high tariffs may reduce duties collected as countries decrease exports to the US, potentially not creating long-term wealth [13][14] Policy Uncertainty and Impact - The August 1st tariff deadline is uncertain, with conflicting statements from the administration [15][16] - Frequent changes in policy make it difficult for businesses to plan and operate effectively [17][18][31][32] Geopolitical Considerations - The US administration is sending more weapons to Ukraine, expressing dissatisfaction with Vladimir Putin [27][28] - Continued funding from the US and the European Union is seen as crucial for a potential peace effort in Ukraine [29][30] - The administration's fluctuating stance on supporting Ukraine creates planning challenges for Ukraine and its European allies [31][32]