Political Risk

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Cleveland-Cliffs: Political Risk At Its Finest (NYSE:CLF)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-24 21:46
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the significant impact of political decisions on businesses, particularly in the Energy and Basic Materials sectors, where government actions can greatly influence company performance [1]. Group 1: Industry Analysis - Companies in the Energy and Basic Materials sectors are heavily reliant on political decisions, which can create both opportunities and challenges for their operations [1]. - The article suggests that understanding the political landscape is crucial for assessing the potential risks and rewards associated with investments in these sectors [1]. Group 2: Analyst Background - The author, Vladimir Dimitrov, has a background in strategy consulting, focusing on brand and intangible asset valuation, and has experience working with major global brands in technology, telecom, and banking [1]. - The author's educational background includes a degree from the London School of Economics, indicating a strong foundation in economic principles relevant to investment analysis [1].
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-15 04:35
A political standoff in Turkey may reach a climax on Monday, when a court ruling threatens the existence of the main opposition party, with the markets on edge https://t.co/QDvMRIKbQT ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-07 22:40
Poland’s bickering leaders have been served warning — stop the fighting or the economy will suffer the consequences https://t.co/tvaEon1GLy ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-04 08:55
Political Risk & Investor Sentiment - France's bond sales will test investor appetite amidst heightened political risk following Prime Minister Francois Bayrou's call for a confidence vote [1]
X @外汇交易员
外汇交易员· 2025-09-02 09:07
Yield Trends - French 30-year government bond yield rose 6 basis points to 451%, a new high since June 2009 [1] - Spanish 30-year government bond yield increased 55 basis points to 43%, a new high since November 2023 [1] - Italian 30-year government bond yield climbed 5 basis points to 466%, a new high since April this year [1] Market Sentiment - Eurozone long-term government bond yields continue to rise, with the French 30-year government bond yield exceeding 45% for the first time since 2011 [1] - The spread between French and German bond yields has reached nearly 80 basis points, hovering at its widest level since April [1] Political Factors - France's political situation is weighing on the performance of French government bonds [1] - French Prime Minister Borne's minority government faces the risk of being ousted in a vote of confidence on September 8 [1]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-08-31 08:42
Intensifying protests in Indonesia and the latest leadership upheaval in Thailand are ratcheting up political risk in the two largest emerging stock markets in Southeast Asia https://t.co/06AlsEnRPZ ...
France Risk: Markets Are Pricing Bayrou's Downfall
Bloomberg Television· 2025-08-29 06:29
For the moment, what we have is deadlock is a bit of a short story in France. I don't think markets would get overly stressed about France being at 100 basis points. Political risk.Really, it's frost into kind of France in a spotlight. It's nothing that we are not used to compared to Germany, which seems to be a bit below the spread of 2024. But to swap, we are above this level.We have a playbook. We went through these last summer and Spritz went all the way to 80. The ECB, I'm sure, will be ready to suppor ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-08-26 09:10
French companies with limited exposure to the domestic economy are looking to raise new funds in the bond market just as the country’s political risk is heating up https://t.co/5WD390RSj7 ...
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Bloomberg· 2025-08-13 16:58
A rally in Latin American currencies has made them expensive while increasing their vulnerability to political risk and a rebound in the US dollar, according to Wells Fargo https://t.co/epX1SQ4Eok ...
How Palantir Stock Falls To $80
Forbes· 2025-08-05 13:55
Core Viewpoint - Palantir Technologies has experienced significant stock growth, more than doubling in value this year, driven by interest in generative AI and new government contracts following the re-election of Donald Trump as U.S. President [1][2] Financial Performance - Palantir's Q2 revenue grew 48% year-over-year, exceeding $1 billion, and the company raised its full-year revenue guidance to between $4.14 billion and $4.15 billion, up from a previous forecast of $3.89 billion to $3.90 billion [1][2] - Adjusted operating margins improved to 48%, up from 37% in the year-ago quarter [2] Market Dynamics - The U.S. government segment saw a revenue increase of 53% year-over-year, reaching $426 million in the last quarter [5] - Broader market conditions remain challenging, with inflation and job market softness posing risks to future growth [4] Valuation Concerns - Palantir's stock is trading at a high valuation of approximately 255x forward earnings, making it susceptible to significant pullbacks [4][10] - The company's revenues have grown at an average annual rate of 24% over the past three years, but this growth does not justify the current stock valuation [10] Risks and Challenges - Government contracts are unpredictable, which complicates future revenue forecasts [5][6] - The reliance on federal contracts exposes Palantir to political risks, including shifts in government priorities and potential budget cuts [6] - The commercial market, while showing growth, faces challenges in scaling beyond large enterprises due to complex and expensive implementations [7][8] Historical Performance - Palantir stock has shown volatility, losing over 70% of its value during economic stress in 2022, while the S&P 500 declined about 25% [9] - The stock has recovered to a high of $160.66 as of early August 2025, but historical trends indicate potential for steep declines if market sentiment shifts [9]