arbitrum revenue dropped 87% post-dencun. $65m quarterly to $8.2m. blob space turned their 80% margins into 15%. $5b fdv pricing in $300m annual revenue that's actually $32m. base processes more transactions and keeps the profits through coinbase integration. arb can't compete with free execution when they need $12m just to run the sequencer. ...

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It was expected as of this month. But if you rewind back to April, this was not the outlook for this year. We were already coming off a very strong 2024.And with what was happening in the first week of April Liberation Day, all the tariff onslaught that we were hearing about and the immediate reaction in markets, there was real concern and fear that profits would be down, compensation pools will be down, and therefore the bonus pool will be done. Fast forward six months. What we have is the exact opposite.P ...

It's a big one. All of the most important mega cap tech companies and then Nvidia a little bit after that, but it's going to be big. For more on what to expect, let's welcome in Lo Tony.He's Plexo Capitals founding managing partners. Good to see you. Welcome back.>> Thanks for having me. >> How do you think next week's going to unfold. >> Well, I think it's going to be a bell weather for sure because we've had so much spend.It's almost like a space race with over $300 billion in capex on mostly AI infrastru ...

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Market Overview - The major average is pacing for another winning week, all within 2% of record levels [1] - The S&P has been moving sideways more or less for about a month now, the Ecoeight index for about 2 months, which sets up well for a year-end rally [4] - The market is facing a carousel of concerns, including tariff frictions, credit hiccups, and questions around AI bubble or momentum stock breakdown [1][2] Investment Strategy & Sector Analysis - The most important factor of this bull market still remains profits, with forward earning estimates moving higher for the overall market [3] - The defining theme of this bull market is still AI and tech, and the earnings momentum still remains with large cap tech [8] - There's rotation within the MAG7 stocks, with money not leaving the market but rotating through the other MAG7s [9] - The weekly sentiment data show more bears than bulls, indicating it's far from euphorium [7] Commodities - The firm was previously more positive on gold but recently stated the risk/reward was less compelling, as gold became the most stretched to the upside relative to its trend since 2006 [10] - The firm still likes gold structurally and believes it still has a place in a portfolio, but a short-term pullback consolidation is likely [11] Economic Factors - The Fed is likely to cut rates next week, and the market has a rate cut next week completely baked in, probably another one after that [12][14] - The 10-year Treasury is hovering around 4%, about 75 basis points off the highs [14]

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