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We're back on halftime report. I'm Contessa Brewer with today's ETF edge. Good to see you.Many ETF investors think the Fed's December rate meeting is the final hurdle to clear in 2025 before moving on to 2026. But our next guest believes in an outof consensus view that we're already in a new market cycle. Joining me now is John Davi, CIO at Atoria Portfolio Advisors.John, good to see you. Why do you think we've already moved on. This is a new cycle.>> For the last 25 years, whenever I uh have seen the Fed c ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Distributed earnings before realizations were $1.3 billion for the quarter, or $0.56 per share, and $5.4 billion over the last 12 months, or $2.27 per share, representing an 18% increase over the same period last year [4][13] - Total distributed earnings, including realizations, were $1.5 billion, or $0.63 per share for the quarter, and $6 billion, or $2.54 per share over the last 12 months [13] - Total net income was $1.7 billion over the same period [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The asset management business generated distributed earnings of $687 million, or $0.29 per share in the quarter, and $2.7 billion, or $1.14 per share over the last 12 months [13] - Wealth Solutions business delivered distributed earnings of $420 million, or $0.18 per share in the quarter, and $1.7 billion, or $0.70 per share over the last 12 months, representing organic growth of over 15% year-over-year [15][16] - Infrastructure and renewable power businesses remain at the forefront of global investment opportunities, with significant initiatives announced [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company financed $140 billion of debt across operations and closed $75 billion of asset sales at attractive values [5][23] - The real estate business showed strong performance with 96% occupancy in the Super Core portfolio and 95% in the Core Plus portfolio [19] - Leasing activity in high-quality assets remains strong, with rents on newly signed leases averaging 15% above those expiring [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on AI innovation, aging populations, and real estate recovery as key growth drivers [8] - Strategic transactions include the acquisition of Just Group in the U.K. and a reinsurance agreement in Japan, expanding the company's footprint in retirement markets [9][17] - The company aims to leverage its scale and expertise to capture opportunities in energy transition and AI infrastructure [10][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The economic backdrop remains constructive, with healthy corporate earnings and open capital markets supporting real assets [4][6] - Management anticipates a period of declining real yields and low nominal rates, which would benefit real asset investments [7] - The company expects continued growth in financial results over the remainder of the year and into 2026 [23] Other Important Information - The company completed a three-for-two stock split on October 9, 2025, affecting all per-share amounts discussed [2] - The board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.06 per share, consistent with the previous quarter's dividend [24] Q&A Session Summary Question: Discussion on AI and humanoids creating another leg for Brookfield - Management emphasized that capital deployment is focused on building infrastructure to support AI growth, with significant investment in renewable energy and data centers [28][30] Question: Update on the reinsurance agreement in Japan - The reinsurance agreement is expected to scale over time, with a focus on long-duration low-risk liabilities [32] Question: Timeline for achieving the 200 basis point target net investment yield spread - Management indicated that achieving the target is a medium to long-term goal, with expectations for spread to broaden as capital is deployed [38] Question: Impact of the Oaktree acquisition on share repurchases - The acquisition will not materially impact the company's buyback strategy, with plans to repurchase shares issued as part of the transaction [40] Question: Progress on the Just acquisition and its financial implications - Management is working through regulatory approvals and expects to scale PRT origination significantly post-acquisition [47] Question: Downside protections for nuclear project investments - Investments in nuclear projects will be structured to provide strong downside protection, focusing on scaling Westinghouse's services [52][54] Question: Outlook for Carry Generation and realizations - Management expects a step-up in carried interest in 2026, with a healthy transaction market supporting this outlook [59][61]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Distributed earnings before realizations were $1.3 billion for the quarter, or $0.56 per share, and $5.4 billion over the last 12 months, or $2.27 per share, representing an 18% increase over the same period last year [5][14] - Total distributed earnings, including realizations, were $1.5 billion, or $0.63 per share for the quarter, and $6 billion, or $2.54 per share over the last 12 months, with total net income of $1.7 billion [14][15] - The company financed $140 billion of debt across operations and closed $75 billion of asset sales at attractive values [5][25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The asset management business generated distributed earnings of $687 million, or $0.29 per share in the quarter, and $2.7 billion, or $1.14 per share over the last 12 months [14] - Wealth Solutions business delivered distributed earnings of $420 million, or $0.18 per share in the quarter, and $1.7 billion, or $0.70 per share over the last 12 months, representing organic growth of over 15% year over year [17] - The infrastructure and renewable power businesses remain at the forefront of secular trends, with significant initiatives announced for next-generation power and AI infrastructure [20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Economic activity and corporate earnings remain healthy, with capital markets open and transaction activity picking up across most asset classes [5] - The real estate recovery is gaining momentum, with strong leasing activity and high occupancy rates in the Super Core and Core Plus portfolios [20][21] - The company has advanced $75 billion of monetizations across its franchise, including various asset classes [21][24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on AI innovation, aging populations, and real estate recovery as key trends for future growth [9] - Strategic transactions include the acquisition of Just Group in the UK and a reinsurance agreement in Japan, expanding the company's footprint in retirement markets [10][19] - The company aims to leverage its scale and expertise in real assets to capture opportunities in energy transition and AI infrastructure [11][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the economic environment, noting potential policy easing from the Federal Reserve and the benefits of real assets in a low nominal rate environment [6][8] - The company anticipates continued strong growth in its results over the remainder of the year and into 2026, supported by a record $180 billion of deployable capital [9][25] - Management highlighted the importance of disciplined capital deployment and the potential for significant growth in AI and renewable energy sectors [29][79] Other Important Information - The company completed a three-for-two stock split on October 9, 2025, affecting all per-share amounts discussed [2] - A quarterly dividend of $0.06 per share was declared, consistent with the previous quarter's dividend [26] - The company maintains a conservatively capitalized balance sheet with high levels of liquidity [25] Q&A Session Summary Question: How do you see humanoids and AI potentially creating another leg of the stool for Brookfield over time? - Management indicated that capital deployment is focused on building infrastructure to support AI growth, with significant investment in renewable energy and data centers [29][31] Question: Can you talk about the reinsurance agreement in Japan and its contribution to global ambitions? - Management confirmed that the reinsurance agreement is a flow arrangement that will build over time, with a focus on growth in both the UK and Japan markets [33][34] Question: How long to reach the 200 basis point target net investment yield spread? - Management stated that achieving the target is a medium to long-term goal, with expectations for the spread to widen as attractive investment opportunities arise [37][38] Question: What is the impact of the Oaktree acquisition on share repurchases? - Management confirmed that the acquisition will not impact the broader buyback strategy, with a portion of shares issued being repurchased [41] Question: Can you elaborate on the trajectory of the insurance business and spread dynamics? - Management acknowledged the current spread of 165 basis points, emphasizing a disciplined approach to capital deployment and a focus on long-term performance [44][46] Question: What are the downside protections sought in nuclear project investments? - Management indicated that investments in nuclear projects will be structured to provide strong downside protection, with a focus on scaling Westinghouse's services [53][55] Question: How is the outlook for Kerry Generation shaping up for 2026? - Management expects a step-up in carried interest in 2026, with a healthy transaction market supporting continued activity [61][62]

Market Dynamics - The market has largely focused on short-term PvP knife fighting and momentum trading, overlooking real price discovery [1] - The market seems to have forgotten the existence of real assets and PvEs (Proof of Valuable Efforts) [1] Cryptocurrency Assessment - The continued presence of XRP/ADA in the top 10 cryptocurrencies is considered an anomaly [1]

人事变动 - Rivera 将在 Capital Solutions Group 内的基础设施和实物资产融资部门承担新职责 [1] 公司战略 - 银行在 Capital Solutions Group 内调整基础设施和实物资产融资团队 [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Earnings per share for Q3 2025 increased to $0.81, up 11.6% from $0.73 in Q2 2025 [4] - Revenue for Q3 2025 rose 4.2% to $141 million compared to the prior quarter, driven by higher average AUM and an additional day in the period [4][5] - Operating margin improved to 36.1% from 33.6% in Q2 2025 [5] - Ending AUM reached $90.9 billion, positively impacted by market appreciation and net inflows [5] - Liquidity at the end of Q3 was $364 million, up from $323 million in the prior quarter [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Open-end funds experienced positive net flows for five consecutive quarters, although institutional net outflows partially offset this [5] - Net inflows into open-end funds were $768 million, while institutional advisory and subadvisory had net outflows of $455 million and $82 million, respectively [19][20] - The unfunded pipeline grew to $1.75 billion, the largest since Q4 2021, with 66% in US REIT strategies [21][22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The third quarter was positive for risk assets, with technology sector performance exceeding the S&P 500 by over 500 basis points [11] - Natural resource equities increased nearly 21% year-to-date, while diversified real assets strategy rose over 13% [13] - 87% of open-end fund AUM rated four or five stars by Morningstar, slightly down from 90% in the prior quarter [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expense management while pursuing growth opportunities, expecting G&A to increase by around 9% in 2025 [8] - The strategic allocation to real assets, including infrastructure and natural resources, is emphasized due to their inflation sensitivity [16][17] - The company plans to launch two more ETFs in Q4 2025, expanding its active ETF strategy [24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management anticipates resilient economic growth and corporate profits, with expectations for earnings growth in sectors like real estate and energy to accelerate in 2026 [12] - The current environment of slightly elevated inflation and lower rates is seen as favorable for real assets [14] - The company remains optimistic about the potential of AI to enhance productivity and drive GDP growth [14] Other Important Information - The company raised $353 million in an equity rights offering for its closed-end fund, providing over $500 million for global infrastructure opportunities [23] - The non-traded REIT continues to perform well, focusing on open-air shopping centers [25] - The company is advocating for the inclusion of real assets in 401(k) plans, highlighting the benefits of listed strategies [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Demand for US REITs in wealth management channel - Management noted that historically, REIT returns are stimulated by interest rate cuts, but the current cycle has created a different dynamic due to prior real estate pricing advancements [33] - They believe the current point in the cycle is favorable for REIT performance as rates are expected to continue decreasing [34] Question: Profile of clients providing funds - The pipeline is predominantly North American, including retirement plans and annuity providers, with some recent European allocations [37] Question: Expected allocation of cash sitting on the sidelines - Management expects cash to flow into inflation-sensitive real asset strategies, particularly real estate and infrastructure [40] Question: Compensation ratio outlook for 2026 - The company is focused on revenue growth and managing compensation ratios, with expectations for new initiatives to generate revenue and improve ratios [43][45]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Earnings per share for Q3 increased to $0.81, up 11.6% from $0.73 in Q2 [6][7] - Revenue for Q3 rose 4.2% to $141 million, driven by higher average AUM and an additional day in the period [7] - Operating margin improved to 36.1% from 33.6% in Q2 [7] - Ending AUM increased to $90.9 billion as of Q3 [7][10] - Liquidity at the end of Q3 was $364 million, up from $323 million in the prior quarter [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Open-end funds experienced positive net inflows for five consecutive quarters, although institutional net outflows partially offset this [8] - Total expenses remained flat compared to the prior quarter, with G&A expenses decreasing significantly [9] - Compensation ratio for the quarter decreased, leading to a year-to-date compensation ratio of 40.25% [9][11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net inflows for the year reached $325 million, with $233 million in Q3 alone [26] - The institutional pipeline grew to $1.75 billion, the largest since 2021, with $972 million in new mandates awarded during the quarter [27][28] - The largest percentage of the pipeline (66%) is in U.S. REIT strategies [28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expense management while pursuing growth opportunities in active ETFs and private real estate [11][30] - There is a strategic emphasis on diversifying into real assets, including infrastructure and natural resources, to enhance portfolio resilience [21][23] - The company plans to launch two more ETFs in Q4, expanding its active ETF strategy [30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about economic growth and corporate profits remaining resilient, with expectations for earnings growth in sectors that have been sluggish [16] - The current economic environment, characterized by slightly elevated inflation and lower rates, is seen as favorable for real assets [19][21] - The company anticipates continued allocations to its asset classes due to strong investment performance [23] Other Important Information - The company raised $353 million in an equity rights offering for its closed-end fund, providing over $500 million for global infrastructure opportunities [29] - The company is targeting the RIA channel for additional strategic seed capital and traditional allocations [32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Demand for U.S. REITs in wealth management - Management noted that historically, returns have been stimulated by interest rate cuts, but the current cycle has created a different dynamic due to prior real estate pricing adjustments [39][40] - They expect continued strong performance for REITs as rates decline, with good results in wealth management and institutional markets [41] Question: Cash allocation as rates decline - Management expects cash sitting on the sidelines to flow into real asset strategies, particularly real estate and infrastructure [50] - Preferred stocks are also anticipated to attract investment as cash yields become less favorable [51] Question: Compensation ratio outlook - The company expects the compensation ratio to remain stable, with revenue growth helping to manage costs [53] - New initiatives are beginning to generate revenue, which should positively impact the compensation ratio moving forward [55]

Group 1 - The price of gold indicates a strong demand from investors for real assets, suggesting a shift in investment preferences [1] - Despite lower inflation rates currently, it is anticipated that inflation will remain above target levels until public debt burdens are reduced [1] - The analyst has extensive experience in private equity, real estate, and economic research, providing a solid foundation for market insights [1] Group 2 - No specific stock positions are held by the analyst, but there is potential for initiating a long position in HST within the next 72 hours [2] - The article expresses the analyst's personal opinions and does not involve compensation from any mentioned companies [2] Group 3 - A short position in HLT has been maintained since May, although the reasons for this are not detailed in the article [3]