🚨MONEY: INTEREST RATES UNLIKELY TO COME DOWN ANYTIME SOONFederal Reserve governor Chris Waller says he supports the Fed's decision to hold interest rates, based on inflation risks and global uncertainty/conflict.He mentioned that the Federal Reserve is currently 'restrictive' in its policy decisions.Source: Wu Blockchain ...

We heard from the Federal Reserve and from Chair Powell this week, and maybe the headline is the uncertainty because of the war in Iran. He was very careful in saying "We don't know what the effects will be, big, small or in between. " How does one make policy in the face of that kind of uncertainty? -Well, you know, writ large, that's the job of the Fed generally. The Fed is always in a position of uncertainty. That uncertainty may be greater from moment to moment. It's obviously at a fairly high level now ...

Canadian stocks erased all of their gains for the year as shares of gold producers tumbled and traders bet that central banks may not rush to cut interest rates due to the inflationary effects of the Iran war https://t.co/4oPW0um2uV ...

>> FROM NEW YORK CITY FOR OUR VIEWERS WORLDWIDE, I AM SCARLET FU. "BLOOMBERG REAL YIELD" THE ONE-OUR EDITITION AND NOW. THE IRAN WAR UPENDS ENERGY MARKETS, SENDING GLOBAL BOND YIELDS SURGING. INVESTORS RUSHED TO BET ON HIGHER INTEREST RATES AS MAJOR CENTRAL BANKS INCLUDING THE FED TO SIGNAL FRESH CONCERN OF AN INFLATION SHOCK. AND THE VOLATILITY LEAVES BANKS SCRAMBLING TO SET REALISTIC PRICES ON BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF BUY OUT DEBT. WE BEGIN WITH THE BIG ISSUE, AND ECONOMY CLOUDED BY THE FOG OF WAR. >> JUST ...

Economic Impact of the Iran War - The Iran war is causing significant volatility in energy markets, leading to surging global bond yields and increased investor concerns about inflation and interest rates [1][2] - Major central banks, including the Federal Reserve, are signaling caution regarding the economic implications of the conflict, with a focus on both short-term and long-term impacts [1][2] - The risk of recession is perceived to be higher than what markets currently believe, as the ongoing conflict could negatively affect economic growth [1][2] Federal Reserve's Stance - Following the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates, traders have adjusted their expectations, pricing in a potential rate hike by the end of 2026, contrasting with earlier expectations of rate cuts [1][2] - Fed Chair Jerome Powell has indicated uncertainty regarding the economic impact of the Iran war, noting that higher energy prices will likely increase overall inflation [1][2] - The Fed remains cautious and data-dependent, with no immediate plans for rate cuts unless economic conditions improve significantly [1][2] Market Reactions and Trends - The bond market is experiencing a significant repricing, with traders now considering the likelihood of rate hikes rather than cuts, reflecting a shift in market sentiment [2][3] - The two-year and ten-year yields have reached their highest levels since July of the previous year, indicating increased market anxiety and risk pricing [1][2] - There is a notable trend of investors seeking higher yields in the short to intermediate parts of the yield curve, as the market adjusts to the new economic landscape [2][3] Corporate Credit Market - J.P. Morgan has paused a $5.3 billion debt deal due to market volatility and investor preference for other offerings, highlighting challenges in the current credit environment [4][5] - Default rates in private credit are projected to rise to 8%, particularly in the software sector, which constitutes a significant portion of private credit exposure [4][5] - The investment-grade corporate bond market remains relatively stable, with strong fundamentals despite rising yields and geopolitical tensions [6][7] Investor Sentiment and Strategies - Investors are currently underweight in risk assets, indicating a cautious approach amid geopolitical uncertainties, with potential for increased risk-taking if conditions improve [9][10] - The market is seeing a shift towards higher-quality investments as concerns about economic growth and inflation persist, with a focus on sectors less exposed to energy price fluctuations [24][25] - There is a growing expectation that the current concessionary environment in the credit market may become the norm, driven by ongoing demand for financing amid rising costs [18][19]

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Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting with competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments in complex instruments like cryptocurrencies and CFDs [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party materials intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information should not be interpreted as a recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - The accuracy and reliability of the information are not guaranteed, and users are cautioned against relying solely on the content provided [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about cryptocurrencies, CFDs, and other financial instruments, highlighting their complexity and associated high risks [1]. - Users are encouraged to conduct their own research and fully understand the workings and risks of any financial instruments before investing [1].

Group 1: Market Overview - Wall Street remains under pressure due to elevated oil prices and disappointing inflation data, with the Federal Reserve signaling only one rate cut in 2026 [1] - The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) is elevated as investors monitor Middle East tensions, contributing to a fourth consecutive week of losses for major indices like the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq [2] Group 2: Technology Sector Highlights - Big Tech continues to attract attention, with Meta Platforms collaborating with Nebius amid layoff rumors, and Nvidia hosting its GTC conference, generating significant options activity [3] - Palantir Technologies' stock is testing a key trendline, which may attract bullish investors, while Micron Technology's earnings are also in focus [4] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The current market weakness presents opportunities for contrarian investors, particularly in fiber optics stock Credo, while Dow faces a historically bearish trendline [5] - Blue-chip tech stock Cisco Systems may be poised for a positive movement on the charts, and despite recent profit-taking, a gold mining stock could be a long-term investment opportunity [5] Group 4: Future Considerations for Investors - Navigating implied volatilities is challenging, with analysts highlighting a potential resistance trendline for the S&P 500 [6] - Key economic data will be monitored in the upcoming week, which could influence market movements [6]

Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting with competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments in complex instruments like cryptocurrencies and CFDs [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party materials intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information should not be interpreted as a recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - The accuracy and reliability of the information are not guaranteed, and users are cautioned against relying solely on the content provided [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about cryptocurrencies, CFDs, and other financial instruments, highlighting their complexity and associated high risks [1]. - Users are encouraged to conduct their own research and fully understand the workings and risks of any financial instruments before investing [1].

Market Performance - The U.S. stock market opened on March 20, 2026, with mixed to downward trends amid the "Triple Witching" event, with the S&P 500 at approximately 6,600 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average down by about 150 points in the first hour [1] - Following a hawkish signal from the Federal Reserve, the market is pricing in a higher likelihood that interest rates will remain between 4.25% and 4.50% for the rest of 2026, dampening expectations for a rate cut [2] Corporate News - FedEx reported third-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings of $5.25 per share on revenue of $24 billion, exceeding analyst expectations and prompting a share price increase of over 9% [3] - Super Micro Computer's shares fell by more than 20% due to charges against co-founder Yih-Shyan "Wally" Liaw for violating export control regulations related to unauthorized sales of servers to China [4] - Rivian's shares are actively traded following a partnership with Uber to integrate Rivian's R2 platform into Uber's electric fleet, enhancing Rivian's production outlook [5] Geopolitical and Economic Context - The market remains sensitive to the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran, with Brent Crude oil prices stabilizing around $110 per barrel, influenced by geopolitical tensions [6] - The market anticipates the Baker Hughes Rig Count data, while significant price movements are expected due to the technical rebalancing of $5.1 trillion in options set to expire [7]