Core Insights - Zcash (ZEC) has experienced a significant 16% decline in the last 24 hours, falling from an attempt to surpass the $400 mark, which has delayed its recovery efforts [1] - The correlation between Zcash and Bitcoin has turned negative, indicating that ZEC is no longer moving in sync with BTC, introducing new risk dynamics for traders [2] - Long traders are facing heightened liquidation risks, with approximately $17.49 million in long contracts at risk if ZEC drops to $300 or below, which could exacerbate bearish sentiment [4][5] Price Analysis - ZEC is currently trading at $339, with a support level around $344 after a sharp decline, suggesting potential for further downside in the near term [6] - If bearish momentum persists, ZEC could approach the critical $300 support level, which, if lost, may trigger significant liquidations and push the price down to $260 [7] - Conversely, if buying momentum returns, ZEC could stabilize at $344 and aim for a recovery towards $403, with a breakout above this level potentially restoring confidence among long traders [8]

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Core Insights - The relationship between cryptocurrencies and equities has evolved from being perceived as uncorrelated assets to being recognized as interconnected, particularly during periods of market stress [2][3][4]. Group 1: Historical Perspective - Initially, Bitcoin was viewed as a diversifier, with early studies indicating minimal exposure to traditional financial risks [2]. - Recent literature indicates that cryptocurrencies are now closely linked to equity markets, especially during significant macroeconomic and geopolitical events [4]. Group 2: Recent Findings - A survey by Adelopo et al (2025) highlights time-varying and non-linear relationships between cryptocurrencies and stock markets, with stronger connections during crises like COVID-19 and the Russia-Ukraine war [4]. - Research by Umar et al (2021) and Frankovic (2022) shows that technology and blockchain-linked stocks are significantly affected by cryptocurrency price movements, indicating that equities serve as a transmission channel for crypto risk [5]. Group 3: Evidence of Interconnectedness - Vuković (2025) demonstrates that negative shocks in the cryptocurrency market can adversely impact stock markets, bond indices, and exchange rates globally [6]. - Ghorbel et al (2024) find that cryptocurrencies have become significant transmitters and receivers of shocks, particularly during turbulent market conditions [6]. - Lamine et al (2024) reveal dynamic risk spillovers from cryptocurrencies to U.S. and Chinese stock markets, especially during high-volatility episodes [6]. - Sajeev et al (2022) document a contagion effect of Bitcoin on major stock exchanges, indicating a correlation between cryptocurrency volatility and stock market performance [6].

Core Insights - Bitcoin has climbed back above $93,000, reaching its highest level in two weeks, although it has faced challenges since its all-time high in October, with regulatory factors being a key concern heading into the new year [1] Group 1: Regulatory Developments - The Clarity Act, which has passed the House, aims to establish a true market structure for crypto in the U.S., providing clarity and certainty for digital assets [3] - The Senate is expected to vote on the Clarity Act soon, which is essential for completing the regulatory framework for the crypto industry [2][3] - The passage of the Clarity Act would define which assets are subject to U.S. securities laws, addressing concerns regarding leverage and other issues [9] Group 2: Adoption of Stablecoins - Traditional financial institutions, including banks, are recognizing the potential of stablecoins to transform the financial services industry, leading to greater adoption and efficiency [5] - The recent passage of the Genius Act has prompted banks to explore stablecoins, indicating a shift towards innovation in financial transactions [4] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Leverage - The influence of leverage players on Bitcoin remains significant, and Coinbase is adapting to this evolving market by providing access to Bitcoin for millions [7][8] - The introduction of new options for consumers to participate in the Bitcoin market necessitates new standards and safeguards [8] Group 4: Institutional Engagement - Vanguard's decision to allow crypto ETFs on its platform signals a growing acceptance of crypto as an asset class, reflecting a shift in perspective among initial skeptics [10][11] Group 5: Transparency and Compliance - Coinbase's transparency report revealed a nearly 20% increase in government information requests, with over half coming from outside the U.S., indicating a global trend in law enforcement's interest in digital assets [12][14] - The report highlights the importance of lawful processes while maintaining customer privacy, as the demand for compliance with legal requests grows [15] Group 6: Metrics for Crypto Adoption - The focus on the use of digital assets and blockchain networks to solve real-world problems is becoming more prominent, beyond just price metrics [17][18] - The acceleration of adoption in various applications, such as DeFi for credit and alternative payment methods, is a key area of interest for the industry [18]

Market Overview - The year 2025 is characterized as a year of two halves, with significant volatility in the first half due to uncertainties around tariffs, followed by a market rebound as the impact of tariffs on earnings was less severe than anticipated [2][3] - As 2026 approaches, there is renewed uncertainty, this time related to economic factors and monetary policy, suggesting a potential repeat of the initial conditions seen in 2025 [3] Technology and AI Sector - There is an ongoing debate about whether the current AI market is in a bubble, with the consensus being that while a bubble exists, the situation is more complex than the dot-com era of 1999 [4][5] - Notably, there has been no margin expansion in AI-related companies this year, contrasting with the significant margin growth seen during the dot-com boom, making direct comparisons less valid [6][7] - The focus is shifting towards the monetization of AI, with infrastructure providers like data centers and chip makers expected to benefit, regardless of the monetization success of hyperscalers [7] Cryptocurrency Market - A recent 32% selloff in the cryptocurrency market is viewed as a typical occurrence, with historical patterns indicating that such sell-offs often represent entry points for investors [9][10] - Institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies is increasing, with major financial institutions like Bank of America and JP Morgan facilitating access to crypto ETFs, indicating a positive long-term trend for cryptocurrency adoption [11][12] - The favorable regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies is also seen as a long-term tailwind, reinforcing the notion that sell-offs are a normal feature of the asset class rather than a cause for concern [12][13] 2026 Economic Outlook - The initial outlook for 2026 suggests a defensive start, similar to 2025, but there is an expectation of transitioning to a more risk-on environment as the economy stabilizes and a new Federal Reserve chair is appointed [14][15]

Bitcoin’s price trembles at $89,000 after the White House published its National Security Strategy on Friday. US President Donald Trump’s latest release ramps up the pressure on US allies to spend more on defence, echoing the American leader’s speech to the United Nations at the end of last year. “The days of the United States propping up the entire world order like Atlas are over,” the National Security Strategy reads. “We count among our many allies and partners dozens of wealthy, sophisticated nations ...

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Snapshot 235 is live:🇸🇬 Ripple receives Singapore MAS approval to broaden payment activity🔗 Grayscale debuts first US spot LINK ETF on NYSE Arca🇬🇧 UK to require exchanges to collect user IDs and report data🏛️ Vanguard’s 50M clients can now trade BTC and ETH ETFs🎮 Sony Bank explores a USD stablecoin for PlayStation payments— and more ...

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