🇺🇸 TODAY: Fed Chair Powell will speak at 10:00 A.M. ET for the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium.Will he talk about a potential rate cut? https://t.co/pm3qmUAkPp ...

Market Overview - The market has been selling off, with some altcoins down over 20% [2] - Bitcoin and Ethereum need to regain strength for the market to bounce [3][4] - The overall market cap is at $385 trillion [5] - The Bitcoin fear and greed index is at 46, indicating fearful levels [6] Fed Rate Cut Expectations and Impact - The Fed rate cut could be a catalyst to impulse the market out of the lows [4][5] - Retail investors believe there's a 57% chance of a Fed rate cut in September [18] - CME Group indicates a 753% chance of a rate cut in September, 875% in October, and 967% in December [20] - When the Fed cuts interest rates near stock market all-time highs, the S&P 500 has historically finished higher over the next 12 months [22] - Lower interest rates could cause a surge across markets, including real estate [25][26] Bitcoin and Ethereum Analysis - Bitcoin needs to maintain daily closes over $1124 thousand [11] - A daily close over $115 thousand for Bitcoin would signal a bottom, targeting $1175 thousand next [12][13] - Ethereum is following Bitcoin, needing a 4-hour close over $44 thousand [15][16] Jerome Powell's Speech - Jerome Powell's speech is a major focus, providing insight into the Fed's next move [17][19] - The market's reaction to the speech will indicate whether a rate cut in September is expected [30] - Historically, the stock market's performance around Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speeches has varied [27][28]

So was you hate being wrong sitting here 87% chance last night now down to 73%. Does the stock not bond does the stock market care about a rate cut. >> I think so.I you know there was this time last year when the S&P was about a,000 points lower than we are now. The market was pricing in six rate cuts in 2025. Here we are now a,000 points higher.We're talking about two maybe three. So I would say all of that good news in terms of just rate cuts are priced in. So the short answer is absolutely.The market wil ...

Monetary Policy - The Federal Reserve (FED) data does not support a rate cut [1] Economic Outlook - Cleveland Fed President Hammack indicates no justification for lowering interest rates based on current economic data [1]

Federal Reserve Policy - The market sell-off coincides with rising risk of no rate cut [1] - Attention is focused on the labor market as a key factor influencing the Fed's decisions, despite earlier FOMC minutes emphasizing inflation [2][3][5] - A 50 basis points rate cut is unlikely, with the probability of a 25 basis points cut decreasing to 77% from nearly 100% [4] - The Fed previously cut rates aggressively based on perceived labor market weakness [6] Labor Market - A weak July labor market report could trigger the Fed to act, even without inflation reaching the target [3] - The Fed's dual mandate focuses on maintaining stable prices and full employment [7] Tariffs and Consumer Spending - Retailers report mixed impacts from tariffs, with some initially absorbing costs but later changing their approach [9][10] - The impact of tariffs is difficult to assess due to ongoing announcements, delays, and rate adjustments [10] - Inflation data and company reports show a bifurcated impact, with some companies benefiting from front-run ordering and inventory building [11]

&& now that tiny bump in positive price action has gone to the downside.Market is NOT liking the lack of certainty on a rate cut&& if anything is now shifting toward NO CUT at all for September. ...

Bostic says one Fed rate cut likely in 2025 but warns labor market trends bear watching https://t.co/QLVsAAfLxb ...

Former Fed President James Bullard calls for 1% rate cut this year, with potential further cuts in 2026 https://t.co/RyBUVw6XbO ...

Markets are awaiting Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks at Jackson Hole on Friday for signals on the prospect of a September rate cut https://t.co/kYGsaSWp63 ...

Federal Reserve & Monetary Policy - President Trump calls for the resignation of Fed Governor Lisa Cook amidst mortgage fraud allegations [1][2] - The potential firing of Lisa Cook is seen as part of Trump's broader effort to influence the Fed and push for lower interest rates [4][10] - The market is currently pricing in three rate cuts by the end of the year, but concerns about inflation persist [14] - The Fed faces a difficult situation with conflicting signals from employment and inflation data [16] - The CME Group's Fed watch tool indicates around 80% probability of a September rate cut [12] Allegations Against Lisa Cook - Lisa Cook is accused of listing two different residences as her primary residence on mortgage applications [3][6] - The head of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) has referred the allegations to the Justice Department [2][3] - It is noted that there may be circumstances where listing two primary residences is permissible, such as co-signing for a dependent [3][7] Market Expectations & Fed's Stance - The market anticipates Fed Chair Jerome Powell to slightly open the door to a rate cut in September [13] - Recent weak jobs numbers and downward revisions to hiring in May and June could tilt the scales towards a rate cut [14] - The minutes from the recent FOMC meeting revealed that most Fed members remain focused on inflation [11][13] - Only two out of twelve Fed members indicated that the risks of lower employment outweigh those of inflation [12]