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Higher NII & Loan Growth to Aid MTB's Q4 Earnings, High Costs to Hurt
ZACKS· 2026-01-13 19:10
Core Viewpoint - M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) is expected to report year-over-year increases in quarterly revenues and earnings for Q4 and full-year 2025 results on January 16, 2026 [1][10] Financial Performance Expectations - The company anticipates average loan and lease balances to be between $137 billion and $138 billion in Q4 2025, up from $136.5 billion in Q3 2025 [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for average interest-earning assets is $192.3 billion, indicating a nearly 1% increase from the previous quarter [4] - Net interest income (NII) is expected to be approximately $1.8 billion in Q4 2025, reflecting a 2.2% increase from the prior quarter [6] - The consensus estimate for total revenues is pegged at $2.46 billion, implying a rise of 3.3% from the year-ago level [15] Income Sources - Fee income from service charges on deposit accounts is expected to rise, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate at $148.1 million, indicating a 5.1% increase from the prior quarter [7] - Mortgage banking revenues are estimated at $149.8 million, reflecting a 1.9% rise from the previous quarter, supported by lower mortgage rates [9] - Non-interest income is projected to be between $670 million and $690 million, down from $752 million in Q3 2025, with a consensus estimate of $679.2 million indicating a 9.7% decline [11] Expense and Asset Quality Outlook - GAAP expenses are expected to be in the range of $1.35 billion to $1.37 billion in Q4 2025, compared to $1.36 billion in the prior quarter [12] - The net charge-off (NCO) rate is projected to be between 40 and 50 basis points, slightly lower than the 42 basis points reported in Q3 2025 [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for non-performing assets (NPAs) is $1.51 billion, indicating a sequential decline of 2.3% [13] 2025 Projections - For 2025, M&T Bank expects NII (on a tax-equivalent basis) to be in the range of $7.05 billion to $7.15 billion, with a net interest margin projected in the mid to high 3.60% range [16] - Non-interest income is anticipated to be between $2.5 billion and $2.6 billion, while expenses are expected to be in the range of $5.4 billion to $5.5 billion [16] - Average loan and lease balances are projected to be between $135 billion and $137 billion, with average total deposit balances expected at $162 billion to $164 billion [17]
Earnings Estimates Moving Higher for First Quantum Minerals (FQVLF): Time to Buy?
ZACKS· 2026-01-13 18:20
First Quantum Minerals (FQVLF) could be a solid addition to your portfolio given a notable revision in the company's earnings estimates. While the stock has been gaining lately, the trend might continue since its earnings outlook is still improving.Analysts' growing optimism on the earnings prospects of this metal and minerals mining company is driving estimates higher, which should get reflected in its stock price. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate ...
Why Bank of America (BAC) Could Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2026-01-13 18:11
Core Insights - Bank of America (BAC) has a strong history of beating earnings estimates and is well-positioned for continued success in its upcoming quarterly report [1][6] Earnings Performance - The company has consistently surpassed earnings estimates, achieving an average beat of 8.13% over the last two quarters [2] - In the most recent quarter, Bank of America reported earnings of $1.06 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.94 per share by 12.77% [3] - In the previous quarter, the company posted earnings of $0.89 per share against an expected $0.86, resulting in a surprise of 3.49% [3] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent changes in earnings estimates for Bank of America have been favorable, with a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating potential for another earnings beat [6][9] - The current Earnings ESP for Bank of America is +0.49%, reflecting increased analyst optimism regarding its near-term earnings potential [9] - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [7] Earnings ESP Explanation - The Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate being more reflective of recent analyst revisions [8] - A negative Earnings ESP can reduce predictive power but does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss [10]
Will Fair Isaac (FICO) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2026-01-13 18:11
Core Insights - Fair Isaac (FICO) is positioned to continue its earnings-beat streak, having surpassed earnings estimates by an average of 8.16% in the last two quarters [1][2] Earnings Performance - For the most recent quarter, Fair Isaac reported earnings of $7.74 per share, exceeding the expected $7.34 per share by 5.45% [2] - In the previous quarter, the company reported $8.57 per share against an estimate of $7.73 per share, resulting in a surprise of 10.87% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for Fair Isaac, with a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [5][8] - The current Earnings ESP for Fair Isaac is +0.64%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about its near-term earnings potential [8] Zacks Rank and Success Rate - Fair Isaac holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), which, when combined with a positive Earnings ESP, indicates a high probability of another earnings beat [8] - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% success rate in beating consensus estimates [6]
Why S&P Global (SPGI) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2026-01-13 18:11
Core Viewpoint - S&P Global (SPGI) has consistently beaten earnings estimates and is well-positioned for future earnings surprises, particularly with its upcoming quarterly report expected on February 10, 2026 [1][8]. Earnings Performance - In the most recent quarter, S&P Global reported earnings of $4.73 per share, exceeding the expected $4.4 per share, resulting in a surprise of 7.50% [2]. - For the previous quarter, the company reported $4.43 per share against an expectation of $4.25 per share, leading to a surprise of 4.24% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Estimates for S&P Global have been trending higher, influenced by its history of earnings surprises [5]. - The company currently has a positive Earnings ESP of +1.70%, indicating increased analyst optimism regarding its near-term earnings potential [8]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) suggests a strong likelihood of another earnings beat [8]. Statistical Insights - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7].
Will Ameren (AEE) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2026-01-13 18:11
Core Insights - Ameren (AEE) is positioned to continue its earnings-beat streak, having surpassed earnings estimates in the last two quarters by an average of 2.17% [1][5] Earnings Performance - For the most recent quarter, Ameren reported earnings of $2.17 per share, exceeding the expected $2.1 per share by a surprise of 3.33% [2] - In the previous quarter, the company reported $1.01 per share against an estimate of $1 per share, resulting in a surprise of 1.00% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for Ameren, with a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong potential for an earnings beat [5][8] - The current Earnings ESP for Ameren is +0.22%, suggesting increased analyst optimism regarding its near-term earnings potential [8] Zacks Rank and Success Rate - Ameren holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), which, when combined with a positive Earnings ESP, indicates a high likelihood of another earnings beat [8] - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have historically produced a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time [6]
Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CMWAY) Upgraded to Buy: Here's Why
ZACKS· 2026-01-13 18:00
Core Viewpoint - Commonwealth Bank of Australia has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) due to an upward trend in earnings estimates, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock price [1][4]. Earnings Estimates and Ratings - The Zacks rating system is based on changes in a company's earnings picture, tracking EPS estimates from sell-side analysts through a consensus measure [2]. - The recent upgrade reflects an improvement in the company's underlying business, which is expected to lead to increased buying pressure and a rise in stock price [6]. Impact of Earnings Estimates on Stock Prices - Changes in future earnings potential, as shown by earnings estimate revisions, are strongly correlated with near-term stock price movements, influenced by institutional investors [5]. - For Commonwealth Bank of Australia, rising earnings estimates indicate a positive business trend that should drive the stock higher [6]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with a strong track record of performance, particularly for Zacks Rank 1 stocks, which have generated an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [8]. - The upgrade to Zacks Rank 2 places Commonwealth Bank of Australia in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, suggesting potential for market-beating returns in the near term [11]. Earnings Estimate Revisions - Analysts expect Commonwealth Bank of Australia to earn $4.07 per share for the fiscal year ending June 2026, with no year-over-year change, but the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased by 0.7% over the past three months [9].
DT Midstream (DTM) Upgraded to Buy: Here's Why
ZACKS· 2026-01-13 18:00
Core Viewpoint - DT Midstream (DTM) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a positive outlook on its earnings estimates, which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Impact - The Zacks rating system is based on changes in earnings estimates, which are strongly correlated with near-term stock price movements [4][6]. - An increase in earnings estimates typically leads to higher fair value calculations by institutional investors, resulting in buying or selling pressure that affects stock prices [4]. Company Performance and Outlook - For DT Midstream, the recent upgrade reflects an improvement in the company's underlying business, which is expected to drive the stock price higher [5]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DT Midstream indicates an expected earnings per share of $4.36 for the fiscal year ending December 2025, with a 1.7% increase in estimates over the past three months [8]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with a strong historical performance, particularly for Zacks Rank 1 stocks, which have generated an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7]. - DT Midstream's upgrade to Zacks Rank 2 places it in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, suggesting a strong potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10].
ODD vs. BL: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
ZACKS· 2026-01-13 17:41
Core Viewpoint - Investors are evaluating Oddity Tech (ODD) and BlackLine (BL) to determine which stock offers better value opportunities in the Internet - Software sector [1] Group 1: Zacks Rank and Earnings Estimates - Oddity Tech has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive earnings outlook, while BlackLine has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] - The Zacks Rank emphasizes companies with positive earnings estimate revisions, suggesting that ODD's earnings outlook is improving more significantly than BL's [3] Group 2: Value Metrics - ODD has a forward P/E ratio of 14.54, compared to BL's forward P/E of 24.52, indicating that ODD may be undervalued relative to BL [5] - The PEG ratio for ODD is 1.22, while BL's PEG ratio is significantly higher at 4.98, suggesting ODD has better growth potential relative to its price [5] - ODD's P/B ratio is 5.15, while BL's P/B ratio is 10.84, further indicating that ODD is more attractively valued [6] Group 3: Overall Value Grades - ODD has received a Value grade of B, while BL has a Value grade of D, reinforcing the view that ODD is the more favorable investment option for value investors [6]
AKZOY vs. AIQUY: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
ZACKS· 2026-01-13 17:41
Core Viewpoint - Investors are evaluating Akzo Nobel NV (AKZOY) and Air Liquide (AIQUY) to determine which stock is more attractive for value investing [1] Group 1: Zacks Rank and Earnings Outlook - Akzo Nobel NV has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a positive earnings outlook, while Air Liquide has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] - The Zacks Rank system focuses on companies with positive earnings estimate revisions, suggesting that AKZOY has an improving earnings outlook [3] Group 2: Valuation Metrics - AKZOY has a forward P/E ratio of 13.34, significantly lower than AIQUY's forward P/E of 23.81 [5] - The PEG ratio for AKZOY is 0.94, while AIQUY's PEG ratio is 2.45, indicating that AKZOY is expected to grow earnings at a more favorable rate relative to its price [5] - AKZOY's P/B ratio is 2.45 compared to AIQUY's P/B of 3.74, further supporting AKZOY's valuation advantage [6] Group 3: Value Grades - Based on the valuation metrics, AKZOY has earned a Value grade of A, while AIQUY has a Value grade of C, highlighting AKZOY's superior value proposition [6] - Overall, AKZOY is considered the better value option due to its solid earnings outlook and favorable valuation figures [7]