Core Insights - The article introduces a new contributing analyst, Cairnstone Compass, to Seeking Alpha, emphasizing the opportunity for others to share investment ideas and gain exposure [1] Group 1: Analyst Background - The analyst is based in the UK and has over a decade of experience in finance, focusing on equity research with a valuation-driven approach [2] - Specialization includes mid-cap stocks across various sectors such as consumer staples, discretionary, industrials, and healthcare [2] - The research methodology combines bottom-up fundamental analysis with technical indicators, aiming to identify undervalued companies [2] Group 2: Investment Philosophy - The investment philosophy emphasizes discipline and patience, favoring companies with strong fundamentals and a durable competitive advantage [2] - The analyst incorporates financial metrics, peer benchmarking, analyst commentary, technical signals, and discounted cash flow modeling in the research [2] - The goal is to help readers make informed decisions and provide a framework for independent company analysis [2]

Core Insights - Jim Wyckoff has over 25 years of experience in stock, financial, and commodity markets, including roles as a financial journalist and market analyst [1][2] - He has covered all futures markets traded in the U.S. and has worked with various financial news and advisory services [1][2] Company and Industry Summary - Jim Wyckoff operates an analytical, educational, and trading advisory service called "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" [2] - He has held positions as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as a senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com [2] - Wyckoff is also a consultant for the "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service and was the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com [2] - He provides daily market roundups and technical analysis on Kitco.com [3]

Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party content intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - Users are advised to consider their financial situation and needs before relying on the information provided [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - It encourages users to perform their own research and understand the risks involved with financial instruments before making investment decisions [1].

Core Viewpoint - Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) is experiencing a quiet trading day, yet the stock remains in an uptrend, potentially continuing this trend due to the formation of a classic ascending triangle pattern on the chart, which typically has bullish implications [1][5][7]. Technical Analysis - Many technical analysts often overlook the fundamental principles behind price action and trading dynamics, leading to a questionable reputation for technical analysis [2]. - The transition of market leadership from bulls to bears or vice versa can be reflected in the chart through reversal patterns, such as head and shoulders or double tops and bottoms [3]. Chart Patterns - Continuation patterns, like flags and triangle patterns, indicate that the current trend may persist, as seen in the ascending triangle pattern formed by Occidental [5]. - The resistance line in the ascending triangle is horizontal, indicating that sellers are complacent and willing to wait for buyers, while the ascending support line shows that buyers are becoming more aggressive [6]. Market Dynamics - The ascending triangle pattern is considered bullish as it reflects a market with aggressive buyers and patient sellers, potentially setting the stage for a price increase in Occidental [7].

Core Viewpoint - AppLovin (APP) is experiencing significant growth and positive investor sentiment, with a market capitalization of $197 billion and a strong technical buy signal from Barchart. Group 1: Stock Performance - AppLovin shares have increased by 415% over the past year, with a notable gain of 47.34% since the Trend Seeker buy signal on August 4 [2][6]. - The stock reached an all-time high of $587.88 in intraday trading on September 12 [4]. - In the last month, AppLovin made 13 new highs and gained 32.34% [7]. Group 2: Technical Indicators - AppLovin maintains a 100% "Buy" technical opinion from Barchart and has a Weighted Alpha of +193.52 [6][7]. - The stock is trading above its 20-, 50-, and 100-day moving averages, with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 80.82% [7]. - A technical support level is identified around $573.45 [7]. Group 3: Financial Projections - Revenue for AppLovin is expected to grow by 17.76% this year and by an additional 27.77% next year [8]. - Earnings are projected to increase by 87.98% this year and by 25.70% next year [8]. - The trailing price-earnings ratio for AppLovin is 82.68x [7].

Core Insights - The Average True Range (ATR) is a key indicator for measuring market volatility, indicating potential breakout or consolidation periods [1][9]. - ATR does not predict market direction but is essential for traders to assess market conditions [9]. ATR Application - ATR can be found on Barchart tools by navigating to the "Technical Analysis" menu from any stock, ETF, or futures page [3]. - Multiple ATR periods are available, including 9-day, 14-day, 20-day, and 50-day, allowing traders to choose based on their trading strategy [4][7]. - Day traders typically use shorter ATRs (9-day), while swing traders may prefer 14- or 20-day ATRs, and long-term investors often focus on 50- or 100-day ATRs [7]. Market Signals - A decreasing ATR, as seen in the S&P 500 example, suggests that volatility is leaving the market, which can precede a breakout [8]. - Rising ATR indicates a high volatility environment, while a contracting ATR signals a quieter market [10]. Tools and Features - Barchart provides interactive charts where ATR can be added as an indicator, allowing for customization and overlay with other indicators [6][10]. - Combining ATR with the Earnings Calendar can help anticipate spikes in volatility [10].

Economic Overview - The economic calendar for September 15, 2025, is light, with the Empire Manufacturing data released at 8:30 AM ET, typically having a modest impact on the market [1] - The Treasury's 3-Month and 6-Month Bill Auction at 11:30 AM ET may cause minor yield adjustments but is not expected to have a major influence [1] Market Volatility - The week is anticipated to be volatile due to the FOMC rate decision, contract roll week, and triple witching on Friday, which could lead to significant market swings [2] - Traders are expected to position themselves for these events, potentially resulting in sharp market movements driven by anticipation or breaking news [2] SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) - SPY is currently at 658.00, a strong support level, with a target to rise to 658.50, a resistance level that has shown resilience [3] - If SPY surpasses 658.50, it may reach 659.29, with a top target of 660.99 [3] - If selling pressure emerges, bears could challenge 657.44, with further declines potentially reaching 654.41 and 652.86 [4] Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (QQQ) - QQQ is positioned at 587.00, a critical pivot point, with bulls targeting 587.50 as a firm intraday support [5] - If the upward trend continues, the next resistance level is 588.91, with a potential rise to 590.29 and a top target of 591.59 [5] - Should 587.00 falter, bears may target 586.15, with further declines possible down to 581.86 [6] Apple Inc. (AAPL) - AAPL is at 236.00, a resilient support level, with bulls aiming for 236.50 as the next resistance [7] - If momentum builds, AAPL could reach 237.13, with a top target of 238.76 [7] - If 236.00 weakens, bears may target 235.72, with further declines potentially reaching 231.36 [8] Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) - MSFT is grounded at 505.00, a notable support level, with bulls looking to advance to 505.50 [9] - If it climbs above 505.50, the stock could reach 506.57, with a daily peak target of 508.01 [9] - Should 505.00 slip, bears might test 504.10, with further pressure potentially dropping it to 498.89 [10] NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) - NVDA is situated at 175.00, a key level attracting trader interest, with bulls targeting 175.50 [11] - If the upward trend strengthens, NVDA could rise to 176.13, with a highest mark of 177.91 [11] - If 175.00 cannot hold, bears may aim for 174.92, with further declines potentially reaching 170.49 [12] Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) - GOOGL is fixed at 243.00, a support level with historical significance, with bulls planning to rise to 243.50 [13] - If it breaks through, the next target is 244.29, with strong buying potentially stretching to 245.42 [13] - If 243.00 softens, bears may hit 242.39, with further declines potentially reaching 239.55 [13] Meta Platforms Inc (META) - META is braced at 757.00, a solid base, with bulls targeting 757.59 as the next resistance [14] - If it holds, the next aim is 758.13, with robust buying potentially lingering near 759.59 [14] - If 757.00 wavers, bears might test 753.59, with further declines potentially reaching 749.13 [14] Tesla Inc. (TSLA) - TSLA is set at 426.00, a significant level for bullish moves, with bulls eager to push toward 426.50 [15] - If it breaks through 426.50, buyers might nudge it to 427.29, with a top target of 427.15 [15] - If 426.00 weakens, bears could test 424.44, with further declines potentially reaching 418.86 [16]

EnglishItalianoEspañolPortuguêsDeutschالعربيةFrançaisImportant DisclaimersThe content provided on the website includes general news and publications, our personal analysis and opinions, and contents provided by third parties, which are intended for educational and research purposes only. It does not constitute, and should not be read as, any recommendation or advice to take any action whatsoever, including to make any investment or buy any product. When making any financial decision, you should perform your ...

Investment Strategy - The company employs a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares [1] - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, with a typical investment timeframe of 3-24 months [1] - The company targets stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Screening and Analysis - Fundamental analysis is utilized to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchased shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - Technical analysis is employed to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1]

Investment Strategy - The company employs a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares [1] - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, with a typical investment timeframe of 3-24 months [1] - The company targets stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Screening and Analysis - Fundamental analysis is utilized to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchased shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - Technical analysis is employed to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1]