Core Viewpoint - China has entered the critical flood prevention period known as "July down, August up," characterized by concentrated rainfall and high river water levels, with significant flood risks anticipated this year [1][6]. Group 1: Rainfall Patterns - The current flood season is marked by increased rainfall in northern regions, particularly in North China, Northwest, and Northeast, while southern regions, especially along the Yangtze River, are expected to experience less rainfall [3][8]. - The expected rainfall distribution indicates that southern areas, particularly South China and Southwest, will see more precipitation, while the Yangtze River basin, including provinces like Chongqing, Hunan, Hubei, Jiangxi, and Anhui, may face drought conditions due to high temperatures and low rainfall [3][8]. Group 2: Flood Prevention Timeline - The "July down, August up" period is crucial for flood prevention, with the main flood season in North China and Northeast occurring from mid-July to mid-August, highlighting the need for heightened awareness and preparedness [6][8]. - This period is influenced by the convergence of warm, moist air from the summer monsoon and cold air from the north, leading to intense and prolonged rainfall events, which can account for 60% to 70% of the annual rainfall in northern regions [8]. Group 3: Emergency Response Mechanism - China has established a comprehensive flood defense emergency response mechanism, categorized into four levels (IV, III, II, I) based on the severity and nature of the flood threat [10][12]. - Level IV response is activated for minor flood threats, while Level I is reserved for extreme situations such as significant river breaches or major dam failures, ensuring a structured approach to flood management [12][14].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the increased rainfall and potential flood risks in China as the critical flood prevention period "July down, August up" approaches, highlighting the need for preparedness in various regions [1][3][5]. Group 1: Rainfall Trends - Most regions in China are experiencing above-average rainfall, with the main rain belt shifting northward to the North China Plain, particularly affecting Henan and Shandong provinces [3][5]. - The sub-tropical high pressure is expected to strengthen, leading to an early onset of the rainy season in northern regions, with significant rainfall predicted from Guangdong to Shandong [1][5]. Group 2: Extreme Weather Events - In Nanyang, Henan, a short-duration extreme rainfall event resulted in over 200 millimeters of rain within just four hours, raising concerns about secondary disasters [3]. - The rainfall is characterized by its suddenness and localized intensity, making it difficult to predict exact locations of heavy downpours [5]. Group 3: Areas of Concern - Regions such as Yunnan, Sichuan, Gansu, Shaanxi, Shanxi, Hebei, Tianjin, Beijing, Liaoning, Jilin, and Heilongjiang are expected to experience increased rainfall over the next ten days, necessitating flood prevention measures [7]. - Urban areas need to prepare for potential flooding, while mountainous regions should be vigilant against flash floods and geological disasters [7].