Alt season
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Ethereum: Dubious Speculation
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-10-24 04:04
Market Analysis & Predictions - The analysis suggests Ethereum (ETH) will likely top out within the next 3 months, assuming the top isn't already in [15] - The report anticipates a potential bounce for ETH against Bitcoin (BTC) in November, but a significant turnaround might not occur until December [39] - The analysis indicates that Bitcoin dominance is expected to increase in the short term, potentially impacting Ethereum's performance [36][38] - The report suggests that the final move for Ethereum against Bitcoin may not start until December, similar to the 2017 cycle [38] - The base case remains that Ethereum will bounce around the bull market support band and potentially reach new all-time highs [41][48] ETH/BTC Pair Analysis - The analysis notes that ETH/BTC found a local top on the week of August 18th, coinciding with ETHUSD sweeping the prior all-time high [17] - Historically, ETH tends to be red against Bitcoin in September and October, with an average drop of about 9-10% [19] - There's a possibility of ETH/BTC dropping below the bull market support band, potentially down to around 0031, before a potential rally to 0053 [22] - The report outlines a potential three-move pattern for both ETH/BTC and ETH/USD pairs to end the market cycle [34][35] Technical Indicators & Comparisons - Ethereum's 20-week SMA is around 3795, and the 21-week EMA is around 3793, approximating to 3800 [9] - The analysis draws parallels between Ethereum's movements and Tesla's (TSLA) past performance, noting similar lows and rallies [25][27] - The report suggests that if Ethereum follows the Tesla fractal, a potential low around 2000 might occur in April 2026 [31]
X @s4mmy
s4mmy· 2025-10-06 17:43
Market Trend - Bitcoin is back into price discovery, reaching a new all-time high [1] - Expectation for Bitcoin to reach $126k with haste [1] - Anticipation for alt season [1] Investment Opportunities - Consideration of which bags (cryptocurrencies) to pack for alt season [1] Future Expectation - Expectation for XPL to follow Bitcoin's price discovery [1] - Mention of "Trillions," suggesting significant market capitalization or potential investment value [1]
X @s4mmy
s4mmy· 2025-10-05 07:34
“We are going to be very wealthy men…we are only in the beginning storms of these significant [bitcoin] rallies from 10 to 20 dollars”(June 5, 2011) https://t.co/S2C7h1dA67s4mmy (@S4mmyEth):Bitcoin to $126k with haste. Happy new all time high!What bags have you packed for alt season? https://t.co/nOxjcQ16uR ...
BOOM! Bullish Structure CONFIRMED | What's Next For XRP & Crypto!?
NCashOfficial - Daily Crypto & Finance News· 2025-10-02 04:00
24 hours after we got the news that the US government was shutting down. The entire market is now almost green. There's only a select few that are red. And on this list, there's actually only three that are red currently.It's a green C across the board with a lot of old coins like H bar up four plus% almost 5%. XRP not up a crazy amount today. I know that a lot of people were expecting a little bit more out of XRP.It's only up about 4.3%. Um, XLM is up about almost 10% today. Now, you might be wondering, al ...
Bitcoin Dominance: The Final Rotation is About To Begin
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-09-29 23:55
Market Trend Analysis - Bitcoin dominance is currently around 58% [1] - The final rotation back into Bitcoin for this market cycle is likely about to start, with a potential low of around 57.17% [3] - Historically, October is the best month for Bitcoin dominance [4][8] - A surge in Bitcoin dominance is expected in Q4 before altcoins outperform [7] Dominance Prediction - Bitcoin dominance could potentially rally by 10% from current levels, aligning with one standard deviation of typical October performance [9] - Bitcoin dominance is expected to rise, potentially reaching back near previous highs [10] - Bitcoin dominance should increase to above 60% [16][26] Investment Strategy - It would be prudent to assume that liquidity will flow back to Bitcoin in late September and throughout October [19] - Remaining bullish on Bitcoin dominance is advised for at least the next five weeks [19] - Liquidity should flow back to Bitcoin, with altcoins likely to lag behind [16][23][25]
Let's Talk About Altcoins
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-08-14 05:14
Market Analysis and Altcoin Valuation - The crypto industry should prioritize Bitcoin valuation over USD valuation for altcoins, as USD's purchasing power asymptotically approaches zero over time [2][3][4] - The industry primarily values altcoins against Bitcoin or Ethereum, deeming other valuations less relevant for assessing risk and potential uptrends [5] - Altcoins have decreased approximately 61% from their 2021 highs against Bitcoin, with a maximum decrease of about 69% [6] - The industry anticipates altcoins to rally against Bitcoin through late August [9][10] - Ethereum's valuation against Bitcoin has likely bottomed out for this market cycle [11] Bitcoin Dominance and Trend Reversals - Bitcoin dominance often encounters resistance at Fibonacci retracement levels [8] - Historically, Bitcoin dominance tends to reverse its course in September [25][27][28][29][30][44] - Bitcoin dominance typically drops whenever Bitcoin breaks out of a long consolidation period [35][36][37] Ethereum's Influence and Potential "Fake Alt Season" - Altcoins' upward movement against Bitcoin is primarily driven by Ethereum's performance against Bitcoin [17][18][32] - Altcoins have been consistently underperforming Ethereum since April [19][21][70] - The industry foresees a potential "fake alt season" following Ethereum reaching new all-time highs, followed by a correction in September [54][62] Future Outlook and Strategy - A Bitcoin correction is expected in September, potentially leading to increased Bitcoin dominance [40][65] - Altcoins are expected to rally against Bitcoin for the remainder of August, but this trend may reverse in September [22][66][71][74] - The industry suggests a rotation back to Bitcoin is likely to begin in approximately two weeks [67]
X @Easy
Easy· 2025-08-11 12:11
Market Trends - Crypto market experienced wild movement over the weekend [1] - Speculation on whether the top of the market has been reached [1] - Discussion about the potential for an altcoin season [1] - Resurgence of meme coins in the crypto space [1] Topics of Discussion - Analysis of recent crypto market events [1] - Exploration of altcoin season possibilities [1] - Examination of the return of meme coins [1]