Market Analysis & Predictions - Ethereum is expected to reach new all-time highs within a few months [4][5] - A correction after sweeping the all-time high was always the most likely outcome [8] - Ethereum often peaks after Bitcoin in market cycles [10] - Altcoins are expected to rally against Ethereum until Ethereum tags the 21-week EMA, potentially in late September or early October [17][18][19] - Ethereum's rally to $5,000-$7,000 is contingent on checking in with the 21-week EMA [31] - ETH/Bitcoin valuation is likely to go to 005%, potentially after tagging its 21-week EMA against Bitcoin [34] Risk Management & Indicators - Two weekly closes below the 50-week SMA for Bitcoin (currently around $98,000) would signal the cycle's end [14][15] - October tends to be a strong month for Bitcoin dominance, with ETH/Bitcoin pair typically decreasing by 10% on average [36] - Ethereum is currently in a consolidation phase, similar to patterns observed in 2017 and 2021 [38][39] Investment Strategy - Buying Ethereum when it dips and selling gradually as it rises is considered a successful strategy [2][3] - The most likely outcome is that Ethereum will continue to bide its time, lulling the altcoin market into a false sense of security [30] - Waiting for Ethereum to tag its bull market support band is a likely indicator for when altcoins will start bleeding to Ethereum again [27]

Hey everyone and thanks for jumping back into the cryptoverse. Today we're going to talk about Bitcoin post FOMC. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and also check out the sale on into the cryptoverse premium at into the cryptoverse.com. Let's go ahead and jump in. So, Bitcoin is still doing what it needs to do, right.It's still holding above the bull market support band. Remember that's the big test for September is to just hold that 20we SMA. ...

Market Analysis & Predictions - Bitcoin experienced a rejection around $124,000 after reaching new all-time highs [2] - The analysis suggests a potential drop to the 20-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) in September, a pattern observed in previous post-halving years [4][9] - A comparison to 2020 indicates a similar pattern where Bitcoin didn't immediately tag the 20-week SMA, suggesting a possible sideways movement before a September drop [6][7][8] - A mid-August wick high in 2020 was around $12,479, which is approximately 10% of the recent high of $124,000 to $125,000, highlighting a potential similarity in market behavior [10] - The market may experience a couple more downward wicks, followed by a potential upward wick towards the $120,000s before the anticipated September drop [13] Ethereum's Role & Altcoin Dynamics - Ethereum is expected to rally to new all-time highs, potentially drawing liquidity from the altcoin market [14] - Altcoins are currently underperforming against Ethereum, indicating a shift in liquidity [14] - Following Ethereum's potential all-time high, a market correction is anticipated, leading to a drop to the 20-week moving average [17][18] - The market is expected to rotate away from Ethereum and altcoins back to Bitcoin in September [19] - Altseason is unlikely to occur before Ethereum makes durable all-time highs, and the first attempt may face rejection [20] Bitcoin Dominance - Bitcoin dominance is expected to increase when Bitcoin drops to the 20-week moving average [18] - Ethereum's potential new all-time high is currently preventing Bitcoin dominance from rising significantly [19]

Market Valuation & Trends - The fair value of the cryptocurrency asset class is estimated to be approximately $4.137 trillion, while the actual value is around $3.782 trillion [2] - This represents an undervaluation of approximately 8.58% [3] - The asset class is expected to trend towards a market cap of $10 trillion, but pullbacks and even a bear market are possible before 2026 [19][20] Altcoin Dynamics & Bitcoin Dominance - To see a more durable move to being overvalued, the altcoin market has to participate [5][12][18] - The industry is potentially in a blue chip dominance phase, where Bitcoin and Ethereum are drawing liquidity from other altcoins [12][13][18] - Bitcoin dominance could see another surge potentially starting in late August, September, or October [13] - It is possible for both Bitcoin dominance and ETH/Bitcoin to increase simultaneously, as altcoins can bleed to both Bitcoin and ETH [14][15][16][17] Historical Context & Risk Assessment - Overvaluations can lead to bear markets, as seen in 2022, 2018, and 2014 [8][9] - Extensions from the fair value in March 2024 were about the same as in December 2024, with undervaluation drops of around 30-35% [10][11]

Market Analysis - The cryptocurrency market is currently more institutionally driven compared to the retail-driven cycles of 2017 and 2021 [4][25] - Social risk, an indicator of retail interest, remains relatively low at 0.103, suggesting limited retail participation [5] - YouTube views for top crypto channels are around 120 万 (1.2 million) on a 7-day moving average, lower than previous market tops [11] - The advanced decline index for the top 100 cryptocurrencies has been declining, indicating that larger cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum are driving market cap increases [17][18][19] Bitcoin and Altcoins - Bitcoin has been dominating gains in this cycle due to low retail interest, causing altcoins to lag [8] - While Ethereum's valuation against Bitcoin has improved, it hasn't significantly increased retail interest [3][8] - In the current market, only a few coins are performing well, with rotation occurring between different sectors of the asset class [16][17] Future Outlook - The cryptocurrency market will monitor social risk to determine if it establishes higher lows, potentially signaling increased retail participation [23][24] - Whether retail investors will return remains uncertain, with the end of the year being a potential timeframe for a clearer indication [26]

Hey everyone and thanks for tuning back into the cryptoverse. Today we're going to talk about Bitcoin and we're going to be discussing the social risk. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and also check out the sale on into the cryptoverse premium at intothecryptoverse.com. Let's go ahead and jump in. So, Bitcoin right now is at $107,000. What's really interesting about this cycle that, you know, feels certainly different than cycles in the past ...

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