Tonight, Russian President Vladimir Putin accusing Europe of threatening Russia and stability, saying Russia's response to threats, to put it mildly, will be very convincing, and warning President Trump as the US considers selling Tomahawk missiles able to strike Moscow to NATO, which is expected to then give them to Ukraine, >> saying we will shoot them down, but calling it a brand new stage of escalation with the US. All while Ukraine's president Zalinski meeting European leaders pushing for long range ca ...

Airspace Violations and NATO Response - Russian aircraft increasingly violate NATO airspace, raising concerns about escalation [1][2][3] - NATO radar and warplanes engaged 19 Russian drones that flew into Poland [2] - Other member states, including Finland, Lithuania, and Latvia also reported recent airspace violations [3] - Some defense experts say Russia is testing the bloc's resolve [4] - Russia has denied deliberate airspace incursions [6] Strategic Implications and Risks - Russia's actions may aim to weaken NATO and force Europe to reconsider its support for Ukraine [4][5] - Shooting down Russian jets could dramatically escalate tensions, leading to a massive diplomatic crisis [7] - Shooting down drones poses challenges, as they could hit something on the ground [8] - Operation to take down cheap Russian drones would have cost around $8 million [9] - A muted NATO response poses a greater threat, potentially encouraging further aggression from Russia [11][12] Potential Solutions and Challenges - Some suggest a "drone wall" to defend Europe, but drones can be launched from within targeted countries [10] - The issue may not be a lack of capability, but a lack of political will to respond with sufficient force [11] - A more robust Allied response is needed to deter further escalation by Russia [12]

Free Speech & Political Commentary - The report highlights a shift where conservatives are now mirroring progressive tactics of "cancel culture," but with potentially more impactful consequences due to their official positions [1] - The analysis points out the hypocrisy of conservatives, who previously criticized cancel culture, now engaging in similar behavior [1] - The report suggests that the escalation of these actions is concerning, as government officials are now involved, wielding power through subpoenas and regulatory actions [1] - The report mentions instances of government officials threatening businesses and media outlets, raising concerns about free speech [1][2][3][4] Legal & Regulatory Implications - The report references a situation where the FCC is perceived to be threatening action against a network and its affiliates, potentially impacting their business interests [2][3][4] - The report alludes to legal precedents, such as cases involving businesses refusing service based on personal beliefs, and questions the consistency of current actions with established Supreme Court rulings [5][6]

Geopolitical Risk - Escalation has already come from Moscow, indicating a heightened geopolitical risk [1] - Western officials' attempts to avoid "escalation" may be insufficient to address current threats [1] - European citizens may fear their borders are not safe, reflecting increased security concerns [1] NATO Strategy - NATO signaling timidity could increase the risk of sleepwalking into a larger war [1]

Geopolitical Risk & Security Concerns - A number of Russian drones crossed into Polish airspace, triggering Polish and NATO air defenses [1] - Poland views the incident as an act of aggression and a major provocation [2] - Poland estimates around 19 drones entered its airspace, while Ukraine claims the number is closer to two dozen [2] - The German defense minister believes the drone incursion was intentional, not accidental [3] - NATO Secretary General called the incident "absolutely reckless" [3] - The US ambassador to NATO affirmed the commitment to defend every inch of NATO territory [4] NATO Response & International Relations - Poland has called for an emergency meeting with NATO members, invoking Article 4 for consultations [4] - The incident is seen as a major test of the US commitment to its NATO allies [5] - Russia has neither confirmed nor denied the drones were Russian, but stated it has no interest in escalating the situation with Poland [4]

What exactly happened over the Ukraine Poland border. How significant is this. So it's significant time because the unprecedented part of what the Polish are referring to there is that this is the first time that the sort of any NATO's ally has engaged directly with Russian material hardware, in this case shooting down actively over a Polish airspace.What appear to be drones are currently out there trying to recover them. Of course, there have been other instances of missiles either overshooting other thing ...

And Iran is the really dangerous flash point because as you know the Russians are now closely allied with the Iranians. The Chinese are moving in that direction as well. And if Israel gets involved in a war with Iran, we're going to come in in all likelihood.So this gets at the escalation problem. Now, to counter the Iranian escalation scenario, the fact is Iran does not want a war with the United States and the United States does not want a war with Iran. And it's the Israelis, especially Benjamin Netanyah ...

Geopolitical Analysis - The market perceives the missile attack as a potential de-escalation, despite its seemingly contradictory nature [1] - Iran provided advance notice of the strikes, allowing the US and other parties time to prepare [2] - Iran's response appears to be more symbolic, not necessarily indicating a desire for further escalation [3] - The Iranian media may be portraying the attack as a victory against the US, without acknowledging the missiles being intercepted [3] - Governments often feel compelled to respond to attacks to maintain public support [4] Historical Context - Similar Iranian actions have been observed previously, such as the missile launches against Israel in April and the response to Soleimani's killing [4] Future Outlook - It is too early to definitively determine if this marks the beginning of a rapid escalation; the situation requires ongoing monitoring [1][5]

Let's now bring in Fred Campy. He is the CEO of the Atlantic Council. He's a CNBC contributor and he's actually in the Heg Netherlands where the NATO summit is set to begin.Fred, we're going to kind of rip up the script on what we were planning to speak with you about. We don't know exactly what's happening. It's clear Iranian missiles have been fired toward or into Qatar.What is your take. Uh so I'm getting reports even as we're talking and it does seem to be confirmed uh that Iranian missiles have uh targ ...

Every time we're on the verge of victory, somebody in the military-industrial complex invents some escalation of something so that we can just go to war. The answer always seems to be let's go to war or let's support a war or let's enable a war. And the bull work to that has been the president.If we go to war, this totally screws everything up. You could see oil double double. What happens to the economy of the world of world GDP of everything of inflation if you have oil at 100 bucks a barrel 112 bucks a b ...