Geopolitical Risks - US bombers struck Iran's three main nuclear sites, escalating the conflict with Israel [1] - President Trump announced the obliteration of Iran's key nuclear enrichment facilities and threatened further attacks [1] - Iran's foreign minister warned of everlasting consequences following the US strike [2] - The US strike raises the possibility of a broader regional conflict, with potential impact on US assets [2] - Iran retaliated by firing more missiles towards Israel [3] Military and Security - The US has approximately 50,000 service members stationed across the region [2] - The US State Department began evacuating US citizens from Israel prior to the attack [3] Nuclear Safety and Regulation - Iran's nuclear regulatory agency reported no signs of radiation contamination at the targeted sites [1] - The IAEA nuclear watchdog reported no increase in off-site radiation levels [1]

US-Iran Relations - The US President is considering diplomatic channels regarding potential military involvement in the conflict, allowing approximately two weeks before a final decision [1] - The President's initial inclination is to avoid war, aligning with his promise to end "endless wars" [2] - A diplomatic deal is preferred, but the current terms are unacceptable to Iran, with sustained Israeli military pressure potentially influencing Iran's stance on uranium enrichment within the next two weeks [2] Timeline & Potential Motivations - The two-week timeline is flexible, allowing for a decision at any point [3] - A decision coinciding with the July 4th holiday could be used to showcase a successful US military intervention in Iran [4] - The "hazy timeline" might be a tactic to lower Iran's guard in preparation for a potential US military intervention [4]