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Near-term digestion of market gains is appreciated and hoped for, says CFRA's Sam Stovall
CNBC Television· 2025-09-26 17:43
Market Volatility & Seasonal Trends - October is historically the most volatile month, with 33% more volatility than the average of the other 11 months [2] - The market hasn't experienced a pullback of 3% or greater in the S&P 500 since April [4] Index Performance & Technical Analysis - Major indices, including the S&P 500, Russell 2000, S&P developed international, communication services, and tech, were more than one standard deviation above their 200-day moving averages [2] - Most of the mentioned indices, except the Russell 2000, were trading at an RSI above 70, suggesting a potential near-term digestion of gains [3] - The S&P 500 and Russell 2000 matched their all-time highs on the same day, and the S&P developed international index also set an all-time high [4] Small Cap Outlook - Small caps are expected to play catch-up, having set their first new all-time high in four years, while the S&P 500 set 89 new highs in the same period [7] - Small caps are trading at a 35% discount to their 20-year average relative PE on forward estimates [8] - Earnings growth for small caps is projected to be 20%+ in 2026, compared to 13% for the S&P 500 [7] Bull Market & Future Expectations - Historically, when there's an in-concert move to the upside, the market has seen two to three times the average performance over the next 90 days [5] - If the bull market passes its third anniversary on October 12th, the fourth year average gain is 13% with a greater frequency of continuation [9] - The market needs to see an acceleration in earnings expectations to improve from current levels [10]
X @Mayne
Mayne· 2025-09-10 12:36
RT Mayne (@Tradermayne)I view this entire pullback as a retest of the former ATH level as support.$112k is the LTF range low I want to see reclaimed for a push towards $117k.If we cannot hold above the 2024 ATH, $109k, then I'll reevaluate.We can technically pull back deeper into weekly demand, even sub $100k and still maintain bullish weekly structure, however, losing $109k would likely mean I'd want to cut any short term long exposure.The thing I like the least about this chart, for the bulls, is the bear ...
X @Mayne
Mayne· 2025-09-07 12:07
I view this entire pullback as a retest of the former ATH level as support.$112k is the LTF range low I want to see reclaimed for a push towards $117k.If we cannot hold above the 2024 ATH, $109k, then I'll reevaluate.We can technically pull back deeper into weekly demand, even sub $100k and still maintain bullish weekly structure, however, losing $109k would likely mean I'd want to cut any short term long exposure.The thing I like the least about this chart, for the bulls, is the bearish weekly SFP at the h ...
X @Johnny
Johnny· 2025-08-29 21:16
Market Sentiment - The market has been anticipating a pullback for over a week [1] - A significant buying opportunity is expected soon amidst current panic [1] Bitcoin (BTC) Outlook - A plan for Bitcoin's (BTC) performance over the next 4-6 weeks is available [1]
Ethereum Sets a New All Time High!
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-08-25 04:06
Hey everyone, and thanks for jumping back into the cryptoverse. Today we're going to talk about Ethereum as it has finally hit a new all-time high. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and also check out the sale on Into the Cryptoverse Premium at into the cryptoverse.com where we have discussed this move in great detail for years for Ethereum. The breakdown by Ethereum because of a breakdown by Bitcoin when it normally doesn't to allow Ethereum t ...
X @Mayne
Mayne· 2025-08-24 21:07
$ETHMaybe due for a bit of a pullback after running ATH but this is not the top IMO.Any significant pullback is a buy because I don't think $ETHBTC is done either. https://t.co/MKPdii8iRZ ...
X @Mayne
Mayne· 2025-08-24 21:01
It’s impossible for BTC to pullback and for someone not to compare it to the covid crash.Innerdevcrypto (@Innerdevcrypto):These small % flushes are nothingThe covid crash...that was a crash. Imagine being at 60k next week, that is painImagine a 10% or 20% wipe-out and straight up again, that happened various times during previous cyclesAll these mini-flushes are child play in comparison and ...
X @TylerD 🧙‍♂️
TylerD 🧙‍♂️· 2025-08-19 13:22
Tom Lee's quant says ETH pull back to ~$4,100 by midweek then up only to new ATHsCalls BTC to bottom at $112k before its rally to ATHThomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FSInsight.com (@fundstrat):Per @MarkNewtonCMT Ethereum undergoing a minor correction- pullback to $4,075-$4,150 by midweekPullbacks are healthy 👨‍⚕️ https://t.co/4mPI16BmnE ...
S&P will soon hit $6,100 and reflect a buying opportunity, says BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky
CNBC Television· 2025-08-06 20:26
Market Outlook - The market structure suggests a potential 5% pullback to around 6100 on the S&P, offering a buying opportunity [2] - Cracks are appearing under the surface, particularly in consumer-focused names like transports, retail, and restaurant stocks [4] - Credit spreads are potentially too tight and may widen, correlating with weaker ISM employment data, suggesting risk in cyclical versus defensive trades [8][11][13] - Blowout earnings from megacaps like Meta and Microsoft haven't translated into sustained buying enthusiasm, indicating potential profit-taking [9][10] Sector Analysis - Semiconductors appear vulnerable, with software potentially outperforming them in August based on the last five years' performance [5] - Transportation stocks' underperformance hasn't significantly impacted the overall index [9] Risk Factors - A significant widening of credit spreads alongside a rising equity market would be a major concern, reminiscent of 2007 [12]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-08-05 10:30
Even as traders put the US stock market’s wobble last week in the rearview mirror, some prognosticators are warning clients to prepare for a pullback https://t.co/QUHgWCbUDa ...