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More Multi-Year Highs Could Be in Store for RealReal Stock
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2026-01-12 19:23
Core Viewpoint - RealReal Inc (NASDAQ:REAL) stock has shown strong performance, recently reaching a four-year high, supported by bullish indicators and a favorable trading setup [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock was last seen trading at $16.84, up 2.3%, and previously surged to $16.90 [1]. - Historically, when REAL traded within 2% of its 52-week high with a low Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI), it has resulted in significant gains [2]. - The stock has increased 75% of the time one month after similar signals, averaging a 35% gain, which could potentially elevate the stock price to $22.73 [3]. Group 2: Short Selling Activity - Short interest in RealReal has decreased by 15.8% over the last two reporting periods, indicating a shift in market sentiment [5]. - Despite the decline, 24.08 million shares remain sold short, constituting 23.8% of the stock's available float, suggesting potential for a short squeeze [5].
Sable Offshore: The Court Ruling That Changes Everything
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-07 21:32
Core Viewpoint - The recent court ruling allows Sable Offshore to proceed with operations, significantly altering its risk profile and market perception from a distressed asset to a potential major oil producer [2][3][4]. Legal Developments - The U.S. Court of Appeals for the 9th Circuit denied a request from environmental groups to issue a stay on the Las Flores pipeline system, enabling operations to continue while legal disputes are ongoing [2][4]. - This decision reflects a broader shift in federal energy policy, allowing Sable Offshore to restart operations despite state-level regulatory delays [7][18]. Market Reaction - Following the court ruling, Sable Offshore's stock surged by 30% in a single trading session, indicating a strong market response to the legal developments [5][12]. - Analysts maintain bullish ratings for Sable Offshore, projecting significant upside as the company transitions to a revenue-generating entity [6][12]. Production Potential - The Santa Ynez Unit (SYU) is capable of producing approximately 45,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, which could substantially enhance Sable Offshore's revenue stream [8][9]. - The restart of operations is critical for managing the company's $900 million debt with ExxonMobil, which has a maturity date linked to the first commercial sale of hydrocarbons [10][11]. Technical Factors - Sable Offshore has a high short interest, with about 30% of its shares borrowed and sold short, creating a potential for a short squeeze following positive news [13][14]. - The court ruling has disrupted the short sellers' thesis, leading to forced buying and a rapid increase in stock price [15][16]. Future Outlook - While volatility is expected in the short term due to ongoing legal and operational updates, the long-term outlook has shifted positively with the court's ruling [17][18]. - The focus for Sable Offshore will now be on executing the restart of operations and capitalizing on its productive assets to close the gap between current share price and intrinsic value [18].
GameStop's Ryan Cohen Could Pocket A Staggering $35 Billion From New GME Stock Plan
Benzinga· 2026-01-07 16:28
Core Viewpoint - GameStop Corporation is gaining market attention again, driven by its evolving business strategy and leadership changes, particularly under CEO Ryan Cohen [1] Group 1: Leadership and Compensation - GameStop has diversified its business beyond video games, with growth in collectibles and trading cards, positively impacting financial performance [2] - CEO Ryan Cohen, who holds a 9% stake in the company, has been pivotal in increasing interest in GameStop since his involvement began in August 2020 [3] - A new compensation plan for Cohen has been announced, which includes stock options that will vest based on achieving specific market capitalization and EBITDA milestones [4][5] - The compensation plan could potentially reward Cohen with stock options to purchase 171,537,327 shares at a price of $20.66, contingent on meeting defined performance targets [5][6] Group 2: Financial Performance - Since Cohen joined the Board, GameStop's market capitalization has surged from $1.3 billion to $9.3 billion, reflecting a 615% increase [6] - The company has transitioned from a net loss of $381.3 million in fiscal 2021 to a net income of $421.8 million over the last four fiscal quarters, indicating significant financial improvement [6] Group 3: Store Closures - GameStop is closing hundreds of stores as part of its turnaround strategy, with reports indicating 590 U.S. stores were closed in the last fiscal year [8] - An additional significant number of store closures is expected during the 2025 fiscal year, which ends on January 31, 2026 [8] - As of January 2026, 223 stores have been confirmed closed, with notifications sent to customers regarding the closures [9][10] Group 4: Stock Performance - GameStop's stock has seen a 4.7% increase to $21.63 recently, although it remains down 35.2% over the past year [11]
Wells Fargo sees short squeeze ahead: here are three stocks to play it
Invezz· 2026-01-06 19:31
Core Viewpoint - Wells Fargo analysts suggest that a combination of tax refund spending, improved earnings in previously lagging sectors, and new liquidity from the Federal Reserve could lead to a "reflation" in equities [1] Group 1 - Tax refund spending is expected to contribute positively to market dynamics [1] - Stronger earnings are anticipated in sectors that have previously underperformed [1] - Fresh liquidity from the Federal Reserve is seen as a catalyst for potential equity market growth [1]
Under Armour Stock Rises After Fairfax Boosts Stake
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2026-01-06 17:19
Core Insights - Under Armour Inc (NYSE:UAA) shares increased by 0.5% to $5.45 following Fairfax Financial Holdings' increase in ownership stake to nearly 42 million shares, representing about 22% of the company [1] Stock Performance - The stock has struggled since an 18% bear gap in early August but has risen approximately 32% since its 15-year low of $4.13 on November 20, 2025 [2] - UAA has finished higher in nine of the last ten trading sessions and is currently facing long-term pressure at the 200-day moving average, which it surpassed earlier today [2] Short Interest and Analyst Ratings - Short interest remains high with a 29.22% short interest to float ratio, indicating potential for a short squeeze; it would take nearly six days to cover the 55.05 million shares sold short [4] - Analyst ratings show three analysts recommending the stock as a "buy" or better, while 22 rate it "hold" or worse, suggesting potential for upgrades [4] Options Activity - Options trading is active, with 3,067 calls exchanged, which is double the intraday average volume; the most active contract is the January 6 call, followed by the January 2027 22.5-strike call [5]
Infosys stock shock! Why did ADRs jump nearly 40% in minutes on NYSE? Explained
The Times Of India· 2025-12-20 09:13
Core Viewpoint - The sudden surge in Infosys American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) to a 52-week high of $30 led to a trading halt on the New York Stock Exchange due to extreme volatility, occurring without any new company announcements [2][4]. Group 1: Market Reaction - The ADRs experienced a sharp increase of up to 40% within minutes of market opening, adding tens of billions of dollars to Infosys's market value [4]. - The trading halt highlighted the fragility of markets during low liquidity periods, especially when automated trading systems dominate [4][5]. Group 2: Possible Explanations - Analysts suggested that a possible short squeeze may have contributed to the price surge, as a major lender recalled 45–50 million Infosys ADR shares, significantly exceeding the usual daily trading volume of 7 to 8 million shares [4][5]. - Another theory proposed that a technical glitch may have played a role, as several market data platforms mislabelled the Infosys ticker 'INFY' as 'American Noble Gas Inc', potentially confusing algorithmic trading systems and triggering automated buying [3][4]. Group 3: Company Response - Infosys clarified that there were no material reasons behind the volatility, stating that the sharp price movements on December 19 did not require disclosure under listing regulations [5].
Explainer: Why Infosys ADRs jumped 40% and why the NYSE halted trading
The Economic Times· 2025-12-20 06:56
Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in Infosys' American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) by as much as 40% within minutes of trading opening has raised concerns about short selling, automated trading systems, and market liquidity issues, prompting a trading halt by the NYSE [9][10]. Group 1: Short Squeeze and Market Dynamics - A short squeeze is identified as a primary reason for the rapid price increase, where investors betting against the stock are forced to buy back shares at higher prices, further driving up demand and prices in a self-reinforcing cycle [10]. - Traders reported that a major lender recalled 45–50 million Infosys ADR shares, significantly higher than the typical daily trading volume of around 7 to 8 million shares, which may have pressured short sellers to buy back shares quickly [10]. Group 2: Technical Errors and Algorithmic Trading - A technical error involving a ticker mapping glitch mislabelled Infosys' ticker on various platforms, leading to confusion among automated trading systems, which may have interpreted the mismatch as a strong buy signal [5][10]. - The financial metrics and news headlines associated with the incorrect ticker still referenced Infosys, including its $75 billion market capitalisation and AI investments, which likely contributed to aggressive automated buying [5][10]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Company Response - The Indian IT sector saw a slight uptick following Accenture's better-than-expected quarterly results, but this alone does not account for the significant movement in Infosys ADRs [7][10]. - Infosys clarified that there were no material developments behind the price volatility, stating that the trading activity did not require disclosure under SEBI regulations [8][10].
Michael Burry Was Early, Elliott Is Here: What's Next For Lululemon Stock?
Benzinga· 2025-12-18 16:57
Core Viewpoint - Lululemon Athletica, Inc. has seen a significant stock price increase following the announcement of Elliott Management's $1 billion stake, marking a shift in market sentiment after a prolonged decline in stock value due to slowing growth and product issues [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Sentiment - Lululemon shares rose 6.55% to $221.48 following the news of Elliott Management's investment [6]. - The stock had previously dropped nearly 60% from its all-time highs, reflecting challenges in U.S. growth and product innovation [1]. - Michael Burry, a notable investor, has increased his position in Lululemon, indicating a bullish sentiment towards the stock [2][3]. Group 2: Activist Involvement and Leadership Changes - Elliott Management's entry coincides with the upcoming departure of CEO Calvin McDonald, with Jane Nielsen being backed as a potential successor [5]. - Nielsen's experience in retail and focus on maintaining premium margins is seen as crucial for Lululemon's competitive strategy against cheaper rivals [5]. - The leadership change is expected to create a "leadership premium" for the stock, potentially driving further gains [7]. Group 3: Strategic Outlook - The company is expected to shift focus towards "product-first" innovation and reduce tariff exposure, which may aid in margin recovery [7]. - Institutional sentiment is turning bullish, suggesting a potential "short squeeze" as more investors align with the positive outlook for Lululemon [7].
Nearly 45% of Its Float Is Being Sold Short. Should You Bet on iRobot Stock Here?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-10 21:49
Core Viewpoint - iRobot (IRBT) is experiencing increased interest from meme stock enthusiasts due to U.S. government support for the domestic robotics industry, leading to significant stock price movements and a high short interest that could trigger a short squeeze [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Sentiment - iRobot stock has surpassed key resistance levels, currently trading at approximately 3.5 times its price from November 20 [2]. - Nearly 45% of iRobot's float is sold short, making it a prime candidate for a potential short squeeze [1]. Group 2: Risks and Volatility - Chasing the rally in iRobot's stock price is considered risky, as such movements are often disconnected from the company's fundamentals and can reverse quickly [3]. - Retail enthusiasm can amplify volatility, exposing late entrants to significant losses once momentum fades [4]. - The ongoing rally may be driven more by sentiment than by sustainable earnings growth or strategic catalysts, posing a risk for investors seeking long-term returns [4]. Group 3: Financial Performance - iRobot reported a 25% year-over-year decline in Q3 revenue, alongside a 120-basis-point contraction in gross margin, indicating weakening demand and increasing cost pressures [5]. - The relative strength index for iRobot is around 70, suggesting that the bullish momentum may be nearing exhaustion [6]. Group 4: Analyst Coverage and Institutional Visibility - iRobot shares currently receive coverage from only one Wall Street analyst, indicating limited institutional visibility [7]. - The lack of professional guidance amplifies the risk of sentiment-driven volatility in iRobot's stock [8].
How RKLB Options Traders Doubled Their Money in 2 Weeks
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-12-09 20:14
Core Insights - Rocket Lab Corp (NASDAQ:RKLB) presented a compelling investment opportunity, leading to an 111% profit for subscribers of Schaeffer's Weekend Trader service through a call option recommendation [1] Group 1: Technical Analysis - The recommendation for the call option was made on November 24, when Rocket Lab's stock had retraced to significant support levels, including its August 2025 low, the 200-day moving average, and the year-to-date anchored volume-weighted average price (AVWAP) [2] - The presence of stacked put open interest around the 200-day trendline was identified as a potential support factor [2] Group 2: Market Sentiment - Short interest in Rocket Lab was notably high, accounting for 9.71% of the stock's available float, indicating bearish sentiment among investors [3] - The options market displayed increased bearishness, with a 50-day put/call volume ratio of 1.44, ranking higher than 96% of readings from the past year [3] - Rocket Lab's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) of 82 out of 100 suggested that the stock tends to outperform options traders' volatility expectations [3] Group 3: Performance Outcome - Following the recommendation, Rocket Lab's stock quickly rebounded from the identified support levels, resulting in a short squeeze and enabling subscribers to more than double their investment within two weeks [4]