Market Dynamics & Investment Thesis - Bitcoin's current consolidation phase mirrors TradFi IPO dynamics, where early investors realize gains after the asset's success [1] - Early BTC adopters are taking profits, transitioning ownership from concentrated holdings to a more distributed model without market crashes [1][2] - This transition, termed "The Great Rotation," involves a shift from a few thousand wallets controlling most of the supply to millions of investors via ETFs, institutions, and retail [2] - The increased distribution of ownership leads to reduced volatility as selling pressure is absorbed across time and venues [2] Bitcoin's Maturation - Bitcoin's consolidation is not due to a bear market or fear, but rather the market digesting its success and increased maturity [3] - Early holders are selling patiently while new institutional buyers accumulate BTC [3] - The exit of early holders is a bullish sign, indicating Bitcoin's scale where large exits no longer destabilize the market [4] - The longer Bitcoin consolidates, the more distributed and resilient it becomes, solidifying its position as a store of value [4]

While he doesn't cover alts, I believe ETH, SOL, and other alts lag not only because they follow BTC but because they have not yet won.Bitcoin completed its proof phase and is transitioning from speculation to institution.ETH is still between being considered infra (for general public) and a store of value (for true believers). Ethereum hasn't won the 'default infra' game and core believers still need to convince the market ETH is SoV.BTC is in its maturation phase. ETH and SOL are still fighting to earn th ...

Core Viewpoint - Gold has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 in 2025, rising by 48% compared to the S&P 500's 17% increase, leading to contrasting opinions from prominent investors Warren Buffett and Ray Dalio regarding its value as an investment asset [2][15]. Investment Perspectives - Warren Buffett views gold as an "unproductive" asset, emphasizing its lack of utility and inability to generate revenue or earnings over time [2][4][5]. - Buffett argues that the total value of all above-ground gold is approximately $28 trillion, which could alternatively purchase the world's three largest companies (Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple) multiple times [3][4]. - Ray Dalio, in contrast, advocates for gold as a crucial asset for investors, particularly in light of rising national debt and inflation concerns, suggesting that investors should consider allocating up to 15% of their portfolios to gold [7][12]. Economic Context - The U.S. national debt has surpassed $38 trillion, with a budget deficit of $1.8 trillion for fiscal 2025, raising concerns about the sustainability of current fiscal policies [8][10]. - Dalio draws parallels between the current economic climate and the 1970s, when inflation and government spending led to a loss of confidence in paper currency, thus increasing the appeal of gold as a store of value [9][10]. Investment Strategy - While gold's recent performance is exceptional, its long-term compound annual return of 7.96% over the past 30 years is lower than the S&P 500's 10.6% return, suggesting that gold may not be the superior investment in a stable economic environment [15]. - In the event of a fiscal crisis, gold may attract significant investment inflows, making it a potentially valuable asset for risk management [16][17].

you'll then reply guy with something like "this is not private"correctwell, what's the thesis? private SoV. secret bitcoin.for that to work, you need both halves, the SoV part AND the privacy partthis helps with social cohesion and adoption of the assetneed both ...

Market Overview - Bitcoin has risen back above 110,000, and the NASDAQ has posted a record close, indicating a potential return of the risk-on trade [1] - The S&P 500 is up more than 15% year-to-date, surpassing expectations despite challenges such as government shutdowns and tariff issues [1][2] S&P 500 Predictions - The S&P year-end target was set at 6,600, with expectations for an explosive recovery in markets [2] - Currently, the S&P is at 6,800, and a typical year could see an additional gain of 4%, potentially pushing it over 7,000 by year-end [3] - Given market skepticism, there is potential for gains exceeding 4%, possibly reaching 10% by year-end [4] Cryptocurrency Insights - A significant deleveraging event occurred in the crypto market on October 10, influenced by escalating US-China trade tensions, marking the largest liquidation event in five years [5] - Open interest for both Bitcoin and Ethereum is at record lows, while technical indicators are turning positive, suggesting a potential crypto rally by year-end [6] - JP Morgan's openness to using crypto as collateral is seen as a positive development for the market [6] Market Indicators - Cryptocurrencies are viewed as early indicators of stock market direction and liquidity [7] - The recent liquidation event in crypto, where Bitcoin only dropped 3-4%, suggests it is proving to be a good store of value [8] - Ethereum is experiencing significant activity growth, particularly in Layer 1 and Layer 2, which is not yet reflected in its price [9]

Litecoin fees paid on a given day in $ is incredibly low.Many times under $1,000 for an entire 24 hour period. How is this good, you ask?Miners mostly mine LTC currently for block rewards. It is the main driver of their operations. Merged mining is even more profitable with a slew of coins available through Litecoin as the merged mining parent. With coins like Dogecoin, which is merge mined with Litecoin, having an inflationary attribute there exists a constant incentive beyond just Litecoin to mine. But, a ...

Gold has served as a store of value for thousands of years.That is not going to change.The question is whether bitcoin will continue being a better store of value on a relative basis?I think so. ...

Core Insights - Bitcoin's long-term prospects remain optimistic despite current challenges, with its scarcity and deflationary design highlighted as key strengths [3][4] - Gold has recently surpassed a market capitalization of $30 trillion, while Bitcoin's market cap is around $1.8 trillion, indicating a significant gap that Bitcoin would need to bridge [2][5] - The contrasting market behaviors of gold and Bitcoin reflect broader investor psychology, with gold being favored for its stability during uncertain times [5][6] Group 1: Bitcoin's Position - Bitcoin's scarcity, with a maximum of 21 million coins, is a strong feature that sets it apart in an era of extensive money printing [3] - The potential for Bitcoin to evolve into a global settlement network could enhance its utility and long-term value [4] - Despite the current market dynamics, Bitcoin's volatility is seen as a barrier to its acceptance as a stable asset [5][6] Group 2: Gold's Dominance - Gold's market capitalization has surged due to central bank buying and global uncertainty, reinforcing its status as a safe-haven asset [2][5] - The perception of gold as civilization's oldest safety mechanism contrasts with Bitcoin's image, which is tied to frustration with outdated systems [4][5] - Investors currently prioritize safety, which negatively impacts Bitcoin's appeal in the current market environment [5][6]

People lining up to buy gold at 5 AM in VietnamBitcoin stores value across space as well as time. No need for lines.(Source: @hanjiahnn) https://t.co/c5aYMF4Qdo ...

RT Gareth Jenkinson (@gazza_jenks)Bitcoin as money vs Bitcoin as a store of value.@Croesus_BTC breaks down WHY Bitcoin can be all these things at once during our latest @Cointelegraph #CHAINREACTION show.🕊️Feedom money for the sovereign individual.🪙 Unrivalled store of value for institutions and companies.@smarterwebuk @rkbaggsYou can find the full interview in the comments 👇 ...