Core Insights - Tapestry, Inc. reported fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of $1.04 per share, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.02, with revenue of $1.72 billion, reflecting an 8% year-over-year increase and surpassing expectations [1] - The company anticipates fiscal 2026 revenue to approach $7.2 billion, slightly above the previous estimate of $6.96 billion, indicating low-single-digit growth from the prior year [2] Financial Performance - Coach experienced strong handbag revenue growth, attributed to a mid-teens average unit retail (AUR) gain for the quarter and a low-double-digit gain for the year [1] - Telsey Advisory Group analyst Dana Telsey maintains an Outperform rating on Tapestry's stock, with a price target of $125 [2] Earnings Outlook - The earnings outlook considers current mitigation efforts, with Telsey suggesting that the guidance appears conservatively prudent, indicating potential for upside [3] - The company is optimistic about a strong start to fiscal year 2026, with a higher dividend enhancing confidence ahead of the upcoming Investor Day [3] Tariff Impact - Tapestry faces greater tariff pressure than expected, with the early end of the de minimis exemption leading to a combined $160 million profit impact, equating to a 230 basis points hit on margins [4] - This situation results in a 60-cent EPS drag, most of which was not present in the previous quarter, due to the exemption's unexpected early termination [4] Revenue Projections - For fiscal year 2026, the analyst projects revenue of $7.24 billion, a 3.2% increase from the prior estimate of $6.99 billion, aligning with the guidance of "approaching $7.2 billion" [5] - The expectation is that Coach will outperform while Kate Spade may underperform earlier forecasts [5] Stock Performance - Tapestry shares are trading higher by 2.90%, reaching $98.50 [5]

Core Insights - Dollar Tree Inc. reported a strong first-quarter 2025 earnings performance, with net sales increasing by 11.3% to $4.6 billion, surpassing both consensus and management guidance [1] - The company experienced a same-store net sales growth of 5.4%, driven by a 2.5% increase in traffic and a 2.8% increase in average ticket [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were reported at $1.26, exceeding analyst estimates of $1.21 and management expectations of $1.10 to $1.25 [2] - Gross profit rose by 11.7% to $1.6 billion, with gross margin expanding by 20 basis points to 35.6% due to lower freight and improved mark-on [3] - Adjusted operating income increased by 1.4% to $387.8 million, while adjusted operating margin contracted by 80 basis points to 8.4% [3] Strategic Developments - The company agreed to sell the Family Dollar business for $1.007 billion, with net proceeds estimated at approximately $800 million and expected tax benefits of around $350 million [4] - Dollar Tree reaffirmed its fiscal year 2025 sales guidance of $18.5 billion to $19.11 billion, based on comparable store net sales growth of 3% to 5% [5] Earnings Guidance - The adjusted earnings guidance was raised from $5.00-$5.50 per share to $5.15-$5.65 per share, compared to analysts' estimate of $5.21 [6] - The company anticipates a year-over-year decline in second-quarter adjusted EPS from continuing operations of 45% to 50%, with expectations of re-acceleration in the third and fourth quarters [8] Market Outlook - Dollar Tree expects Q2 comparable net sales growth to be towards the higher end of its full-year outlook range of 3% to 5% [7] - The company updated its fiscal year 2025 sales growth expectations to approximately 3.7% to 4.7%, up from a previous expectation of 3.4% to 4.4% [9] - Same-store sales growth is now expected to be approximately 1.5% to 2.5%, an increase from the previous expectation of 1.2% to 2.2% [10]

Core Viewpoint - BofA Securities analyst maintains a Buy rating on Nike Inc while lowering the price forecast from $90.00 to $80.00 due to tariff impacts and market valuation shifts [1][2] Group 1: Tariff Impact and Market Valuation - Nike shares have underperformed the S&P 500 since April 2, with a decline of 12% compared to the index's 5% drop [1] - The price forecast adjustment reflects a reduced F2027 P/E multiple of 27x from a previous 30x due to overall market valuation changes [2] - If 5% of Nike's U.S. imports face a 145% tariff and the rest of the world sees a 10% rate, the average global tariff would be approximately 16.75% [3] Group 2: Manufacturing and Pricing Strategy - Nike has a diversified manufacturing base, with footwear production primarily in Vietnam (50%), Indonesia (27%), and China (18%) [3] - To mitigate margin compression of about 110 basis points from tariffs, Nike could implement a modest 2% global price increase [4] - A potential increase in tariffs to 45% would require a 6% price increase globally to offset the impact on margins [4] Group 3: Performance in China - Nike's growth in China has significantly declined from 38% to as low as -5% following U.S. sanctions on cotton imports linked to Xinjiang [5] - Analysts expect continued challenges in Nike's China performance through the first half of FY26, with a potential rebound in the second half contingent on U.S.-China relations [6] - Despite a smaller projected share of sales and profits from China in FY26 compared to pre-pandemic levels, the region remains crucial for Nike [5]