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Wall Street’s Record Run Continues as Inflation Data Fuels Rate Cut Hopes
Stock Market News· 2025-09-11 21:07
Market Performance - U.S. equities experienced a robust rally on September 11, 2025, with all three major indices closing at record highs, driven by optimism over a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut [1][2] - The S&P 500 rose 0.9% to approximately 6586 points, marking a 17.69% increase year-over-year [2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 1.3%, closing above 46,000 for the first time, adding over 500 points [2] - The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.7%, achieving a new record high, influenced by mixed performances among technology stocks [2] Economic Indicators - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for August indicated a headline annual inflation of 2.9% and core inflation steady at 3.1%, with a monthly rise of 0.4% in headline CPI [3] - Initial jobless claims reached a near four-year high, signaling a softening labor market, which reinforced expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut [3] - Treasury yields eased in response to the economic reports, as traders anticipated the Fed's first rate cut of the year [3] Upcoming Events - The Federal Reserve's meeting on September 17, 2025, is highly anticipated, with expectations for the first interest rate cut of the year [4] - Key economic data releases are scheduled, including the Michigan Consumer Sentiment report and Retail Sales, Industrial Production, and Housing Starts [5] Corporate News - Oracle (ORCL) shares fell 3.6% after a previous surge of nearly 36% due to excitement over AI-related contracts [6] - Tesla (TSLA) gained 6%, while Apple (AAPL) rose over 1%, and Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL) saw slight increases [7] - Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) shares soared 29% following news of a potential takeover bid from Paramount Skydance [8] - Synopsys Inc. (SNPS) plummeted 35.8% after missing earnings estimates, while GameStop Corp. (GME) rose 3.3% after beating expectations [10] Earnings Announcements - Adobe Inc. (ADBE) is expected to report earnings with a forecasted EPS of $4.21, a 10.50% increase year-over-year [11] - Other companies reporting include RH and RF Industries, with RF Industries expected to show a significant 200% increase in EPS year-over-year [11]
Ray Dalio suggests gold as shield for US markets at risk of heart attack
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-11 09:36
By Rachna Uppal and Nell Mackenzie LONDON (Reuters) - Bridgewater founder and the firm's former CEO Ray Dalio says gold (GC=F) might be a way to shield investors from unhealthy markets, overburdened with debt. Dalio warned that as the U.S. spends more to service its debts, this "squeezes out other spending" and builds up as plaque would in a clogged human circulatory system. "A doctor would warn of a heart attack," he said. "A well-diversified portfolio would have somewhere between 10% and 15% in the p ...
Fed Should Cut 50 Bps Amid 'Soft' Jobs Data, Rieder Says
Bloomberg Television· 2025-09-05 14:42
Just your initial reaction to the data just under an hour ago. Yeah, I mean, listen, it's a pretty remarkable. I mean, you know, I always focus on the industry data to try and get a sense for what is the fabric of what's happening here.So if you look at the numbers, we got 22,000. But, you know, we talk about in the show all the time, 46,000 was in health care, not cyclical. You have a dynamic where if you strip out health care, you're running negative.What does that -24,000 jobs if you take the three month ...
A Fed interest rate cut is 'imminent', says JPMorgan's Gabriela Santos
CNBC Television· 2025-09-05 11:08
Joining us right now to talk about the markets ahead of today's big jobs report, Gabriella Santos. She is JP Morgan, asset management chief market strategist for the Americas. And this is a big number.We got uh some hints yesterday with ADP coming in. Did that foreshadow anything for you. What are you expecting.And what do you think it means for stocks. Yeah, so I think when we look at a whole mosaic of labor market data, it's really telling us that the labor market continues to cool. It's not cool.uh we're ...
X @Bitcoin Archive
Bitcoin Archive· 2025-09-03 12:47
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Fed Governor Waller says, "We should cut at the next meeting."September rate cut incoming. 🚀 ...
Why GOP lawmakers may be in 'politically sticky situation' with Trump's tariffs
MSNBC· 2025-09-01 20:36
A federal appeals court ruled that President Trump overstepped his authority when he used emergency powers to launch sweeping tariffs in April. Now, as you heard, White House trade adviser Peter Navaro says they're ready to take the case all the way to the Supreme Court. On Friday, the panel ruled that the power to impose tariffs lies lies in fact with Congress.The appeals court did, not the president. Joining us now, MSNBC White House correspondent Aaya Gardner and CNBC senior analyst and commentator and p ...
Investors can still buy into this market, says Payne Capital's Courtney Garcia
CNBC Television· 2025-08-25 21:02
Market Outlook - The economy is on good footing, with inflation coming down and potential interest rate cuts being positive for stock markets [2] - Strong earning season with profit margins up 135% last quarter, despite tariff impacts [2] - Consumer and companies are on good footing, and lower interest rates could further boost markets if cash comes off the sidelines [2] - No immediate recession concerns due to a tight labor market and supportive wage inflation [3][4][5] Labor Market - The labor market remains tight, with hiring slowing but not significant layoffs [3][4] - Wage inflation is currently supporting the consumer [5] Nvidia and AI - Nvidia's performance significantly impacts overall markets due to its large weighting in ETFs of the S&P 500 and NASDAQ [6][7] - The outlook for Nvidia is positive, driven by hyperscalers' continued spending on AI [7]
Ferguson: The market tilt is toward a cut, possibly as soon as September
CNBC Television· 2025-08-25 11:58
Fed Policy & Market Reaction - The market interpreted the Fed's communication as dovish, leading to a significant market rally [1] - The market may be overreacting to the possibility of a rate cut as early as September, as more data is forthcoming [2] - A potential rate cut might be a "hawkish cut," implying a small adjustment or a step towards neutral rather than a series of cuts [3] - The circumstances surrounding a rate cut matter to the market, not just the cut itself [4] Economic Indicators & Inflation - A rate cut could signal that the Fed sees only slight economic weakness and no dramatic weakening in consumer sentiment [5] - Labor market weakness seems to be overshadowing concerns about inflation for the Fed [7] - The Fed appears comfortable with inflation running slightly above its target, but may reconsider its strategy if it exceeds a certain comfort range [8] - The Fed is data-dependent, not on autopilot, and structural changes in the market could force a reconsideration of policy [9] Tariffs & Inflation Expectations - New tariffs, such as those on furniture, add complexity and could lead to a series of rolling price increases, potentially influencing inflation expectations [10][11] - If consumers consistently see price increases, they may believe inflation is returning, which should influence the Fed's policy stance [12]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-08-22 22:30
Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled that an interest rate cut may be coming next month: Here’s your Evening Briefing https://t.co/yz9RrQ1nTR ...
Powell-fueled market rally, Trump tariff investigation, new vs. experienced investors
Yahoo Finance· 2025-08-22 22:15
Market Trends & Investor Sentiment - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Pal暗示可能降息,市场普遍上涨 [1][2] - 零售投资者对风险的偏好正在回归,迷因股票和加密货币等非传统资产的势头正在增强 [3] - 年轻投资者(5年及以下经验)比经验丰富的投资者(10年以上经验)更乐观,因为他们主要在牛市期间进行投资 [5][6][7] - 近一半的自主投资者认为未来12个月市场表现会更差,但大多数人(64%)认为自己的投资组合表现会更好或相同 [10] Investment Strategies & Asset Allocation - 年轻投资者倾向于投资现金、个股和加密货币 [9] - 经验丰富的投资者仍然投资于现金、个股和共同基金 [9] - 投资者对他们熟悉和舒适的领域更有信心,例如科技行业 [11][12] - 即使市场波动,投资者仍在继续投资,可能会寻找机会逢低买入 [18][19] Economic Indicators & Federal Reserve Policy - 个人消费支出(PCE)数据预计将保持相对稳定,7月份环比下降至02% [22][23] - 市场已经消化了降息预期,美联储主席的讲话打开了降息的大门 [37][38] - 如果通胀率保持在3%左右,且就业市场保持不变,美联储降息可能会重新点燃通胀 [41] - 美联储的独立性面临考验,持续的攻击和威胁可能会损害公众对美联储的信任 [48][50] Company Focus & Earnings - 市场关注人工智能巨头英伟达(Nvidia)的第二季度业绩,预计将超过分析师的预期,这得益于对其人工智能芯片的强劲需求 [20][21][52] - 投资者将密切关注有关英伟达在中国销售芯片的能力以及对今年剩余时间展望的评论 [21][53][54] - 英伟达的H20芯片以及中国政府对购买该芯片的指令也将受到关注 [53][54]