Market Performance & Valuation - Russell 2000 outperformed the S&P 500 by 41% versus 35% in 6 months since "Liberation Day" [2] - Small caps have underperformed the S&P 500 for the last 10 years, leading to historically cheap valuations [3] Earnings & Growth - Small caps experienced an earnings recession since 2022 [4] - Forward estimates for small caps saw significant cuts, potentially setting up a positive environment [4] - Earnings are pivoting positive, which is expected to drive stock prices up [5] IPO & Takeouts - September saw one of the biggest IPO markets on record [5] - Federated Kaufman Small Cap Fund has had nine takeouts this year [6] Interest Rate & Economic Outlook - Federated anticipates the market reaching 8,700 by 2027 [7] - The expectation is that the Fed will cut interest rates due to lower inflation and wage growth [7] - A low inflation, Goldilocks growth environment, supported by technology, is expected to benefit longer duration assets like small caps [8] Stock Highlight - Centuri (CTRI) is highlighted as a small cap company benefiting from increased electricity demand due to AI and data centers [8][9]

Monetary Policy - Federal Reserve is open to further interest rate cuts [1] - Policymakers should move carefully due to inflation still running above the central bank's target [1]

Market Trends - Interest rate cuts lead to stocks trending upwards [1] - High inflation numbers correlate with stocks and gold increasing, while crypto decreases [1] - Geopolitical conflict results in stocks and gold increasing, while crypto decreases [1] Asset Performance - Stocks show an upward trend in response to various factors [1] - Gold demonstrates an upward trend in response to high inflation and geopolitical conflict [1] - Crypto shows a downward trend in response to various factors [1] Industry Concerns - Questions arise regarding the funding sources of the crypto industry [1]

Monetary Policy - Federal Reserve 的 Michelle Bowman 表示通货膨胀接近目标，足以支持进一步降息 [1] - 劳动力市场正在走弱 [1]

I sat down with Jordi Visser (@jvisserlabs) to discuss the market reaction to interest rate cuts, the rise of retail investing, Oracle, bitcoin, and how AI will change the future.Enjoy!YouTube: https://t.co/NYea5iicdvApple: https://t.co/HEmDxYB7hKSpotify: https://t.co/Pruq8u0x2lTIMESTAMPS:0:00 - Intro0:46 - Fed cuts 25bps and the market reaction5:54 - Retail and the new generation of investing17:01 - Oracle up 40% and AI infrastructure24:45 - Bitcoin, AI, and the fourth turning34:51 - Areas where AI will br ...

🚨 NEW: The Federal Reserve signaled that it expects to deliver two more interest rate cuts later this year. https://t.co/hoc4TN5yBp ...

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Jerome Powell says the Federal Reserve doesn't feel the need to move quickly on interest rate cuts. ...

Massive disparities across markets on total Fed interest rate cuts in 2025CME has 3 cuts at 94%Kalshi has 3 cuts at 63%Polymarket has 3 cuts at 58% https://t.co/0S8KtCwqJ3 ...

Monetary Policy & Interest Rates - The market anticipates a 0.25% interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, influenced by signals from various Fed governors [2] - The Fed aims to loosen monetary policy to stimulate a struggling labor market, complicated by persistent inflation partly due to tariff policies [4] - The market is concerned that the Fed's independence is being undermined, potentially leading to a loss of control over inflation and impacting long-term interest rates [5] - The yield curve is steepening, indicating a decreasing difference between short-term and long-term borrowing rates, which could affect mortgage interest rates [7] Labor Market - The labor market shows signs of deterioration, with job openings falling below the number of job seekers [3] - There has been a notable increase in the black unemployment rate, signaling a potential broader weakening of the labor market [4] Tariffs & Inflation - The Trump administration's tariff policies are contributing to elevated inflation levels [4] - Uncertainty surrounding tariffs creates investment challenges, and consumer price increases may lag due to order placement and shipping times [13][14] - There is debate on whether American consumers can absorb tariff costs, considering COVID-era stimulus and elevated savings [16] Consumer Impact - Working-class individuals are facing pressure from a weakening labor market and rising prices for essential goods like groceries and housing [19] - Increased wealth from rising asset prices primarily benefits those with substantial stock market holdings and homeownership, not the majority of Americans [18]

LATEST: 🔥 While Bitcoin has remained relatively steady over the past 24 hours, the last few hours have seen it reclaim $116,500 as traders wait to see whether the Federal Reserve will announce interest rate cuts on Wednesday. https://t.co/TUCucfWGtr ...