Geopolitics and Sanctions - The report suggests that current sanctions under President Biden were designed to help Putin sell oil [1] - President Biden allegedly asked India to import Russian oil to prevent oil prices from staying at $127 per barrel after Russia's invasion of Ukraine [2] - The US attempted to limit Russia's revenue through a price cap mechanism, enabling Russian oil to flow to India and China to keep US gasoline prices low [3][4] - President Trump has threatened to sanction India if they continue importing Russian oil [4] - The best-case scenario involves a ceasefire between Putin and Zelensky, potentially leading to the removal of European sanctions on Russia [7][8] - Europe has heavy sanctions, and new European sanctions are coming on refined products from Russian crude [8] Oil Market Dynamics - Shale oil production is reportedly declining [5] - The market is skeptical about disruption risk and sanctions, and is priced for de-escalation [9] - If the meeting fails and sanctions are implemented, the president will need to calibrate them to coincide with a loosening in global oil fundamentals to avoid sending oil prices up [5] - If Russian barrels are lost and crude oil prices rise above $100 again, shale oil cannot simply pump more to compensate [4]

Russian President Vladimir Putin has landed in Alaska for high-stakes talks with President Donald Trump, who seeks to negotiate a ceasefire in Russia’s war with Ukraine. Trump greeted Putin on an Anchorage tarmac shortly after the Russian leader’s plane landed. Trump had arrived earlier. ...

Joining me now, Jack Jacobs, retired US Army Colonel, MSNBC military analyst, and the recipient of the Medal of Honor. So, no better person to be talking battle strategy here with than you, Colonel. So, uh, Trump and Putin are sitting down, of course.Paint a picture of what is happening in this war at this moment on the battlefield. Well, Russia has been trying desperately to gain as much territory on the ground as it possibly can when it was clear that ultimately this if there was going to be an end to the ...

Geopolitical Analysis - The summit's outcome is unpredictable, with potential for either progress or a stalemate [5] - A key objective for the summit should be achieving a ceasefire to stop the killing [6] - Putin cannot be trusted and will likely attempt to manipulate the US President [3][9] - Putin may be trying to cultivate the US President as a source of intelligence [10][11] Strategic Considerations - The US President needs to be strong and recognize Putin's untrustworthiness to achieve anything [3] - A joint press conference should only occur if a positive outcome, like a ceasefire, is achieved; otherwise, separate conferences are preferable [7] - Putin is well-prepared, knows history, and has clear objectives, giving him an edge in the summit [12][13] - The US President needs to recognize he cannot be manipulated and should focus on achieving peace [10]

💥BREAKING:🇺🇸🇷🇺 Trump on Putin Meeting: I want to see a ceasefire, I won't be happy if it's not today.THIS IS BULLISH! 🚀 https://t.co/m5UGBr3lcy ...

Joining us now is Ukrainian Parliament member Kira Rudik. Uh, thank you for being here. So, President Trump says if this meeting goes well, it could set the table for another meeting, this time with Putin and Zalinski.What are your expectations for today. Are you optimistic. >> Hello, Ann.Thank you so much for having me. We here on the ground are cautiously optimistic. Uh, we have seen so many things from President Trump over this last past seven months.uh starting from his promise to end the war in 24 hour ...

President Donald Trump will meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska at a US military base to talk about ending the war in Ukraine. Trump has warned there would be “very severe consequences” if Putin didn't agree to a ceasefire. Bloomberg "Balance of Power" will have live extended coverage of the summit beginning at 5 pm ET. ...

This cemetery on the outskirts of the city of Harkke here in eastern Ukraine shows the price that Ukrainians are paying to continue to defend their country against daily Russian attacks. Each one of these Ukrainian flags represents a soldiers grave. And you can look on these gravestones and their pictures of young men who either volunteered or were drafted to fight against Russian troops.And this graveyard is continuing to expand. Every day there are funerals here and there are many graveyards just like it ...

It's Friday morning, 7:45 and you are looking live at Joint Base Andrews where President Trump will board Air Force One for his key summit in Alaska with Vladimir Putin. The president has left the White House and he should be at Andrews in just a matter of moments. Uh if he gets there, if he talks, of course, we'll bring you that live.But joining us now is Ukraine's former foreign minister, Dmitri Ka. Uh, foreign minister, thank you so much for joining us. Uh, as you look ahead to this summit between Presid ...

Summit Overview - A summit between President Trump and Russian Leader Vladimir Putin is scheduled in Anchorage, Alaska, to discuss a ceasefire in the war in Ukraine and potential economic ties [1][2] - Putin's first time in the United States since 2015, expressing optimism about the summit and the Trump administration's efforts to resolve the crisis [1][2] Potential Outcomes and Concerns - Discussions may include potential economic ties with the U S and an end to the Kremlin's exile from the Western financial system [2] - Trump is considering offering Putin access to rare minerals to incentivize ending the war, but prioritizes saving lives [3][4] - A two-phase process is proposed, potentially involving Zelensky and European leaders to discuss a framework explored by Trump and Putin [6][7] - Concerns exist that Putin might offer Trump a deal that forces Ukraine to concede territory without adequate security [8] - There is uncertainty whether Trump will be tough with Putin and impose sanctions or accommodate Putin's desires for an improved relationship [9] Geopolitical Implications and Alliances - Trump's administration is building close relationships with British leaders, potentially influencing his approach to the deal with Russia [11] - The German Chancellor's relationship with Trump is seen as crucial for bringing along other European partners [12][13] - Since Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine three and a half years ago, an estimated 250,000 Russian soldiers have been killed, and total casualties are approaching 1 million [13] - Up to 100,000 Ukrainian troops have been killed [14] Analysis and Perspectives - Putin has already achieved a victory by meeting with the U S President, despite being an indicted war criminal [18] - The key outcome is to get a second meeting with President Zelensky, as the war cannot end without Ukrainian negotiation [19][20] - Putin's global influence has weakened, as seen in Russia's limited intervention in conflicts in the Caucasus and Syria [21] - Despite tough rhetoric, Trump has done little in real actions to pressure Putin, and a better strategy would have been to impose sanctions before the meeting [25][26]