Core Insights - Moretus Research provides high-quality equity research focused on U.S. public markets, aiming to deliver clarity, conviction, and alpha for serious investors [1] - The research methodology emphasizes a structured framework to identify companies with durable business models and mispriced cash flow potential, prioritizing simplicity and relevance in valuation [1] - The coverage focuses on underappreciated companies experiencing structural changes or temporary dislocations, where disciplined analysis can yield asymmetric returns [1] Research Methodology - Moretus Research employs rigorous fundamental analysis combined with a judgment-driven process, avoiding noise and overly complex forecasting [1] - Valuation is based on sector-relevant multiples tailored to each company's business model and capital structure, emphasizing comparability and simplicity [1] Investment Philosophy - The research reflects a deep respect for capital, discipline, and long-term compounding, aiming to elevate the standard for independent investment research [1] - The insights provided are designed to be actionable, focusing on what truly matters in modern equity analysis [1]

Oppenheimer Industrial Growth Conference May 5, 2025 The Timken Company Forward 2 -Looking Statements Safe Harbor and Non-GAAP Financial Information Certain statements in this presentation (including statements regarding the company's forecasts, beliefs, estimates and expectations) that are not historical in nature are "forward-looking" statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. In particular, the statements related to Timken's plans, outlook, future financial per ...

Investment Strategy - A well-diversified portfolio should be constructed with a core foundation of a high-quality low-cost S&P 500 fund [1] - For those who can tolerate short-term risks, an over-weight position in the technology sector is recommended, as it is believed to be in the early stages of a long-term secular bull market [1] - Large oil and gas companies that provide strong dividend income and growth are suggested for dividend income, reflecting the author's background in the oil and gas industry [1] Portfolio Management Approach - A top-down capital allocation approach is recommended, tailored to each investor's personal situation, including factors such as age, retirement status, risk tolerance, income, net worth, and goals [1] - Suggested investment categories include S&P 500, technology, dividend income, sector ETFs, growth, speculative growth, gold, and cash [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q1 2025, the company reported net income of $15.6 million, adjusted EBITDAre of $72.9 million, and adjusted FFO per share of $0.51, reflecting nearly 12% growth in adjusted EBITDAre and nearly 16% growth in adjusted FFO per share compared to Q1 2024 [5][6][30] - RevPAR grew by 6.3% year-over-year, with same property RevPAR for the 31 hotel portfolio at $188.73, occupancy increasing by 80 basis points, and ADR increasing by 3.6% [5][17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Grand Hyatt Scottsdale's RevPAR grew by approximately 60% in Q1 2025 compared to the same quarter last year, driven by the completion of its transformative renovation [9][22] - One-third of the company's assets achieved double-digit percentage RevPAR growth, while several others experienced high single-digit percentage growth [6][17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Hotels in Washington DC and New Orleans benefited from significant events, such as the presidential inauguration and the Super Bowl, contributing positively to RevPAR [6] - The Houston market experienced softness due to winter storms impacting travel, leading to a 2.1% increase in January RevPAR but a decline in occupancy [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company completed two significant transactions, acquiring land in Santa Clara for $25 million and selling Fairmont Dallas for $111 million, reflecting prudent capital allocation [10][12] - The company plans to reduce capital expenditures for 2025 to between $75 million and $85 million, a reduction of $25 million compared to previous guidance, in response to macroeconomic uncertainties [14][30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the portfolio's resilience despite macroeconomic uncertainties, noting that all high-quality branded hotels cater to more resilient customers [15][30] - The company expects RevPAR growth to be driven more by occupancy than rate, with a forecasted full-year RevPAR growth of approximately 4.5% [30][31] Other Important Information - The company increased its quarterly dividend by 17% and repurchased 2.7% of its outstanding shares during Q1 2025 [16][29] - The company has a strong balance sheet with a leverage ratio of 5.4 times trailing twelve months net debt to EBITDA, and current liquidity of approximately $75 million [28][29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Have group booking trends evolved in response to the current uncertainty? - Management noted that group booking activity remains healthy with no uptick in cancellations or attrition, indicating a positive outlook for group business [40][41] Question: Have you seen any meaningful impact from lower international inbound travel? - Management indicated limited impact from lower international visitation, as the portfolio is not heavily dependent on international travel [42][43] Question: Can you provide background on the Santa Clara acquisition? - The acquisition was a unique opportunity from the city of Santa Clara, aimed at eliminating future rent escalation risks and increasing asset value [46][50] Question: What is the plan for deferred CapEx projects? - Management stated that they will continually evaluate deferred projects and may consider executing them in 2026, depending on macroeconomic conditions and tariff impacts [52][70] Question: What are the trends in leisure business? - Management observed varied performance in leisure business across properties, with a slight decline expected in leisure RevPAR for the year [57][62]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Core FFO for Q1 was reported at $1.21 per diluted share, reflecting a 2.1% year-over-year increase in same store NOI [13][14] - Revenues from same store communities increased by 3.5% compared to the same quarter of 2024, with occupancy rising by 120 basis points to 95.8% [13][14] - Same store expenses increased by 5.8% year-over-year, primarily due to property taxes [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average physical occupancy for the same store portfolio improved to 96%, with April renewal retention at approximately 57% [5][6] - Blended leasing spreads increased by 70 basis points in Q1, with renewal increases steady at 2% to mid-3% levels [5][6] - New lease spreads improved from negative 1.1% in Q1 to positive 2.4% in April [6] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The multifamily market is experiencing strong demand, with a projected 2.2% expansion of apartment stock in the company's markets over the next twelve months, down from 3.8% the previous year [9] - In Minneapolis, leasing spreads are outperforming the portfolio average, while Denver is still facing supply pressure [7][10] - North Dakota leads the portfolio with blended leasing spreads of 5.3% year-to-date, indicating strong market performance [6][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on maintaining discipline in all controllable areas and is prepared to capitalize on opportunities to advance its platform [7][11] - The capital allocation strategy emphasizes enhancing the differentiated Mountain West and Midwest geography [11] - The company aims to evaluate new investment opportunities while being mindful of market exposures and leverage [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management reaffirmed guidance for the full year, expecting to achieve a core FFO midpoint of $4.98 per share and same store NOI growth of 2.25% [15] - The company is optimistic about the demand trends in the Midwest and Mountain West regions, despite some challenges in Denver [7][10] - Management noted that the macroeconomic environment remains volatile but believes in the long-term durability of the multifamily asset class [10] Other Important Information - The company reported a robust liquidity position with over $223 million available between cash and credit lines [15] - The debt maturity profile is well-laddered with minimal maturities this year and a weighted average debt cost of 3.6% [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Are operations ahead of plan given strong Midwest apartment market? - Management acknowledged strong performance in the Midwest, particularly in North Dakota and Omaha, and confirmed they are on plan [18][19] Question: Will occupancy decrease in peak season for rate increases? - Management projected occupancy around 95% for the year, with current occupancy at 96% [21][22] Question: How to expect growth in OpEx for the remainder of the year? - Management indicated some lumpiness in OpEx, particularly in real estate taxes, but expects smoother growth moving forward [25][29] Question: What is the outlook for the Denver market? - Management noted a 200 basis point improvement in new lease spreads in April and anticipates an inflection point in rents by the end of the year [35][38] Question: How does agriculture impact local economies in the markets? - Management stated that while agriculture is significant, healthcare and education are the primary economic drivers in their markets [54][56] Question: What are the expectations for new lease rates for the year? - Management expects new lease rates to improve and taper off into the fall, affirming their guidance [65][66]

Hecla Mining Company (HL) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 02, 2025 10:00 AM ET Company Participants Mike Parkin - VP - Strategy & IRRob Krcmarov - President and Chief Executive OfficerRussell Lawlar - SVP, CFOCarlos Aguiar - Senior VP & COOHeiko Ihle - MD & Equity ResearchDalton Baretto - Managing Director, Equity ResearchMichael Siperco - DirectorKurt Allen - Vice President of ExplorationAndrew Dusome - Equity Research Associate, Metals & MiningHenry Hearle - Equity Research AssociateJoseph Reagor - Managing Dir ...

Olin (OLN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 02, 2025 09:00 AM ET Company Participants Steve Keenan - Director of Investor RelationsKenneth Lane - President, CEO & DirectorTodd Slater - SVP & CFODavid Begleiter - DirectorJosh Spector - Executive DirectorKevin McCarthy - PartnerFrank Mitsch - PresidentVincent Andrews - Managing DirectorJohn Roberts - Managing DirectorMatthew Blair - Managing DirectorMichael Sison - Managing Director Conference Call Participants Patrick Cunningham - Vice President, Senior AnalystAlek ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is pleased with its performance, reporting a 30% increase in oil production and a 20% increase in total production for 2025 [5] - The first quarter oil cut was 53%, with expectations for a modest increase in the second quarter, but no changes to the full-year guidance [7][10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is focusing 90% of its program on the lower cube in the Uinta Basin, with strong confidence in the forecast from this zone [18][19] - The remaining 10% is focused on the upper cube, with positive results expected from the Douglas Creek area [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company typically sells about 15% to 20% of its crude oil to Salt Lake City refineries, which has lower transportation costs [42] - The balance of oil is transported by rail, with efforts to maximize sales to local refineries [42] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain a disciplined approach to capital allocation, prioritizing debt reduction until leverage returns to a one-time area [12][13] - There are no specific plans for 2026 yet, but multiple scenarios are being modeled based on commodity prices [50][51] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the Uinta Basin assets, noting that they have exceeded original expectations [36] - The company is comfortable with its current plans at a price of $55 per barrel, generating significant free cash flow [52] Other Important Information - The company has filed its first quarter 10-Q and is committed to transparency regarding forward-looking statements and non-GAAP measures [3] - The company is not providing specific guidance on rig plans at this time, focusing instead on production timelines [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on oil production shape for 2025 - Management indicated no material changes to the full-year plan, with a modest increase in oil cut expected from Q1 to Q2 [8][10] Question: Cash returns and share repurchases - Management confirmed prioritization of debt reduction over share repurchases until leverage metrics improve [12][13] Question: Uinta Basin productivity expectations - Management stated that 90% of the program is focused on the lower cube, with confidence in achieving underwritten assumptions [18] Question: LOE impacts and cost expectations - Management noted that some cost increases may be one-time in nature, while others could persist [21] Question: Rig count and operational plans - Management is not providing specific timelines for rig drops but will adjust based on program needs [27] Question: Capital allocation between regions - Management indicated that returns between regions have not changed significantly, and no immediate changes to capital allocation are expected [32] Question: Oil sales to local refineries - Management confirmed that 15% to 20% of crude is sold to local refineries, optimizing transportation costs [42] Question: CapEx plans for the year - Management expects a similar run rate in the second half of the year as in the first half, with no material changes to the CapEx guidance [44] Question: Operational plans for 2026 - Management stated that no specific plans for 2026 are in place, but multiple scenarios are being considered based on market conditions [50][51]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the first quarter, comparable hotels total revenue was $324 million, down 0.4% year-over-year, while adjusted hotel EBITDA was $105 million, down approximately 5% [8][16] - Comparable hotels RevPAR was $111, down 0.5%, with ADR at $157, up 1%, and occupancy at 71%, down 1.5% compared to the same period last year [8][9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company completed the sale of two hotels for approximately $21 million and entered into an agreement for the sale of the Houston Marriott for $16 million [2] - The company has repurchased approximately $32 million of common shares and paid distributions of nearly $89 million while maintaining a strong balance sheet [2][3] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted that demand remained healthy across its portfolio despite challenges, with specific markets like Houston and Los Angeles showing RevPAR growth of nearly 8% and over 20%, respectively [11][12] - Government demand represented about 5% of the occupancy mix, with a decline in government room nights in March but an improvement in April [36][39] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on capital allocation to refine its portfolio, drive earnings per share, and maximize long-term shareholder value [2][5] - The company plans to reinvest between $80 million and $90 million in its hotels during 2025, with major renovations at approximately 20 hotels [5][6] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating market shifts and highlighted the importance of a diversified portfolio to mitigate risks [7][20] - The company anticipates net income for the full year to be between $167 million and $195 million, with a decrease in RevPAR guidance reflecting macroeconomic uncertainties [19][20] Other Important Information - The company has approximately $1.5 billion in total outstanding debt, with a weighted average interest rate of 4.8% and cash on hand of approximately $15 million [18] - The company has completed approximately $338 million in hotel sales since the onset of the pandemic, allowing it to forego over $100 million in capital investments [4] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide more color on the RevPAR guide? - Management indicated that the booking position has declined, leading to a 200 basis point drop in RevPAR expectations for the second half of the year, with Q2 expected to be the worst quarter [24][25] Question: How is the transaction market looking moving forward? - Management noted that the transaction market remains unchanged, with opportunities primarily in smaller asset sales, and they are optimistic about redeploying proceeds into share repurchases [27][28] Question: What are the trends in group bookings? - Management reported strong group bookings, particularly in smaller corporate and leisure groups, with no significant hesitancy observed [61][62] Question: How does the company view its CapEx philosophy? - Management stated that they plan to spend between $80 million and $90 million on CapEx this year, focusing on renovations and maintaining a competitive edge [40][42] Question: How is the company positioned for potential economic downturns? - Management expressed confidence that the lack of new supply in their markets positions them well to weather economic downturns, limiting downside risk and enhancing upside potential [75][76]

Apple Hospitality REIT (APLE) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 02, 2025 10:00 AM ET Speaker0 profile of our portfolio by both reducing potential downside and enhancing the upside impact of variability in lodging demand relative to past cycles. Supported by our strong operating performance, we continue to pay an attractive dividend. During the first quarter, we paid distributions totaling approximately $70,000,000 or $0.29 per share, which includes a special cash distribution of $05 per common share that was paid i ...