RT Nick Szabo (@NickSzabo4)@MaxCryptoxx IF YOU HAVE TO POST IN ALL CAPS YOU'VE USED TOO MUCH LEVERAGE. ...

I've seen basically every single one of these mass liquidation moves since 2016.You think you'd get numb to it in a way but honestly every time it is pretty jarring.It's hard to comprehend just how much leverage can be built up in the system. ...

I think this is roughly what happenedtoo many coins, too many perps dexes, too much farmingcombine that with cross-margin defaults instead of isolated, and it gets crazyafter seeing aster do well (barely functional for me), reduced all leverage to max 2x https://t.co/t3fMGmYi6t ...

Market Volatility & Leverage - The crypto market experienced a severe flush, indicating high leverage in altcoins [1] - The event is reminiscent of summer 2021, suggesting a significant market correction [1] - The market wipeouts serve as a reminder to avoid leverage and focus on long-term investments [2] Investment Strategy & Portfolio Management - The industry advises concentrating investments in assets with long-term potential [3] - The industry suggests shedding assets acquired based on FOMO (fear of missing out) rather than a solid thesis [3] - The industry emphasizes the importance of holding assets one believes in, especially during market downturns [1][3] Long-Term Outlook & Investor Sentiment - The industry encourages investors not to let short-term leverage blowups dictate long-term views [3] - The industry maintains a positive outlook, emphasizing patience and future rewards [3] - The industry advises checking on friends, acknowledging the potential for negative impact on many [2]

Market Sentiment & Risk Management - The cryptocurrency market experienced a severe flush, indicating high leverage in altcoins [1] - The event is reminiscent of summer 2021, suggesting a potential significant market correction [1] - The market downturn serves as a reminder to focus on assets with strong fundamentals rather than momentum-driven investments [1] - The industry emphasizes the importance of avoiding leverage to prevent substantial losses [2] - The industry advises investors to concentrate on assets they are comfortable holding long-term and to eliminate speculative positions [3] Investment Strategy & Outlook - Some altcoin charts suggest potentially long recovery periods, while others present buying opportunities [1] - The industry encourages investors to maintain a long-term perspective and not let short-term leverage blowups influence their overall investment strategy [3] - The industry expresses optimism about the future of the cryptocurrency market, emphasizing the importance of patience [3] - The phrase "嵐の後" (after the storm) suggests a period of recovery and rebuilding following the market downturn [4]

BNBHolder算是入圈以来绝对值最大的一波亏损，刚刚也给平仓了。亏损20wu+。还好交易所抄底1400的 eth 和140的 sol 回来了一些。还好自己没有任何杠杆和合约的仓位，不然一觉醒来会难受死。但是人不能指望这些『还好』，控制这些风险需要：大资金翻倍出本的习惯、不上杠杆和合约、留好现金、控制整体风险。这样别人的黑天鹅就可能会是你的机会。不要被牛市冲昏了头脑，任何时候的第一目标都是活下去要紧。XQ (@0xXQ1):还好追了龙头BNBHolder，等排行榜上 alpha。$BNBHolder 奖励 BNB Holder https://t.co/d4n9pBOGGW ...

In the coming days you will see more and more people calling that the bottom is in which will put them into the next legendary trap before the next and repeated low. You will also see many accounts on X trying to take credits, as if they predicted the dump. Many lies, misinformation, panic and confusion starts hitting the market. Alt coin believers will be left behind and lose it all, a fully over leveraged market and the party started for us bears. ...

ED: THE PRESIDENT'S TRUE SOCIAL POST I'M GUESSING WAS SCHEDULED FOR 11:00 A. M. WE DO NOT KNOW HE SAID HE INTENDED TO MEET WITH XI IN TWO WEEKS BUT DOUBT IS NOT SEE A REASON TO DO SO.HE THREATENED TO INCREASE TARIFFS ON CHINESE GOODS AND SAID CHINA IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY HOSTILE. WHEN WE MET IN JANUARY YOU OPEN THE CONVERSATION WITH THE FORECAST ON WHERE YOU FELT THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE U.S. AND CHINA WAS GOING. WHERE YOUR RIGHT. -- WERE YOU RIGHT.PALMER: I THINK SO. IT IS TRUE WHEN IT COMES TO SEMI ...

US-China Relations & Trade - The US President expressed doubt about meeting with Xi Jinping and threatened increased tariffs on Chinese goods, citing increasing hostility from China [1] - The US is currently dependent on China for many things, necessitating re-industrialization [2] - A healthy US-China relationship should not be so dependent on China [3] Semiconductor & Rare Earth Supply Chain - The US needs its own rare earth supply and chip/computer manufacturing capabilities [3] - China possesses significant leverage in trade deals [3] Anduril's Supply Chain & Sanctions - Anduril has done a uniquely good job getting away from China [3] - Anduril and its executives are sanctioned by China, indicating a deliberate effort to avoid Chinese supply chains [4] Broader Economic & Defense Industry Concerns - Concerns exist regarding the broader economy and other defense companies' dependence on Chinese supply chains [5] - Aggressive moves are needed to avoid dependence on Chinese precursor chemicals, machinery, or processing, prioritizing US and allied supply chains [5]

Market Overview - Bitcoin reached a new all-time high above $126,000, surprising many traders [1] - The rally was unexpected due to previous failures at new highs, where sell-offs occurred [6] - A short squeeze liquidated over $923 million in short positions, fueling the price surge [7] Key Drivers - Spot Bitcoin ETFs were the primary driver, with over $5 billion inflows in the first week of October [8] - BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) absorbed nearly $1 billion in a single day [8] - Macro catalysts included US government shutdown and expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [9] On-Chain Analysis - Bitcoin balance on centralized exchanges fell to 283% million BTC, the lowest since June 2019, creating a supply crunch [12] - Approximately 64% of Bitcoin has been held for over a year, indicating long-term holders are not selling [13] - MVRV z-score suggests Bitcoin is not yet in a state of mass euphoria, indicating room for growth [15] Institutional Price Targets - Wall Street consensus average sits around $156,000 for year-end 2025 [18] - Standard Chartered reaffirmed its $200,000 year-end 2025 price target, expecting $20 billion in ETF inflows [19][20] - JP Morgan estimates Bitcoin could climb to $165,000 based on a volatility-adjusted comparison with gold [20] Potential Risks - Macroeconomic risks, particularly a Federal Reserve policy reversal, could derail the rally [25] - High leverage in Bitcoin futures, with over $88 billion in open interest, makes the market vulnerable to liquidations [26] - Geopolitical risks could introduce extreme volatility [27]