LATEST: 📈 Bitcoin's implied volatility is surging and approaching levels that may signal a return to options-driven price action, which historically creates the decisive moves that bring Bitcoin to new highs, according to ProCap CIO Jeff Park. https://t.co/6sfHjebMAg ...

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Market Trends & Performance - Bitcoin is rebounding, correlating with the NASDAQ 100 [1] - Crypto market is approaching the $89 thousand mark [1] - Crypto-pegged equities are rallying [1] - Tom Lee's Bitmine Immersion and Ether Proxy is up over 18%, exceeding Ether's 5% gain [2] Institutional Investment & ETF Flows - Spot Bitcoin ETF flows turned positive, indicating potential institutional buyer re-entry after weeks of redemptions [3] - The industry is questioning whether this marks a true bottom or a temporary pause [3] Risk Aversion & Safe Havens - Capital is rotating into digital asset safe havens due to market volatility [4] - Stable coins now constitute 9% of crypto's total market cap, a two-year high [4] - Analysts interpret this as a classic bear market signal, reflecting increased risk aversion [4]

Cryptocurrency Market Analysis - The cryptocurrency market experienced a significant pump due to the having event, ETF anticipation, and the Trump administration's involvement, suggesting a peak bull market phase [1] - The Bloomberg Galaxy crypto index is down 21% year-to-date, reversing earlier gains of almost a third, while Bitcoin is down about 10% year-to-date [2] - Technical analysis suggests a key support level for Bitcoin around $84,000 and resistance around $94,000, with a higher risk of breaking below the support level towards $50,000 [4][5] - $50,000 has been a key level for Bitcoin since 2020/2021 [5] Market Volatility and Risk - Stock market volatility is low, with 120-day volatility around 11% [2] - The cryptocurrency space is expected to undergo further de-risking towards the end of the year, posing a primary risk for Bitcoin [3] Gold Market Analysis - Gold is holding at the $4,000 level, supported by a stair-step rally pattern [5][6] - Gold's current position is extended versus its 60-month moving average, representing a three-standard deviation move, a situation not seen since the 1980s [6] - Gold's rally velocity is unprecedented given the low stock market volatility, raising concerns about potential volatility increase towards year-end [7] Real Estate Market Trends - The real estate market in Coral Gables, Florida, is showing signs of reduced prices and buyer activity [7][8] - Farmland in the Midwest is also experiencing reduced prices and a decline in offer acceptance [8]

2025 has cemented a pivotal moment with data signaling a divergence between the two reigning digital assets Bitcoin and Ether. Is this Ether's long- aaited super cycle or merely a catch-up trade driven by short-term volatility. Ether options on CME have consistently exhibited a higher implied volatility than Bitcoin options.This heightened volatility has served as a powerful magnet for traders, directly accelerating participation in the CMA Group's Ether futures market. The most compelling quantitative evid ...

Our next guest firm offers ETFs with some downside protection for the cryptocurrency in the event of a sell-off but with less reward to the upside. Joining us this morning is John Kadunas, CEO of Calamos Investments. John, appreciate the time this this morning.Good to see you. >> Good to see you. Good morning.H >> have we are we moving into an environment where it's less about leveraged uh ETFs exposed to the coin and more about protection. >> Well, look, I I we were never fans of leveraged uh Bitcoin. Ther ...

Welcome back to Squawkbox right here on CNBC. Bitcoin down more than 22% in a month. Joining us right now is Anthony Poniano.He's the founder and CEO of Professional Capital Management. Pomp, we need to understand sort of where where you stand on all this. Also, I should say there's been a a bigger even uh fall in some of the other cryptocurrencies, but you've been a Bitcoin man.So, um where do you see the floor at this point and where do you see the upside. >> Yeah. Well, let's put this all in context real ...

Bitcoin down more than 22% in a month. Joining us right now is Anthony Poniano. He's the founder and CEO of Professional Capital Management.Pomp, we need to understand sort of where where you stand on all this. Also, I should say there's been a a bigger even uh fall in some of the other cryptocurrencies, but you've been a Bitcoin man. So, um where do you see the floor at this point and where do you see the upside.>> Yeah. Well, let's put this all in context real quick. So, uh, over the last decade, Bitcoin ...

Core Insights - Bitcoin has experienced a significant decline of over 22% in the past month, with other cryptocurrencies facing even larger drops [1] - The volatility of Bitcoin is a well-known characteristic, with historical data showing 21 instances of 30% or more drawdowns over the last decade, including seven instances of 50% or more [2] - The current market sentiment is influenced by new investors from Wall Street who are less accustomed to such volatility, leading to increased fear and potential selling pressure as year-end bonuses approach [3] Market Dynamics - The recent 35% drawdown from Bitcoin's all-time high is viewed as a healthy reset, raising questions about whether this will lead to a larger bear market or a return to previous highs [4][5] - Bitcoin's volatility has reportedly decreased, with drawdowns now expected to be around 40% instead of the historical 80%, suggesting a potential shift in market behavior [6][7] - The fear and greed index for Bitcoin is at a notably low level, indicating that the market may not remain in this fearful state for long, potentially leading to sideways movement before a gradual recovery [8][11] Leverage and Market Sentiment - Increased leverage in the Bitcoin market was noted prior to significant liquidations, but the current environment is seen as more normalized, reducing the risk of extreme downside movements [9][10] - The fear and greed index serves as a strong indicator of market sentiment, with extremely low values suggesting a lack of high leverage and a potential bottoming of prices [11] Long-term Outlook - The long-term growth potential for Bitcoin remains strong, with historical performance showing a 240x increase over the last decade, translating to a 70% compound annual growth rate [14] - Future expectations suggest a more moderate growth rate of 20-35% annually over the next decade, which could still outperform equities [15] - Bitcoin is expected to maintain its dominance in the cryptocurrency market, with its unique position as a store of value attracting significant capital inflows [17][18]

Market Volatility & Fed Policy - Market anticipates continued volatility this week as investors assess the Federal Reserve's actions, influenced by conflicting economic indicators [2] - Uncertainty surrounding the Fed's decisions suggests markets will likely remain within a tight trading range [3] Economic Indicators & Consumer Spending - Economic indicators are showing mixed signals, with unemployment slightly worsening, solid economic growth, and rising inflation [2] - Consumer confidence has improved recently, and stimulus checks expected in the first quarter, along with rising tax refunds, may boost consumer spending next year [8] - Potential easing of tariff pressures could also contribute to improved consumer spending in the coming year [8] Industry Specific Insights (Motion Industry) - Patrick Industries, a supplier in the "motion industry" (RVs, boats, power toys), is experiencing an increase in demand across its sectors [5][6] - Demand is picking up in consumer discretionary spending areas like RVs and power sports [7] Geopolitical Factors - Potential developments in the Ukraine-Russia situation could introduce market movement [5]