Volatility
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X @Ansem
Ansem 馃Ц馃捀路 2025-11-17 02:18
RT Capital Flows (@Globalflows)Here is the thing about Bitcoin and crypto: When you financialize an asset, you begin to take out the volatility. The ranges compress, the leverage provision via options helps smooth the oscillations, and there are a lot more players to absorb changes in liquidityThis is WHY we are just seeing a slow grind down without a mega candle of capitulationIf you want institutional adoption, then you need to deal with the slow grindWelcome to global macro ...
X @THE HUNTER 鉁达笍
GEM HUNTER 馃拵路 2025-11-16 10:05
Cryptocurrency Market Outlook - The coming week is crucial for determining the direction of Bitcoin ($BTC), with potential targets of $67,000 or $150,000 by Christmas [1] - Q4 is expected to be volatile, starting next week [1] - The author is accumulating $DOG, @Velvet Capital, and @OneAnalog [1]
'Fast Money' traders talk their takeaways from this week's market action
Youtube路 2025-11-14 22:41
Market Sentiment - The market appears more nervous than it did previously, with a sense of discomfort heading into the next week despite some technical levels being held [1][3][4] - There was a notable lack of strong rebounds, with the market closing significantly off intraday highs, indicating a lack of confidence [3][7] Federal Reserve Influence - The Federal Reserve's communication suggests a less accommodative tone, particularly regarding December's monetary policy outlook, which could impact market sentiment [4][10] - The market's reaction to the Fed's stance indicates that rates and the glide path are significant factors in market movements this week [11] Earnings Reports - Approximately 90-95% of earnings reports have been released, providing data points for future market expectations, with Nvidia and some retail names still pending [4][12] - The earnings growth is being scrutinized alongside price-to-earnings expansion, raising concerns about the sustainability of stock price increases driven by speculative trading rather than fundamental earnings potential [6][7] Volatility and Market Dynamics - Continued volatility is expected, especially following a period of suppressed volatility as indicated by the VIX [5][6] - The market's tendency to not bottom on Fridays suggests caution for investors heading into the weekend, as historical patterns indicate a preference for market corrections occurring earlier in the week [9] Key Companies - Nvidia is highlighted as a pivotal company that could significantly influence market sentiment depending on its upcoming outlook and capital expenditure plans [11][12]
'Fast Money' traders talk their takeaways from this week's market action
CNBC Television路 2025-11-14 22:38
When all this is said and done, the markets end of the week basically where they started. So, what should be the takeaway from today's market action, from this week's market action, Tim. >> Well, I think the market feels more nervous than than it did.I mean, I know a week ago intraday really, you know, that's that's the low the markets needed to rally off of and they did or not retest and and I think there's a lot of people out there that think that attest to that is a place to to maybe take a little bit mo ...
Wilmington Trust's Meghan Shue: In the short-term, some volatility & pullback is healthy development
Youtube路 2025-11-14 20:17
Market Overview - Major indices are attempting to rebound after experiencing back-to-back weekly losses, raising the question of whether this presents a buying opportunity [1] - The market has seen a strong six-month run, particularly in high momentum and higher beta stocks, but some of the best performers are now dragging the market down [3] Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - Stability in the market may require reassurance regarding potential Federal Reserve rate cuts, with expectations for a cut in December and three additional cuts in 2026 to reach a neutral rate of approximately 3% by mid-year [3][4] - The impact of rate cuts on job stability and layoffs, particularly in the context of technological advancements like AI, is a concern [6][8] Employment and Economic Conditions - There is a noted two-speed economy, with small businesses experiencing job cuts in five out of the last six months, indicating a need for stabilization in the job market [5] - Current job weakness may be influenced by AI and technological innovation, but attributing all job losses to AI is considered premature [7] - The focus is on stabilizing jobs at a low level rather than expecting a resurgence, which could lead to higher volatility in the market [9]
Wilmington Trust's Meghan Shue: In the short-term, some volatility & pullback is healthy development
CNBC Television路 2025-11-14 20:17
Welcome back. Major indices rebounding off those session lows at the open this morning, trying to save off some back-to-back weekly losses. Should we be treating this as a buying opportunity.Joining us this morning, Wilmington Trust chief investment strategist Megan Shu is with us. Help make some sense of this Friday. Megan, what is your sense about where we are and what needs to happen to bring more stability, get that VIX a little bit lower.Um, yeah, Carl, I think actually in the short term, a little bit ...
Stocks drive treasury yield moves
CNBC Television路 2025-11-14 20:02
Market Volatility & Treasury Yields - Treasury market experienced volatility this week, with yields ending near where they started [1] - 10-year Treasury yield is up approximately 4 basis points (0.04%) for the week, closing at 414 [2] - 2-year Treasury yield is also up approximately 4 basis points (0.04%) for the week [2] - Stock market performance, particularly S&P futures, is currently a significant driver of Treasury yields [2] European Debt & Fiscal Issues - UK guilt yields are at six-week highs due to a 20 billion pound (approximately $25 billion USD) hole in their fiscal budget [3] - France faces a similar scenario with debt issuance [4] - European counterparts' debt and deficits are influencing the market [3][4] US Treasury Market Trends - US 10-year Treasury yields are generally moving in the same direction as European yields, influenced by arbitrage [5] - There's a feeling that Treasury yields will remain high [5] - Equity market movements influence Treasury yields: yields decrease when equity markets decline and increase when equity markets recover [6]
Fed rate cuts in December or January are immaterial for equities, says KKM Financial's Jeff Kilburg
CNBC Television路 2025-11-14 19:39
For more, let's bring in Jeff Kilberg, KKM Financial founder and CEO, a CNBC contributor. It's almost like having this shopping list and thinking, "Oh, I can't afford that. I can't afford it." And waiting for it to go on sale. >> You're absolutely right, contestant.I wouldn't say the damage is done necessarily in some of these AI themed big tech names. I think just some profit taking has occurred. We've seen two consecutive weeks of profit taking.The jitters really were spurred by the uncertainty what the F ...