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WTF: Watch the Fed
Etftrends· 2025-10-01 19:21
Group 1: Market Liquidity and Speculation - Liquidity has been a primary driver of financial asset returns, with unprecedented speculative activity due to the Fed's actions since the pandemic [1][4] - The correlation between Ether and SPACs indicates broad speculation driven by easy liquidity conditions rather than fundamental asset performance [2] - Current financial conditions are very easy, allowing companies easy access to capital, as evidenced by historically narrow corporate spreads and the popularity of SPACs [7] Group 2: Federal Reserve's Role - The Fed influences the economy through the banking system, cutting rates to lower the cost of capital and encourage lending when banks restrict lending [5] - Conversely, when lending is excessive, the Fed raises interest rates to slow down the economy [6] - The Fed's recent rate cuts signal potential outcomes, including either a broadening of equity markets or further excess liquidity leading to more speculation [16][17] Group 3: Economic Conditions - The US economy is showing growth above the long-term average, as indicated by the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow tracker [10] - Inflation expectations are rising, influenced by tariffs and supply chain disruptions, which are typically inflationary [12][14] - Recent immigration policies are constraining labor supply, potentially leading to rising wages if demand for labor remains strong [14][15] Group 4: Investment Implications - Two potential outcomes from the Fed's rate cuts include a healthy broadening of the market or rampant speculation leading to misallocations within the economy [30] - Bubbles are inherently inflationary, misallocating capital and potentially leading to significant future inflation [18][20] - The current misallocation of capital, such as investments in cryptocurrencies instead of essential infrastructure, could exacerbate inflationary pressures [20]
X @TylerD 🧙‍♂️
TylerD 🧙‍♂️· 2025-10-01 17:17
Why settle for static strategies in DeFi?My partner Allora powers vaults and protocols with live forecasts for price, volatility, and liquidity.The result: proactive, dynamic systems that optimize yield + risk in real time.All driven by a decentralized network of AI models.Don’t settle for one model. ...
Pricing & Cost Control Benefit WM's Profitability Amid Low Liquidity
ZACKS· 2025-10-01 15:05
Core Insights - WM reported strong second-quarter 2025 results, with adjusted earnings of $1.92 per share, exceeding the consensus estimate by 1.6%, and total revenues of $6.4 billion, surpassing expectations by 1.4% and increasing 19% year-over-year [1] Financial Performance - The company's effective pricing and cost control strategies are crucial for profitability, focusing on aligning price adjustments with service quality and demand while optimizing operational processes [2] - WM has consistently paid dividends since 1998, with payouts increasing from $970 million in 2021 to $1.21 billion in 2024, indicating a commitment to long-term shareholder value [3] Strategic Moves - The acquisition of Stericycle is expected to enhance WM's earnings and cash flows within a year, with anticipated annual run-rate synergies exceeding $125 million, positioning WM favorably in the medical waste industry [4] Financial Challenges - The Stericycle acquisition has increased WM's debt load, raising concerns about financial flexibility and potential impacts on shareholder returns if cash flow does not meet expectations [5] - WM's liquidity appears weak, with a current ratio of 0.86 in Q2 2025, down from 1.07 in the previous year, indicating challenges in covering short-term obligations [6]
X @Ash Crypto
Ash Crypto· 2025-10-01 14:34
RT Bull Theory (@BullTheoryio)Q4 started today.And it could unlock the most powerful wave of liquidity crypto has seen in years.Not because of hopium.But because of 4 real world catalysts, all lined up and ready to trigger.Here’s your Q4 Bull Theory 🧵 https://t.co/kbUuyQOdQV ...
X @Starknet (BTCFi arc)
Starknet 🐺🐱· 2025-10-01 13:01
Starknet BTCFi Initiative - Starknet Foundation allocates 100 million STRK to boost BTC activity on Starknet [1] - The program aims to make Starknet the cheapest and most efficient place to borrow against Bitcoin [1] Incentive Focus - Incentives target liquidity on DEXs, lending markets, and borrowing stablecoins against BTC [1][3] - DEX incentives prioritize pools pairing BTC wrappers with WBTC to ensure deep liquidity and low-slippage swaps [1] - Incentives aim to reduce the cost of borrowing stablecoins against BTC [2] DeFi Flywheel Strategy - Incentivized borrowing is designed to drive demand for stablecoins [2] - Increased demand boosts utilization, creating attractive yields for lenders [2] - Subsidies are used to maintain low borrowing costs [2] Core Goal - Starknet aims to become the most cost-effective place to borrow against Bitcoin [2]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-10-01 10:43
Chief investment officers at Brown and Northwestern universities are turning to the secondary markets to tap into rising liquidity for their private assets https://t.co/ChcJUPdApN ...
X @Solana
Solana· 2025-09-30 19:47
RT Krish Shah (@top_jeet_)Today we’re announcing our newest product: PMX.Make, trade and earn from prediction markets using new liquidity infrastructure powered by @meteoraAG and @solanaIt is time to change the game forever 1/🧵 https://t.co/ioxulzw6Kd ...
X @Solana
Solana· 2025-09-30 14:46
RT Marinade 🛡️ (@MarinadeFinance)Stablecoins are the backbone of DeFi.At Marinade we are expanding support across Staking, Recipes, and Select while building the safest and most liquid ways to utilize stables on @Solana[1/6] https://t.co/Nn2mZyB1ei ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-30 14:42
Kensington suspended investor withdrawals from its flagship private equity fund for at least 90 days, citing strained liquidity conditions and sluggish deal activity https://t.co/VOulkwvijM ...
X @Polkadot
Polkadot· 2025-09-30 10:01
Catch up on everything that happened in the Polkadot eco this past week ⤵️Polkadotters | Validators and media house (@Polkadotters1):Polkadot roundup – 76> Liquidity unlocked: Moonbeam and Moonriver connected with the native cross-chain bridge> Swap simplified: Turtle and Chainflip enable direct ETH ↔ DOT native token exchanges> Mainnet milestone: Acurast rewards early adopters with cACU to ACU upgrade https://t.co/Cu0lOxBruW ...